GBP: 8-1 inflicts minor setback, BoE raises rate profile
Aug 06, 2015 15:57 pm UTC| Commentary
Sterling 5y and 10y swap rates rose around 2bp but Sonia forward rates are dribbling lower after it emerged that the BoE MPC voted 8-1 to keep the Bank rate unchanged at 0.50%. The Bank did not rule out the possibility of...
US Labor market conditions probably tightened further in July
Aug 06, 2015 15:14 pm UTC| Commentary
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) update on the employment situation in July will mark the first of a pair of reports on nationwide hiring activity ahead of what could be a pivotal Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)...
Dovish BoE due to strong sterling and lower oil price
Aug 06, 2015 14:55 pm UTC| Commentary
Today was the first time we had the new Super Thursday setup as the policy announcement, MPC minutes and the Inflation Report were all released at the same time. The members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) were...
Higher corporate debt puts pressure on RUB
Aug 06, 2015 10:48 am UTC| Commentary
After a substantial sell-off in December 2014 when the daily correlation between the rouble and the oil price in the short run vanished. The relationship has come back into the main picture as the price of Brent slid under...

Russia imports likely to fall in 2015-16
Aug 06, 2015 09:38 am UTC| Commentary
Due to demand-side shock, the growth in Russian private consumption continued to be in negative territory throughout H1 15. Households access to loans has become very limited and is curbed by high interest rates. In...
BOC to bring overnight rate to 0.25% in Q1 16
Aug 06, 2015 09:36 am UTC| Commentary
The BOC is expected to bring the overnight rate to 0.25% in January."Lowering the overnight rate below 0.25% is unlikely, given potential disruptions in the functioning of repo markets, where increased fails are already an...
BOC to ease further in January
Aug 06, 2015 09:31 am UTC| Commentary
The BOC cut the overnight rate by another 25bp in July."Although the Bank continues to provide little guidance on the future direction of the policy, further policy easing is expected, of yet another 25bp cut in January",...