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Downside risks to inflation outlook likely to keep BoC on an accommodative monetary policy stance

Sep 12, 2016 09:50 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

Canadian economy started 2016 on a strong footing, growing 0.6 percent q/q in Q1. However, it was unable to sustain the strong momentum into Q2. Oil production downtime caused by the wildfires was the main drag. That said,...

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Sep 12, 2016 08:15 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

This week is relatively less risk heavy compared to last week. Nevertheless, a fresh batch of data from the United Kingdomshould keep the drums beating. What to watch for over the coming days: U.S. economic...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: BoE’s OBR cut expectation anchors IV pace in pounds OTC market - Hedge GBP/JPY downside risks using Vega ATM options in 3way straddles

Sep 12, 2016 08:08 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

1W and 2W ATM IVs of GBP crosses are rising dramatically in OTC markets, GBPJPY flashing more than 13% and 16% respectively ahead of this weeks monetary policy by Bank of England which is likely to stand pat but previous...

FxWirePro: Stay long in USD/TWD 3m NDFs carrying attractive risk reward ratio

Sep 12, 2016 07:28 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Initiate long in USDTWD at spot reference 31.75 entered via 3m NDF with a stop target of 33.14 (+4.3%) and a stop slightly below the recent low at 30.99 (-2.3%). The trade horizon would be 3-4 months. With negative...

Czech National Bank likely to have intervened more in August to defend EUR/CZK floor at 27

Sep 12, 2016 07:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Czech National Banks latest balance sheet data implies that the central bank has had to intervene more in recent weeks in order to defend the EUR/CZK floor at 27, said Commerzbank in a research note. The preliminary...

No action from BoE in Sept, all attention likely on the minutes to gauge future rate cuts

Sep 09, 2016 12:07 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

After delivering a comprehensive package of policy easing measures in August, the Bank of England is widely expected to stay pat at its September policy meeting scheduled next week. Focus is likely to be on the wording in...

Higher Swiss jobless rate poses concern for SNB; overvalued franc deepens the cause

Sep 09, 2016 10:06 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The jobless rate in Switzerland rose for the first time since May, during the month of August, shrugging expectations for an unchanged figure, raising concerns for the Swiss National Bank. Also, an overvalued franc is...

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Economy

Chip Stocks Rally on AI Optimism as Oil Price Surge Adds Market Tension

Oil prices climbed sharply on Monday as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations continued to disrupt Middle East energy exports, fueling concerns across global markets. Brent crude futures rose nearly 2%, reaching a three-week high...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low as Iran Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a historic low in April, reflecting growing anxiety over rising inflation and energy costs despite a ceasefire in the Iran conflict. According to the University of Michigans Surveys of...

ECB Rate Outlook: Ceasefire Eases Pressure but Hikes Still Expected in 2026

The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to meet next Thursday, and recent geopolitical developmentsparticularly the Iran war ceasefirehave temporarily reduced pressure for an immediate interest rate hike. However,...

Brazil Current Account Deficit Widens in March as FDI Misses Expectations

Brazils current account deficit expanded more than expected in March, highlighting growing external pressures on Latin Americas largest economy. According to central bank data, the deficit reached $6.036 billion,...

Araqchi Leads Iran’s Diplomatic Push as U.S. Talks and Oil Market Tensions Rise

Irans Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi arrived in Islamabad to discuss potential steps toward restarting peace talks with the United States, signaling cautious optimism after weeks of escalating conflict. The ongoing...

Politics

DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects

The U.S. Department of Justice has officially ended its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a decision announced by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro that could significantly impact the future leadership of...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Crisis Deepens as Traffic Plunges Amid Iran-U.S. Tensions

Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped dramatically, with only five vesselsincluding an Iranian oil products tankerpassing through the strategic waterway in the past 24 hours, according to recent...

India Slams “Hellhole” Remark Linked to Trump Post, Reaffirms Strong US Relations

India has strongly criticized remarks describing the country as a hellhole, calling them uninformed and inappropriate, after U.S. President Donald Trump shared a transcript of a controversial radio segment on his Truth...

Iran Proposes Strait of Hormuz Reopening Deal Amid Stalled U.S. Talks

Iran has reportedly submitted a new proposal to the United States aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing ongoing geopolitical tensions, according to a report by Axios citing U.S. officials and sources familiar...

U.S. Budget Airlines Seek $2.5 Billion Government Aid Amid Rising Jet Fuel Costs

A group of U.S. budget airlines, including Frontier Airlines and Avelo Airlines, is reportedly pursuing $2.5 billion in government assistance to offset surging operational costs driven by rising jet fuel prices. According...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...
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