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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Speculators to snap profits in Yen owing to BoJ this week but stay hedged in EM baskets

Sep 20, 2016 12:22 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

FX vols are transitioning from liquidity induced calm to fitful disorder created by recurring bond sell-offs. Upticks in rate sensitive long-expiry options and greater risk premium for carry FX/ EM vols are two potential...

FxWirePro: EUR/USD Iron Condors in jerking IVs as FOMC tiptoes funds rate hike

Sep 20, 2016 11:24 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Background: FOMC tiptoes toward December, Fed officials have done little to persuade the markets that a hike is imminent and we believe the FOMC has little appetite to deliver a surprise. As a result, we think the Fed is...

Norges Bank likely to leave key interest rate unchanged

Sep 20, 2016 10:49 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Norwegian central bank, Norges Bank, is mostly likely to leave its key rate unchanged at 0.5 percent during its meeting on Thursday, according to Nordea Bank. In its latest MPR, which was released in June, the central...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Would you want to bear BoJ’s policy uncertainties and BoC minutes - Hedge CAD/JPY risks via 3 way straddle vs call on HY IVs

Sep 20, 2016 08:26 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Although the Bank of Canada sees an overheated housing market and rapidly rising prices as significant financial sector vulnerabilities, Governor Poloz has said that the policy rate is too blunt a tool to try to mitigate...

ECB speeds up purchase of corporate bonds

Sep 20, 2016 07:37 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

To the astonishment of most of the analysts, the European Central Bank (ECB) has ramped up its purchase of corporate bonds under its quantitative easing program. Since July, European Central Bank (ECB) has on an average...

FxWirePro: Heads up on BoJ’s likely tweak in monetary policy – Put fly in JPY crosses

Sep 20, 2016 07:25 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Ahead of Wednesdays BoJ meeting, which we expect to be more material than the Fed conclave on the same day, we discuss why tweaks to the BoJs easing program can extend these moves and deliver yen strength. The outcome...

Currency War Series

U.S. Fed likely to remain on hold, may revise down 2016 GDP growth outlook

Sep 20, 2016 07:04 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The U.S. Fed is likely to refrain from hiking its interest rates tomorrow, according to Nordea Bank. The communication of the U.S. central bank has been ambiguous ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Fed Chair Janet Yellen...

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Economy

Chip Stocks Rally on AI Optimism as Oil Price Surge Adds Market Tension

Oil prices climbed sharply on Monday as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations continued to disrupt Middle East energy exports, fueling concerns across global markets. Brent crude futures rose nearly 2%, reaching a three-week high...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low as Iran Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a historic low in April, reflecting growing anxiety over rising inflation and energy costs despite a ceasefire in the Iran conflict. According to the University of Michigans Surveys of...

ECB Rate Outlook: Ceasefire Eases Pressure but Hikes Still Expected in 2026

The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to meet next Thursday, and recent geopolitical developmentsparticularly the Iran war ceasefirehave temporarily reduced pressure for an immediate interest rate hike. However,...

Brazil Current Account Deficit Widens in March as FDI Misses Expectations

Brazils current account deficit expanded more than expected in March, highlighting growing external pressures on Latin Americas largest economy. According to central bank data, the deficit reached $6.036 billion,...

Araqchi Leads Iran’s Diplomatic Push as U.S. Talks and Oil Market Tensions Rise

Irans Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi arrived in Islamabad to discuss potential steps toward restarting peace talks with the United States, signaling cautious optimism after weeks of escalating conflict. The ongoing...

Politics

DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects

The U.S. Department of Justice has officially ended its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a decision announced by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro that could significantly impact the future leadership of...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Crisis Deepens as Traffic Plunges Amid Iran-U.S. Tensions

Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped dramatically, with only five vesselsincluding an Iranian oil products tankerpassing through the strategic waterway in the past 24 hours, according to recent...

India Slams “Hellhole” Remark Linked to Trump Post, Reaffirms Strong US Relations

India has strongly criticized remarks describing the country as a hellhole, calling them uninformed and inappropriate, after U.S. President Donald Trump shared a transcript of a controversial radio segment on his Truth...

Iran Proposes Strait of Hormuz Reopening Deal Amid Stalled U.S. Talks

Iran has reportedly submitted a new proposal to the United States aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing ongoing geopolitical tensions, according to a report by Axios citing U.S. officials and sources familiar...

U.S. Budget Airlines Seek $2.5 Billion Government Aid Amid Rising Jet Fuel Costs

A group of U.S. budget airlines, including Frontier Airlines and Avelo Airlines, is reportedly pursuing $2.5 billion in government assistance to offset surging operational costs driven by rising jet fuel prices. According...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...
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