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FxWirePro: Bid AUD/JPY 1m OTM strikes and hedge potential bearish swings on both systematic and unsystematic risks

Apr 11, 2018 06:56 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Aussie remains pricey compared to short-term fair value estimates. Yield differentials along the curve continue to move steadily in the US dollars favor, but the more notable move in recent weeks is the slide in...

FxWirePro: Moody’s to provide cushion to Brazilian real – Hedge USD/BRL via put spread ahead of Lula’s decision

Apr 10, 2018 11:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We maintain a more bullish stance than consensus on BRL short-term. 2 predominant reasons for outperformance near-term: 1) The significant progress in capital flows associated with the growth boost we expect in 2018...

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF iron condor spreads to attain tepid OTC indications and technicals

Apr 10, 2018 11:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We spot on the pair that has the least ATM IVs when the underlying spot FX has also been drifting in range bounded trend. We upgraded our CHF forecasts. Those envisaged a gradual but strictly bounded rise in EURCHF to 1.20...

FxWirePro: Intricacies of G10 FX vols and low volatile trading dimensions

Apr 10, 2018 08:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

FX vols have been perplexingly soft over the past two weeks in the face of escalating trade war rhetoric and equity markets jitters have been the talking point de jour in FX option circles. Please be noted that the...

FxWirePro: AUD/NZD options strips serve as effective hedging vehicles, uphold position as put legs on its better functionality

Apr 10, 2018 07:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Just a week ago, we at FxWirePro have well anticipated the potential slumps of AUDNZD and advised options strips as a hedging strategy accordingly when the underlying spot FX was at around 1.0610 levels, that contained 3...

FxWirePro: AUD/NZD slides through falling wedge, bearish patterns pop up at every wedge resistance – Construct tunnel structure and short hedge

Apr 10, 2018 06:18 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

Chart and candlestick patterns formed: Bearish engulfing and the frequent occurrences of shooting stars on minor trend (refer daily as well as weekly plotting). The trend has been sliding through sloping channel pattern...

video I lived through Saddam Hussein's fall – and the horror that came next

Apr 09, 2018 14:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views Life

I was a senior university student in Baghdad, Iraq. It was March 2003, and over the past few months, my classmates had whispered to each other about the possibility of a US-led invasion and the likelihood that 35 years of...

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Economy

Chip Stocks Rally on AI Optimism as Oil Price Surge Adds Market Tension

Oil prices climbed sharply on Monday as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations continued to disrupt Middle East energy exports, fueling concerns across global markets. Brent crude futures rose nearly 2%, reaching a three-week high...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low as Iran Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a historic low in April, reflecting growing anxiety over rising inflation and energy costs despite a ceasefire in the Iran conflict. According to the University of Michigans Surveys of...

ECB Rate Outlook: Ceasefire Eases Pressure but Hikes Still Expected in 2026

The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to meet next Thursday, and recent geopolitical developmentsparticularly the Iran war ceasefirehave temporarily reduced pressure for an immediate interest rate hike. However,...

Brazil Current Account Deficit Widens in March as FDI Misses Expectations

Brazils current account deficit expanded more than expected in March, highlighting growing external pressures on Latin Americas largest economy. According to central bank data, the deficit reached $6.036 billion,...

Araqchi Leads Iran’s Diplomatic Push as U.S. Talks and Oil Market Tensions Rise

Irans Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi arrived in Islamabad to discuss potential steps toward restarting peace talks with the United States, signaling cautious optimism after weeks of escalating conflict. The ongoing...

Politics

DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects

The U.S. Department of Justice has officially ended its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a decision announced by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro that could significantly impact the future leadership of...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Crisis Deepens as Traffic Plunges Amid Iran-U.S. Tensions

Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped dramatically, with only five vesselsincluding an Iranian oil products tankerpassing through the strategic waterway in the past 24 hours, according to recent...

India Slams “Hellhole” Remark Linked to Trump Post, Reaffirms Strong US Relations

India has strongly criticized remarks describing the country as a hellhole, calling them uninformed and inappropriate, after U.S. President Donald Trump shared a transcript of a controversial radio segment on his Truth...

Iran Proposes Strait of Hormuz Reopening Deal Amid Stalled U.S. Talks

Iran has reportedly submitted a new proposal to the United States aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing ongoing geopolitical tensions, according to a report by Axios citing U.S. officials and sources familiar...

U.S. Budget Airlines Seek $2.5 Billion Government Aid Amid Rising Jet Fuel Costs

A group of U.S. budget airlines, including Frontier Airlines and Avelo Airlines, is reportedly pursuing $2.5 billion in government assistance to offset surging operational costs driven by rising jet fuel prices. According...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...
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