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Sun, May 19, 2024 01:07 PM All times are UTC

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Currency War Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Sharp rise in real interest rates could negate need for additional BCB tightening

Jan 14, 2016 15:23 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Brazilian real moved back above the 4.00 threshold and stabilised within the 4.00 and 4.07 over the last couple of weeks. Data last week showed that Brazils inflation rate closed 2015 at the highest level in more than...

Currency War Series

What will RBI respond to – weak inflation or weak Rupee?

Jan 14, 2016 13:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Raghuram Rajan took charge of Reserve Bank of India in September, 2013 at a time when Indian economy and Rupee was facing massive turmoil. His arrival, followed by landslide election by reform promising Bhartiya Janata...

Currency War Series

Reserve Bank of Australia unlikely to ease policy in 2016

Jan 14, 2016 11:08 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In order to aid the Australian economys adjustment and keep the AUD from declining, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate twice last year. Policy easing in 2016 is not expected by analysts as officials stated...

Currency War Series

Bank of England likely to hike rates in Q2 2016

Jan 14, 2016 09:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Great Britains CPI inflation has been close to zero for most of 2015 but is expected to rise in the beginning of this year as the effects of lower oil prices and the stronger GBP fade away, while medium-term inflation...

Renminbi Series

Currency War Series

PBoC likely to ease monetary policy before Chinese New Year

Jan 14, 2016 09:28 am UTC| Commentary

The Peoples Bank of China has injected CNY 160bn through 7-day reverse repos today in the morning. Moreover, in a bid to cool the market fears, the central bank sent USD-CNY fixing rate 14pips lower. However, there were...

Currency War Series

RBI rate cut expectations rise on weak IIP data

Jan 14, 2016 06:55 am UTC| Commentary

Indias Index of Industrial Production (IIP) and headline CPI data have raised expectations for the RBI to further ease the monetary policy. As inflation continues to be within the central banks target rate at 5.6% y/y and...

Currency War Series

Fed would welcome interest rate hike even in 2016

Jan 13, 2016 22:14 pm UTC| Commentary

While looking at the current economic situation in US, markets expect better than expected GDP as well as labour market report in coming months. Such favourable economic data lead the Fed to surprise markets positively,...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

OpenAI Founders Sam Altman and Greg Brockman Defend After Safety Researchers Quit

OpenAI founders Sam Altman and Greg Brockman are defending their safety measures after top researchers Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike resigned, highlighting internal disagreements on AI priorities. Key OpenAI Safety...

Analyst Predicts Ethereum ETF to Trigger Major ETH Market Moves Soon

Cryptocurrency analyst Michael van de Poppe forecasts that the upcoming Ethereum ETF announcement will cause significant market moves, despite a recent decline in trading volume. Ethereums ETF Announcement Expected to...

Venezuela Acts Tough on Crypto Mining Amid Energy Squeeze, Disconnects Bitcoin Farms

Venezuelas Ministry of Electric Power is disconnecting cryptocurrency mining farms from the national grid to manage energy demand and ensure a stable power supply. This measure follows the recent seizure of 2,000 Bitcoin...

AI 'Godfather' Warns of Job Displacement, Advocates for Universal Basic Income

Renowned AI godfather Geoffrey Hinton warns of significant job losses due to AI, urging governments to adopt universal basic income as a countermeasure. Hinton Advocates for Universal Basic Income According to...

Shiba Inu: Top Analyst Identifies Coin as 'Potential Gold Mine'; Price Analysis Suggests 35% Upside

Top analyst Davie Satoshi sees Shiba Inu (SHIB) as a potential gold mine; price analysis predicts a 35% upside. Key Pattern in SHIBs Price Chart The Shiba Inu (SHIB) memecoin has caught the eye of many analysts....