Latest payroll report won’t tip Fed’s hand
Sep 04, 2015 14:32 pm UTC| Commentary
The non-farms payroll report missed expectations on the headline number with only 173K jobs added to the economy in August. However, the report actually confirms the underlying strength of the U.S. labor market. The...
Fed likely to delay hikes to 2016
Sep 04, 2015 12:46 pm UTC| Commentary
Volatility in financial markets doesnt always correspond to changes in the economic fundamentals, but in the current environment the likelihood of another global growth disap-pointment this year has increased. The outlook...

Are negative interest rates next in CZK?
Sep 04, 2015 12:26 pm UTC| Commentary
The CZK was the top performing currency in August, rising 2.2% vs the USD and 0.13% vs the EUR. The current account surplus (0.6% of GDP in 2014) offers stability during periods of market stress.Q2 GDP rose to 4.4% yoy...

Sep 04, 2015 12:05 pm UTC| Commentary
The HUF underperformed CZK, RON and PLN over the past month, partly the result of worse than forecast macro data. Q2 GDP slowed from 3.5% yoy in Q1 to 2.7% in Q2, the lowest since Q3 13. Headline CPI fell to 0.4% yoy in...
Indian Rupee not spared by lower oil prices
Sep 04, 2015 11:14 am UTC| Commentary
The INR fell 3.5% last month, marking the third worst Asian performance after the MYR (-8.6%) and IDR (-3.8%). Despite lower oil prices (lower trade deficit), portfolio outflows (equities) have accelerated from...
Emerging Market meltdown continues
Sep 04, 2015 11:05 am UTC| Commentary
Every day brings a new high for USD-EM. Yesterday USD-BRL edged above 3.80 after BCB kept rates on hold at 14.25%. USD-TRY moved within striking distance of 3.00 following worse than expected CPI for August which printed...

Unfavourable weather conditions in Brazil and India lead to soaring sugar price
Sep 04, 2015 09:27 am UTC| Commentary
The sugar price rose by a significant 5.7% yesterday and closed at 11.34 US cents per pound. The sharp increase in price was due among other things to fears that heavy rainfall in Brazil could delay harvesting of the sugar...