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Mon, Apr 27, 2026 03:14 AM All times are UTC

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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CNH vols seems rich but risk reversal hedges cheap – USD/CNH seagull for hedging

Sep 21, 2016 10:23 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

USDCNH continues to be a favored strategic vol short that we are willing to hold through event risks this month. The rationale for the trade has not changed since initiation faith in the PBoC to engineer orderly, low...

RBNZ likely to stand pat on policy today

Sep 21, 2016 09:59 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will announce its monetary policy around 21:00 GMT. Over the past year or so, RBNZ has reduced rates from 3.5 percent to 2 percent, which is an all-time low, however, the bank is...

Central Bank of Turkey likely to lower overnight lending rate by 25bps

Sep 21, 2016 09:03 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Central Bank of Turkey is likely to lower its overnight lending rate during its meeting tomorrow. According to a Commerzbank research note, the CBT might cut the interest rate by 25 basis points. However, other policy...

What to watch from FOMC meet ahead?

Sep 21, 2016 08:33 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

We expect a great deal of debate among FOMC policymakers over the path of thehikes as well as whether to go for a hike at this meeting or not. Since the last meeting in July, several policymakers openly called for afaster...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY backspreads for bearish hedging - 1m IV skews jack up payoffs but minimize losses regardless of swings

Sep 21, 2016 08:19 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

1W and 1M ATM IVs of GBPJPY are rising in OTC markets, flashing a tad below 13% and 12.29% respectively on the BoJs monetary policy. 1w IV skews are equally interested in both OTM calls and OTM puts, while 1m skews...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY IV skews conducive for put writers – Ideal time to capitalize on momentary upswings owing to BOJ in “credit put spreads”

Sep 21, 2016 07:42 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The yen is pressurized against the US dollar, the pair spiked to the highs of 102.784, settled to trade at 102.040 levels currently, trimming its advance this year to about 17 percent. While GBPJPY is no exception, has...

FxWirePro: How to trade Yen after BoJ policy?

Sep 21, 2016 07:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) launched very ambitious policy tweaks todaywhile keeping the interest rates and purchase target at the same level. For the first time, in its history and among the history of its peers, the BoJ has...

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Economy

Chip Stocks Rally on AI Optimism as Oil Price Surge Adds Market Tension

Oil prices climbed sharply on Monday as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations continued to disrupt Middle East energy exports, fueling concerns across global markets. Brent crude futures rose nearly 2%, reaching a three-week high...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low as Iran Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a historic low in April, reflecting growing anxiety over rising inflation and energy costs despite a ceasefire in the Iran conflict. According to the University of Michigans Surveys of...

ECB Rate Outlook: Ceasefire Eases Pressure but Hikes Still Expected in 2026

The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to meet next Thursday, and recent geopolitical developmentsparticularly the Iran war ceasefirehave temporarily reduced pressure for an immediate interest rate hike. However,...

Brazil Current Account Deficit Widens in March as FDI Misses Expectations

Brazils current account deficit expanded more than expected in March, highlighting growing external pressures on Latin Americas largest economy. According to central bank data, the deficit reached $6.036 billion,...

Araqchi Leads Iran’s Diplomatic Push as U.S. Talks and Oil Market Tensions Rise

Irans Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi arrived in Islamabad to discuss potential steps toward restarting peace talks with the United States, signaling cautious optimism after weeks of escalating conflict. The ongoing...

Politics

DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects

The U.S. Department of Justice has officially ended its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a decision announced by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro that could significantly impact the future leadership of...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Crisis Deepens as Traffic Plunges Amid Iran-U.S. Tensions

Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped dramatically, with only five vesselsincluding an Iranian oil products tankerpassing through the strategic waterway in the past 24 hours, according to recent...

India Slams “Hellhole” Remark Linked to Trump Post, Reaffirms Strong US Relations

India has strongly criticized remarks describing the country as a hellhole, calling them uninformed and inappropriate, after U.S. President Donald Trump shared a transcript of a controversial radio segment on his Truth...

Iran Proposes Strait of Hormuz Reopening Deal Amid Stalled U.S. Talks

Iran has reportedly submitted a new proposal to the United States aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing ongoing geopolitical tensions, according to a report by Axios citing U.S. officials and sources familiar...

U.S. Budget Airlines Seek $2.5 Billion Government Aid Amid Rising Jet Fuel Costs

A group of U.S. budget airlines, including Frontier Airlines and Avelo Airlines, is reportedly pursuing $2.5 billion in government assistance to offset surging operational costs driven by rising jet fuel prices. According...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...