Briferendum Aftermath Series

London banking will struggle to escape Brexit trap

Jul 04, 2016 18:23 pm UTC| Insights & Views Business

The free movement principle of the EU means that all individuals of member states receive an EU passport. They can settle in any other EU country and enjoy the same rights and benefits as any other citizen of the host...

FxWirePro: Surge in BRL surprises EM FX space, BCB “not jumping guns”, inflation to drive next roadmap for Latam currency

Jul 04, 2016 13:11 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

One might be forgiven for wondering whats going on with BRL. Despite Brexit and the initial wave of risk aversion BRL illustrates the best performance in the entire EM universe since the end of June, up more than 3.5%...

FxWirePro: Do not get carried away in EM FX – FX portfolio construction for Asia, EMEA and LATAM spaces for H2’2016

Jul 04, 2016 12:58 pm UTC| Insights & Views

For the past few years, emerging market currencies have generally underperformed against the forwards. However, going forward, the weakness in spot rates would be mostly in line with positive carry. Risks are somewhat...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Unwind overstated G10 vols driven by UK referendum – Maintain GBP shorts and reduce CAD longs via FX option

Jul 04, 2016 12:51 pm UTC| Insights & Views

In H2 2016, we would see a cease-fire in the currency war. In H1 2014 a pause in monetary policy activism caused a collapse in FX volatility. Expect FX implied vols likely to catch up with the downside in the underlying...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Dollar unlikely to give up momentum in Q3 – Knock in option trades for USD/JPY

Jul 04, 2016 11:46 am UTC| Insights & Views

We reckon from here onwards in H2 the dollar strength relies on weakness elsewhere but the ECB and BOJ are almost out of room to ease further. Yen appreciation started amid global financial turbulence in late 2015, and...

Australia's political uncertainty spooks markets, sees warnings from major ratings agencies

Jul 04, 2016 11:21 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Commentary

Aussie initially came under considerable pressure during Asian market open after it became clear over the weekend that the parliamentary elections would not result in a clear majority for either party. Australias political...

Reasons galore that make RBA’s easing look essential

Jul 04, 2016 09:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

We reckon the monetary policy divergence should be the major factor in the H2 of the year for a lower AUDUSD in thelong run and interim upswings in theshort run as the todays RBA cash rates likely to remain unchanged,...