China’s onshore/offshore interest rate spreads looking stretched
Jan 05, 2016 03:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
Risk aversion gripped Chinese markets yesterday with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index down by almost 7% (trading in Chinese stock markets was halted). Significant uncertainties on the Chinese economy remain as PMI...
Yuan offshore-onshore band widens
Jan 04, 2016 07:38 am UTC| Commentary
Offshore Yuan, which is largely traded in Hong Kong and not subjected to 2% daily limit from central parity set by Peoples Bank of China (PBoC) everyday, is leading the drop in Yuan today further widening the spread...
The spotlight is on Chinese data and the currency
Jan 03, 2016 23:23 pm UTC| Commentary
The markets attention will likely remain on the CNY, given that the Chinese authorities have signalled that they will allow the currency to fall more against the USD. The recent announcement of the launch of the CFETS CNY...
Dec 28, 2015 13:18 pm UTC| Technicals
Crude price recovery needs supply glut yet to rebalance: The commodity markets seem to be cautious on price recovery in both base metals and oil to recover through 2016. On the other hand, the underlying forces of the...
Caution suggested on CNH short positions into the year-end
Dec 24, 2015 10:10 am UTC| Insights & Views
Earlier this month, the Peoples Bank of China announced that it would begin to calculate and track the value of RMB versus a basket of currencies instead of just the US dollar. On 11 December, the PBoC posted an editorial...
USD/CNY likely to test 7.0 by end of 2016
Dec 22, 2015 10:27 am UTC| Commentary
China central bank PBoCs FX intervention cannot continue indefinetely. The GDP growth is widening , inflation and interest rate differentials also point out for a higher USD/CNY. RMBs inclusion into the IMF SDR basket...
Risk of capital outflow persists in China on Fed rate hike
Dec 22, 2015 09:38 am UTC| Commentary Economy
Greater tolerance for CNY weakness against the USD is likely to support the ebbed capital outflows moving ahead. The outflows might have risen in November. These are evidenced by a notable decline in PBoC FX Reserves of...
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