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Paul Whiteley

Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Global Geopolitics Series

How game theory predicts Trump might not do all that he threatens over Ukraine, Taiwan and Nato

Nov 19, 2024 07:46 am UTC| Insights & Views

Donald Trumps victory in the US presidential elections has left many across the world unsure about what he might do in his next term, and whether some of the threats he made about international policy will be followed...

Harris nudges ahead of Trump in the polls – but could the economy prove her downfall?

Oct 25, 2024 12:16 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The current US vice-president and Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, appears to have nudged ahead of her Republican rival, Donald Trump, in the race to the White House. A poll of polls, which combines...

Should Rishi Sunak even bother? What we know about how much election campaigns shift the dial

Jun 03, 2024 11:05 am UTC| Politics

With polls showing Labour enjoying a significant lead over the Conservatives for well over a year, a key question as the election campaign picks up pace is whether Rishi Sunak can do anything over the next few weeks to...

US under Trump Series

US election: why Latino and Hispanic voters are shifting to Trump after a long history of supporting the Democrats

May 21, 2024 05:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Several recent polls suggest that the Hispanic and Latino vote is shifting towards Donald Trump as the election moves closer. In a YouGov poll from May 8, 43% of Americans said they would vote for President Joe Biden...

US election: two graphs show how young voters influence presidential results as Biden gets poll boost

Mar 28, 2024 12:04 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

American politics is very polarised at the moment, with bitter disagreements between Democrats and Republicans in Congress, in the media and in the presidential campaign. One source of polarisation that is rarely...

Biden's not yet getting a poll bump for the improving economy – history tells us why

Jan 11, 2024 03:30 am UTC| Economy Politics

When Americans are confident about their economy, they tend to support the incumbent president. When they are not confident, they tend to withdraw that support. The chart below shows that relationship between consumer...

US election: Jewish and Muslim votes probably don't have the power to change the outcome – despite backlash on Gaza policy

Dec 26, 2023 23:08 pm UTC| Politics

Recent polling suggests that Joe Bidens policy of backing Israel in the Israeli-Palestinian war is hurting him in the eyes of American Muslims. An #AbandonBiden campaign was launched by Muslim voters in Minnesota in...

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Economy

FxWirePro- Major Economic events for the day

Date Time Currency Event Actual Forecast Previous Thu Nov...

Navigating Economic Waters: Insights from Fed Leaders on Inflation and Monetary Policy

Susan M. Collins, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, recently shared her economic views. She noted that the economy is doing well, with inflation heading towards the 2% target and a strong job market. At an...

Biden Rushes Loan Forgiveness for Ukraine Before Potential Policy Shift

The Biden administration forgave $4.7 billion in loans to Ukraine, State Department spokesman Matthew Miller said. Aimed at bolstering Ukraine against Russia, the move comes as officials expedite aid before leaving office....

Anticipation of Inflation Trends: What Today’s CPI Data Means for the Market.heading

The UK. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is set to be released today, and its an important indicator for understanding inflation trends and potential changes in the BOE monetary policy. Headline CPI: Expected to rise...

FxWirePro- US Jobless Claims Preview

In the week ending November 9, 2024, initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell to 217,000, down from 221,000 the week before. This is the lowest number of claims since May and is much lower than the expected increase to...

Politics

Gaetz Pledges to 'Dismantle DOJ's Weaponization' and Enforce Trump's Immigration Policies if Confirmed as Attorney General

President-elect Donald Trumps nomination of Representative Matt Gaetz for Attorney General has ignited significant debate, given Gaetzs controversial history and outspoken political stances. Gaetz has vowed to end the...

Donald Trump's Legal Team Demands Immediate Dismissal of Manhattan Case: 'Constitution Requires It'

Attorneys representing President-elect Donald Trump have filed a motion seeking the immediate dismissal of his conviction in the Manhattan business records case, asserting that the U.S. Constitution mandates such action....

Sen. Tuberville Declares: 'Trump's Cabinet Picks Are the Blueprint for American Greatness!'

Senator Tommy Tuberville (R-Ala.) has voiced strong support for President-elect Donald Trumps recent Cabinet nominations, asserting that these selections align with the America First agenda endorsed by voters in the recent...

Donald Trump's NATO Pick Sparks Outrage: 'Whitaker's Appointment Is a Dangerous Gamble!' Critics Warn

President Donald Trump has nominated Matthew Whitaker, former acting Attorney General, as the United States Ambassador to NATO, a move that has ignited significant controversy due to Whitakers limited foreign policy...

Science

Why does everything look flat even though the Earth is round?

Ever since the ancient Greeks first made observations of the circular Moon and the skies, scientists have known that the Earth is a sphere. Weve all seen beautiful images of the Earth from space, some photographed by...

Blue Origin Prepares to Test New Glenn Rocket, Set to Rival SpaceX's Falcon Rockets

Blue Origin is making significant strides toward testing its New Glenn rocket, designed to compete with SpaceXs Falcon lineup. With seven BE-4 engines producing 3.8 million pounds of thrust, the New Glenn is set to test...

SpaceX’s $2.9 Billion Moon Ship Reveals Spacious Design for Future Lunar Missions

SpaceXs latest prototype of its Starship Human Landing System (HLS) offers an inside look at the spacious, two-story design that could soon carry astronauts to the Moon. A central feature in NASAs Artemis program, this...

CDC Urges Second COVID-19 Vaccine for Seniors: ‘Protect Your Health This Season!’ Experts Say It’s Critical

In a recent public health announcement, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended that individuals aged 65 and older receive a second dose of the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine. This additional dose, the...

Breakfast Secrets: 'Fiber-rich Foods Are the Key to Weight Loss!' Experts Reveal Shocking Truth

Health experts often emphasize the importance of a balanced diet combined with regular exercise for weight management. However, for many, achieving these goals can be a daunting challenge. Instead of drastic food...

Technology

HBAR, OM, and APE Tokens Gear Up for Rally as Binance Reveals Major Trading Pair Expansion

HBAR, OM, and APE are grabbing the spotlight as Binance unveils expanded trading pairs and Spot Algo services. Launching November 22, the announcement has market watchers eyeing a rally despite recent turbulence in token...

Shiba Inu Scam Warning Shocks Community: Fraudsters Use Fake Tokens to Exploit Shibarium Enthusiasts

The Shiba Inu team has issued an urgent scam alert following a surge of fake accounts and tokens exploiting Shibarium users. Community members are reminded to prioritize safety, verify all information, and avoid engaging...

Is Bitcoin’s Rally in Danger? Five Critical Signs Suggest Bull Run Could Be Nearing Its Peak

As Bitcoin breaks the $94,000 barrier, CryptoQuant warns of five crucial indicators that could signal a looming price peak. The MVRV ratio and Fear Greed Index are hitting critical levels, prompting analysts to advise...

Shiba Inu’s 14.84 Trillion Surge: Are Whales Quietly Shaping SHIB’s Next Big Move?

Shiba Inu recorded an eye-catching 14.84 trillion in transaction volumes over the past 24 hours. As whales scale back their activity, SHIBs struggle at key support levels could signal either a breakout or a deeper...
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