Emerging Market Crisis Series

Growth in Emerging Market likely to be weaker on China’s volatility

Jan 13, 2016 06:24 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Chinas equity markets and currency stabilised today with the help of Peoples Bank of Chinas Yuan intervention. The dispersion around the expected growth of China that is tilted on the downside is the continued cause of...

Currency War Series

Banxico chases Fed policy despite unfavourable domestic condition

Jan 12, 2016 22:11 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Banxico hiked the interest rate by 25bp just after the Federal Reserve hiked the rate in December. While looking at the current domestic condition in Mexico, hiking the interest rate is not the appropriate step but Banxico...

Markets await for ECB minutes for signs

Jan 12, 2016 16:25 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

ECBs December meeting minutes are scheduled to be released on 14th Jan and markets will be looking for signs of readiness from the central bank to do more if needed. Markets are quite optimistic in this respect. Minutes...

China Crisis Series

China inspired volatility to continue in 2016

Jan 12, 2016 16:07 pm UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Today is off to a good start in the markets as Chinas currency and equity markets stabilize abetted by Chinas Central Bank Yuan intervention. A continued source of volatility is the dispersion around Chinas expected growth...

Currency War Series

Softer wages and inflation point to a dovish BoE

Jan 12, 2016 15:48 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

BOE recently pushed back hike call to November 2016 from May 2016. Despite continued strong jobs gains, wage data have softened. Along with downward growth revisions and Brexit uncertainties, the BoE now has plenty of...

Currency War Series

Strategic divergence between BoE and Fed builds

Jan 12, 2016 15:04 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Central banks can have two responses to a tightening economy, they could either hike earlier and more gradually, or later and not quite so gradually. The former was BoEs likely approach six months ago, but as we stand...

ECB unlikely to ease policies in January meet

Jan 12, 2016 12:20 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After substantial measures taken in 2015 and with the ongoing recovery, no further policy easing is expected from the ECB, however, with Core Inflation around 1% Y/Y, the ECBs further easing cannot be ruled out. The next...