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Currency War Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

RBA comfort with current policy settings

Jan 07, 2016 23:19 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In Australia, the domestic case for easier policy remains weak in the near-term despite signs of slower housing sector activity and weak commodity prices. Surveyed business conditions remain well above average and the...

Currency War Series

Danish rate hike unlikely to be the first of many

Jan 07, 2016 17:55 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Todays rate hike by the Danish central bank is not wholly surprising after the National Banks repeated intervention in 2015 to strengthen the krone. The National bank announced that it would raise the deposit rate from a...

Currency War Series

Will BoJ’s current asset purchase program succeed in achieving price stability target?

Jan 07, 2016 16:37 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Revised data showed that Japans economy has avoided another technical recession; real GDP grew by 0.3% q/q (+1.7% y/y) in Q3, following a 0.1% q/q contraction (+0.7% y/y) in the April-June period. However, economic...

Currency War Series

Poloz reiterates that Bank of Canada will not follow the Fed higher

Jan 07, 2016 16:27 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz spoke in Ottawa this morning on the divergence between U.S. monetary policy and that in the rest of the world, including Canada. The governor emphasized that the divergence in...

Currency War Series

Improving headline CPI and wage inflation to pave the way towards the first BoE rate hike in 2016

Jan 07, 2016 16:10 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

UKs economy in 2016 is likely to see a decent growth at 2%, down from an estimated 2.2% in 2015 and 2.9% in 2014, supported by growth in consumer spending. However as real income gains slow on the back of gradually rising...

Currency War Series

Are currency wars likely to be the new norm in 2016?

Jan 07, 2016 14:35 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

2016 view is not significantly different from that in 2015 - mainly because many of the variables havent changed very much. Major central banks around the globe will do very little to alter their current paths. The BoE...

Currency War Series

BoJ unlikely to expand QE further in 2016

Jan 07, 2016 06:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Japanese yens safe-haven appeal is in high demand in start of 2016 after Chinas central bank devalued its currency again, creating even more uncertainty among investors. The USD/JPY cross was trading 0.43% lower at...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

OpenAI Founders Sam Altman and Greg Brockman Defend After Safety Researchers Quit

OpenAI founders Sam Altman and Greg Brockman are defending their safety measures after top researchers Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike resigned, highlighting internal disagreements on AI priorities. Key OpenAI Safety...

Analyst Predicts Ethereum ETF to Trigger Major ETH Market Moves Soon

Cryptocurrency analyst Michael van de Poppe forecasts that the upcoming Ethereum ETF announcement will cause significant market moves, despite a recent decline in trading volume. Ethereums ETF Announcement Expected to...

Venezuela Acts Tough on Crypto Mining Amid Energy Squeeze, Disconnects Bitcoin Farms

Venezuelas Ministry of Electric Power is disconnecting cryptocurrency mining farms from the national grid to manage energy demand and ensure a stable power supply. This measure follows the recent seizure of 2,000 Bitcoin...

AI 'Godfather' Warns of Job Displacement, Advocates for Universal Basic Income

Renowned AI godfather Geoffrey Hinton warns of significant job losses due to AI, urging governments to adopt universal basic income as a countermeasure. Hinton Advocates for Universal Basic Income According to...

Shiba Inu: Top Analyst Identifies Coin as 'Potential Gold Mine'; Price Analysis Suggests 35% Upside

Top analyst Davie Satoshi sees Shiba Inu (SHIB) as a potential gold mine; price analysis predicts a 35% upside. Key Pattern in SHIBs Price Chart The Shiba Inu (SHIB) memecoin has caught the eye of many analysts....