RBI Cuts Repo Rate to 5.25% as Inflation Cools and Growth Outlook Strengthens 
Citi Sets Bullish 2026 Target for STOXX 600 as Fiscal Support and Monetary Easing Boost Outlook 
BOJ Faces Pressure for Clarity, but Neutral Rate Estimates Likely to Stay Vague 
Asian Markets Mixed as Fed Rate Cut Bets Grow and Japan’s Nikkei Leads Gains 
Dollar Weakens Ahead of Expected Federal Reserve Rate Cut 
Oil Prices Rise as Ukraine Targets Russian Energy Infrastructure 
Asian Currencies Edge Higher as Markets Look to Fed Rate Cut; Rupee Steadies Near Record Lows 
Oil Prices Hold Steady as Ukraine Tensions and Fed Cut Expectations Support Market 
Germany’s Economic Recovery Slows as Trade Tensions and Rising Costs Weigh on Growth 
China Urged to Prioritize Economy Over Territorial Ambitions, Says Taiwan’s President Lai 
Asian Currencies Steady as Markets Await Fed Rate Decision; Indian Rupee Hits New Record Low 
Japan’s Nikkei Drops as Markets Await Key U.S. Inflation Data 
Dollar Slides to Five-Week Low as Asian Stocks Struggle and Markets Bet on Fed Rate Cut 
European Stocks Rise as Markets Await Key U.S. Inflation Data 
Asian Markets Stabilize as Wall Street Rebounds and Rate Concerns Ease 
As traders brace for another pivotal session on Monday, July 7, 2025, several critical U.S. economic updates could influence market direction. Investors will closely monitor the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report at 3:30 PM ET, offering insights into speculative positions in key futures markets. S&P 500 futures saw a previous net short position of -144.8K, while the Nasdaq 100 held a bullish 16.5K. Gold and crude oil futures showed strong speculative interest, with prior readings at 195.0K and 233.0K, respectively. Copper (29.4K), silver (62.9K), and soybeans (55.9K) also reflected bullish sentiment, while natural gas (-93.8K), wheat (-71.2K), and corn (-130.6K) positions pointed to continued bearish bets.
Also at 3:30 PM ET, aluminum speculative positions will be reported, with the previous reading at 0.7K. These data points provide valuable indicators of risk appetite and hedge fund positioning.
At 4:30 PM ET, the Federal Reserve’s latest balance sheet update will shed light on monetary policy trends, with the prior figure at $6.622 trillion. Reserve balances with Fed banks, previously at $3.347 trillion, will also be released, offering clues on liquidity conditions in the banking system.
Earlier in the day, the Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index, due at 10:00 AM ET, will give a composite view of labor market momentum. Meanwhile, Treasury will auction 3-month and 6-month bills at 11:30 AM ET, with previous yields at 4.250% and 4.150%, respectively, signaling short-term borrowing costs and investor demand for government securities.
With markets highly sensitive to macro signals, these releases could trigger volatility across equities, commodities, and bonds. Traders are advised to stay alert.
