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Record Gold Prices Driven by Safe Haven Demand
Gold prices surged to $2,705.26 per ounce in Asian trading on Friday, benefiting from increased safe-haven demand as the highly contested U.S. presidential election approaches. Spot gold rose by 0.4%, while December futures increased by 0.5%, reaching $2,720.15 an ounce.
U.S. Election Dynamics Impacting Gold
As the election draws near, polls indicate a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. This electoral uncertainty has prompted investors to flock to gold as a safe asset. Recent surveys suggest Harris holds a slight lead, yet prediction markets favor a Trump victory, escalating anxiety over the election's outcome.
ECB Rate Cut Supports Gold Prices
Gold's ascent is also attributed to a 25 basis point rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB). This monetary easing signals that global central banks remain in a rate-cutting mode, likely boosting demand for non-yielding assets like gold.
Despite a stronger U.S. dollar, which reached a two-and-a-half-month high, gold maintained its value. Strong retail sales and job data suggest that the Federal Reserve may slow its rate cuts. As tensions in the Middle East rise, with Israel preparing for retaliation against Iran, safe-haven demand for gold remains robust.
Conclusion
The combination of U.S. election uncertainty, ECB monetary policy shifts, and geopolitical tensions continues to drive gold prices to record highs, showcasing the metal's role as a hedge against market volatility.
