Catalonia's referendum unmasks authoritarianism in Spain

Oct 05, 2017 03:19 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Economy

I have long worried about the rise of authoritarianism in the European Union. The Spanish governments violent crackdown during the Catalonia referendum on Oct. 1 is the latest crisis to challenge EU institutions....

Alternative facts do exist: beliefs, lies and politics

Oct 05, 2017 03:16 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

This piece is republished with permission from Perils of Populism, the 57th edition of Griffith Review. Articles are a little longer than most published on The Conversation, presenting an in-depth analysis of the rise of...

FxWirePro: Scan through US EIA’s inventories in conjunction with OPEC’s compliance - Crude oil’s producer’s hedge versus consumer’s hedge

Oct 04, 2017 13:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We raise 4Q17 oil price forecasts by 4.50/bbl on Brent and $1/bbl on WTI to reflect the tighter balances now forecast, to $54.50 and $50.00/bbl, respectively. Similarly, for 2018 we raise Brent to $47/bbl, and WTI to...

FxWirePro: Polish attempt to resurge on NBP – Chip in EUR/PLN slumps and hedge upside risks via “Diagonal Credit Call Spreads”

Oct 04, 2017 12:40 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Polish central bank held its rate decision today: no change in monetary policy was the consensus. The National Bank of Poland announced its reference rate at a record low of 1.5 pct on October 4th, 2017, as widely...

FxWirePro: GBP/EUR/CHF vols spreads seem to be lucrative carry trades

Oct 04, 2017 12:08 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The somewhat panicky unwinding of Euro (and other European FX) longs might leave macro investors less willing to spend option premium to play for EUR resurgence. In this situation, if one had to pick one Eurobloc currency...

FxWirePro: EUR/AUD minor trend struggles for momentum after gravestone, major trend restrains below channel resistance – Snap rallies and construct tunnel spreads

Oct 04, 2017 10:36 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

The rejection at the stiff resistance of 1.5090 levels evidences slumps, historically, you could make out the prices have tumbled as it failed to break out above this level. Even if you see any abrupt rallies that seem...

Crowdfunders like novelty or usefulness, not both

Oct 04, 2017 09:47 am UTC| Insights & Views Technology

This article was co-written with Anirban Mukherjee, Assistant Professor of Marketing at Singapore Management University; and Dr. Ping Xiao of the University of Technology Sydney (UTS). One of the classic stories in the...