Fed will move more slowly than normal in 2016

Dec 09, 2015 02:40 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Markets are expecting a strong retail sales report on Friday but after three months of zero growth one isnt quite sure if thats really strong or not. Even were the 0.3% (MoM, sa) rise in headline sales that markets expect...

Currency War Series

RBI to cut final 25bp in February with inflation in 5-6% range; rains key

Dec 09, 2015 00:32 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan is expected to cut 25bp in February. Inflation should peak at 5.5-6% by January 2016 to meet the RBIs under-6% target. The RBI will be on a long pause thereafter. RBIs around 5% March 2017...

BoC governor Poloz shows off unconventional policy tools, but they are staying on the shelf for now

Dec 08, 2015 21:54 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz spoke in Toronto today. His speech covered the tools at the Bank of Canadas disposal for providing unconventional monetary policy, as well as the outlook for the Canadian economy in...

Currency War Series

FxWirePro: Central banks adds their bits in monetary policies for Scandi FX but likely to sense pressures from crude oil

Dec 08, 2015 13:08 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Currency crosses in Scandis are cushioned with the impetus from their respective central banks single mindedly targeting growth in Norway and inflation in Sweden. Growth will eliminate the output gap and core inflation...

Renminbi Series

China FX reserve tumbles over outflow and valuation

Dec 08, 2015 11:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Chinas FX reserve tumbled by $87 billion in November, despite positive current account of $54.1 billion, bringing back fears of outflow return, which massacred Chinas FX reserve in August, when FX reserve fell by record...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Why is it still crucial?

Dec 08, 2015 10:47 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The event the world has been awaiting, preparing and speculating for is finally approaching - meeting by US Federal Reserve, in which US interest rates will finally rise from their zero bound. After Fridays super job...

BoE rate hike - sooner or later?

Dec 08, 2015 09:30 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

UKs growth is comparable to that of U.S., andinflation is similar to that of Euro zone. Positve economic momentum will be shown throughthe central bank ratessooner or later. BoE recently indicated that it will raise...