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Asian Currencies Steady as Yuan Weakens on Soft Trade Data, Dollar Slips on Rate Cut Bets

Asian Currencies Steady as Yuan Weakens on Soft Trade Data, Dollar Slips on Rate Cut Bets.

Most Asian currencies traded in tight ranges on Friday, showing limited gains despite a weaker U.S. dollar, as market sentiment stayed cautious amid ongoing equity market sell-offs. The Chinese yuan slipped after data revealed the country’s exports contracted for the first time since March 2024, while its trade surplus narrowed unexpectedly, signaling continued economic headwinds.

The USD/CNY pair rose about 0.1% after October’s trade figures highlighted slowing export growth due to persistent trade frictions with the U.S., which eased only after a late-October agreement. Imports also rose at a slower pace, underlining weak domestic demand in China, the world’s second-largest economy.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar retreated from recent three-month highs following weak employment data. Reports from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed U.S. job cuts surged to over 150,000 in October — the highest in 20 years — amplifying fears of a cooling labor market. Traders are now pricing in a 65.8% chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, up from 59.8% a day earlier, according to CME FedWatch. The greenback’s weakness came as investors focused more on private labor data amid a delayed release of official figures due to a prolonged U.S. government shutdown.

In Japan, the yen weakened as disappointing wage and spending data dampened hopes for near-term interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The USD/JPY pair gained slightly on Friday but was still down 0.6% for the week.

Across the region, other Asian currencies traded mixed. The USD/SGD rose 0.1%, USD/TWD dipped 0.1%, while USD/KRW climbed 0.5% as foreign capital outflows hit South Korean equities. The AUD/USD slipped 0.1%, and the USD/INR held steady above 88 rupees.

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