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FxWirePro: Best risk-reward expression of CAD underperformance reversal - Three factors that drives CAD/JPY longs

Apr 17, 2018 07:40 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The potential near-term NAFTA break-through is a potential catalyst for the recent retracement of this underperformance to run significantly further. Therefore we buy CADJPY (bought at 84.036, stop at 82.34) as a best...

FxWirePro: Figure CAD risk premium ahead of BoC – USD/CAD Reverse knock out spreads to trade and hedge

Apr 17, 2018 06:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The back and forth in the NAFTA renegotiations has been the main driver of CAD exchange rates in recent months. In the interim, we expect the broad USD to continue to appeal to its countercyclical properties and continue...

FxWirePro: Buy CAD/JPY ahead of Canadian monetary policy, Fed and BoC policy divergence in focus

Apr 16, 2018 16:56 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Beyond the unwind of the earlier premium versus a heavily broadly discounted dollar as discussed earlier, the other major driver of the 7% trough-to-peak backup in USDCAD in 1Q was the divergence of policy pricing between...

FxWirePro: Low vols option play - EUR/USD IVs still least among G10 FX universe

Apr 16, 2018 09:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

EURUSD short-term implied valuations remain oriented south (preference to stay top heavy), perhaps in anticipation of a slightly less confident ECB going ahead. Expect resistance towards 1.2290 and the 55-day MA (1.2339)...

FxWirePro: Need for theta control amid depressed vols climate via a mix of carry trades and vanilla triangles

Apr 16, 2018 08:19 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In a context of low yields, depressed volatility and range-bound markets, writing options provide an appealing alternative to the FX carry trades but theta monitoring is what makes wise in winning such trades. The...

FxWirePro: Key fundamental driving forces and RV trades of EUR/USD

Apr 16, 2018 06:04 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Whats lacking from our perspective is convincing evidence that the US economy is pulling materially ahead of international peers and that US exceptionalism is returning as the theme for the FX market. Set aside this there...

FxWirePro: Beware of FX-unhedged foreign bond investment

Apr 13, 2018 13:41 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

It is observed that the Japanese retail investors likely to surge foreign stock investments through investment trusts especially between May and July as we saw in the past two years. It is also expected that the USDJPY to...

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Economy

Chip Stocks Rally on AI Optimism as Oil Price Surge Adds Market Tension

Oil prices climbed sharply on Monday as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations continued to disrupt Middle East energy exports, fueling concerns across global markets. Brent crude futures rose nearly 2%, reaching a three-week high...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low as Iran Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a historic low in April, reflecting growing anxiety over rising inflation and energy costs despite a ceasefire in the Iran conflict. According to the University of Michigans Surveys of...

ECB Rate Outlook: Ceasefire Eases Pressure but Hikes Still Expected in 2026

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Brazil Current Account Deficit Widens in March as FDI Misses Expectations

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Politics

DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects

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India Slams “Hellhole” Remark Linked to Trump Post, Reaffirms Strong US Relations

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Iran Proposes Strait of Hormuz Reopening Deal Amid Stalled U.S. Talks

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U.S. Budget Airlines Seek $2.5 Billion Government Aid Amid Rising Jet Fuel Costs

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Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...
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