Weaker oil price and ineffective monetary policy pats Russian economy
Aug 06, 2015 06:25 am UTC| Commentary
The Russian economy has entered recession on the weak oil price, the lagging effects of aggressive monetary policy, accelerated inflation, increased capital costs and falling investment in the challenging geopolitical...
EUR/USD likely on par by end 2015
Aug 06, 2015 06:16 am UTC| Commentary
EUR/USD at end-2015 is likely at parity. A December Fed rate hike, instead of our call for September, could lead to a more volatile path. Although the US datahas not been strong enough and the Eurozone data has not been...
Aug 06, 2015 06:08 am UTC| Commentary
A volatile path is expected towards a lower range for the euro in the rest of the year. Indeed, EUR/USD is now trading around 1.10, while it was trading closer to 1.15 in spring. The Fed to hike rates this year...
Pressure mounts for MYR depreciation
Aug 06, 2015 05:45 am UTC| Commentary
BNM has been defending USD/MYR at 3.805-3.81 levels for almost 3 weeks now and has spent a lot of precious reserves in doing so. Malaysia reported a considerable decline of USD5bn (USD105.5bn to 100.5bn) in FX reserves for...
Aug 06, 2015 05:04 am UTC| Commentary
Policy divergence and US growth outperformance are expected to underpin the dollar, even if downside risks in China are realized. EUR/USD forecasts are at 1.00 for year-end 2015."Year-end USD/JPY and GBP/USD forecasts...
Pressure mounts for MYR depreciation
Aug 06, 2015 04:55 am UTC| Commentary
BNM has been defending USD/MYR at 3.805-3.81 levels for almost 3 weeks now and has spent a lot of precious reserves in doing so. Malaysia reported a considerable decline of USD5bn (USD105.5bn to 100.5bn) in FX reserves for...
Fed signals low bar for September hike
Aug 06, 2015 04:54 am UTC| Commentary
The dollar extended its rally since the June FOMC meeting as the market priced increased chances of a September hike. The July FOMC statement highlighted the bar for hikes is not high with the Committee only needing to see...