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Paul Whiteley

Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Harris nudges ahead of Trump in the polls – but could the economy prove her downfall?

Oct 25, 2024 12:16 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The current US vice-president and Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, appears to have nudged ahead of her Republican rival, Donald Trump, in the race to the White House. A poll of polls, which combines...

Should Rishi Sunak even bother? What we know about how much election campaigns shift the dial

Jun 03, 2024 11:05 am UTC| Politics

With polls showing Labour enjoying a significant lead over the Conservatives for well over a year, a key question as the election campaign picks up pace is whether Rishi Sunak can do anything over the next few weeks to...

US under Trump Series

US election: why Latino and Hispanic voters are shifting to Trump after a long history of supporting the Democrats

May 21, 2024 05:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Several recent polls suggest that the Hispanic and Latino vote is shifting towards Donald Trump as the election moves closer. In a YouGov poll from May 8, 43% of Americans said they would vote for President Joe Biden...

US election: two graphs show how young voters influence presidential results as Biden gets poll boost

Mar 28, 2024 12:04 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

American politics is very polarised at the moment, with bitter disagreements between Democrats and Republicans in Congress, in the media and in the presidential campaign. One source of polarisation that is rarely...

Biden's not yet getting a poll bump for the improving economy – history tells us why

Jan 11, 2024 03:30 am UTC| Economy Politics

When Americans are confident about their economy, they tend to support the incumbent president. When they are not confident, they tend to withdraw that support. The chart below shows that relationship between consumer...

US election: Jewish and Muslim votes probably don't have the power to change the outcome – despite backlash on Gaza policy

Dec 26, 2023 23:08 pm UTC| Politics

Recent polling suggests that Joe Bidens policy of backing Israel in the Israeli-Palestinian war is hurting him in the eyes of American Muslims. An #AbandonBiden campaign was launched by Muslim voters in Minnesota in...

Biden's low approval ratings don't mean he is bound to lose the 2024 US election -- here's why

Nov 19, 2023 05:37 am UTC| Politics

US Democrats have been spooked by some recent polling which suggests that voters intend to pick Donald Trump ahead of Joe Biden in some key states in the 2024 presidential election. A CNN poll reported on the website...

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Economy

Asia's Manufacturing Activity Stagnates Amid Mixed Signals

Overview of Asias Manufacturing Activity in October Asias manufacturing activity experienced stagnation in October, as a rebound in China failed to significantly uplift regional factories, according to private...

U.S. Job Growth Expected to Slow Amid Hurricanes and Strikes

Overview of U.S. Job Growth in October U.S. job growth is anticipated to slow significantly in October due to the impact of recent hurricanes and strikes among aerospace factory workers. The Labor Departments...

New Home Prices in China Rise Amid Market Recovery Efforts

New Home Prices in China Rise Amid Market Recovery Efforts In October, new home prices in China experienced a notable increase, reflecting a potential shift in the property markets trajectory. According to a...

South Korea's Export Growth Falls to Seven-Month Low Amid Global Demand Concerns

South Koreas Export Growth Drops as Global Demand Slows South Koreas export growth slowed sharply in October, rising just 4.6% year-over-year to $57.52 billion, marking the smallest increase in seven months. This...

Macquarie Group Reports Lower-Than-Expected First-Half Profits Amid Commodities Slowdown

Macquarie Group Misses First-Half Profit Estimates as Commodities Trading Declines Macquarie Group, Australias largest investment bank, reported a first-half profit increase of 14% to A$1.61 billion (USD 1.06...

Politics

Donald Trump’s Last Crypto Call Rallies Bitcoin Supporters in High-Stakes Election Push

With Election Day only days away, Donald Trump intensifies his campaign to woo crypto advocates, announcing a sweeping Bitcoin agenda that promises to keep BTC mining stateside and challenges claims from Kamala Harris....

‘Garbage or Nazis?’ Gov. Tim Walz Defends Biden’s Remarks on Trump Supporters—‘He Was Very Clear!’ Critics Demand Apology

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz is facing backlash after defending President Joe Bidens recent comment that referred to Trump supporters as garbage. In his statement, Walz, who recently compared Trump supporters to Nazis,...

‘America’s Going to Love It!’ Elon Musk Teases ‘Fun’ Second Trump Presidency—‘It’s Gonna Be Awesome!’ Sparks Mixed Reactions

In a tweet that has stirred up strong opinions across social media, billionaire Elon Musk shared his take on a potential second presidency for former President Donald Trump, calling it the most fun America has had in a...

‘A System Flaw Exposed!’ Non-Citizen Voting Incident at University of Michigan Sparks Outrage—‘Ballot Will Still Count!’

A 19-year-old student from China, enrolled at the University of Michigan, faces charges of illegal voting and perjury for allegedly casting a ballot in the 2024 U.S. election. The case has ignited a firestorm of...

Science

Breakfast Secrets: 'Fiber-rich Foods Are the Key to Weight Loss!' Experts Reveal Shocking Truth

Health experts often emphasize the importance of a balanced diet combined with regular exercise for weight management. However, for many, achieving these goals can be a daunting challenge. Instead of drastic food...

Scabies Surge Sparks Alarm: Doctors Warn Brits, 'Don't Ignore That Rash!'

Doctors in the United Kingdom are sounding the alarm over a dramatic rise in scabies cases, urging residents not to dismiss any signs of the itchy skin condition. Recent data shows that hospitals detected approximately...

Just 21 Minutes of Cycling a Day Is 'All You Need' for Total Health, Claims Expert

John Vinton, CEO of Aventon Bikes, insists that just 21 minutes of cycling each day can drastically enhance your health. This simple yet transformative practice can lead to a multitude of benefits, including reduced risks...

Urgent Alert: New COVID Variant Causes Alarming Symptoms—You Must Know This!

The UK is experiencing a rise in COVID-19 cases, with the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) confirming that the XEC strain of the virus is spreading. This variant, a combination of the KS.1.1 and KP.3.3 strains, is...

Technology

Uber Hits Record Profit but Issues Cautious Holiday Forecast Amid Booking Slowdown

Despite achieving a record $1.06 billion operating profit in Q3, Uber Technologies Inc. announced a softer-than-anticipated outlook for the holiday quarter. Weaker ride bookings and currency exchange headwinds impacted...

Elon Musk Considers Solar + Battery for Starlink, Enhancing Portable Internet Access Worldwide

Elon Musk, SpaceX CEO, is exploring the potential for a solar and battery-powered Starlink system, responding to user demand for 24/7 high-speed internet access across diverse environments. This enhancement could offer...

Exxon and Chevron Navigate Oil Price Drop as Investor Returns Face Potential Strain

As oil prices slump and market surpluses grow, Exxon and Chevrons latest earnings show resilience yet reveal pressures on future investor returns. Both oil giants are navigating a drop in profits while affirming dividend...

Hyundai IONIQ 5 Sets New Sales Record as Upgraded 2025 Model Prepares for Launch

Hyundais IONIQ 5 continues to dominate the electric SUV market, setting a new October sales record in the U.S. With the release of the 2025 model imminent, the IONIQ 5 is poised for even greater success with upgrades,...
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