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Paul Whiteley

Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Should Rishi Sunak even bother? What we know about how much election campaigns shift the dial

Jun 03, 2024 11:05 am UTC| Politics

With polls showing Labour enjoying a significant lead over the Conservatives for well over a year, a key question as the election campaign picks up pace is whether Rishi Sunak can do anything over the next few weeks to...

US under Trump Series

US election: why Latino and Hispanic voters are shifting to Trump after a long history of supporting the Democrats

May 21, 2024 05:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Several recent polls suggest that the Hispanic and Latino vote is shifting towards Donald Trump as the election moves closer. In a YouGov poll from May 8, 43% of Americans said they would vote for President Joe Biden...

US election: two graphs show how young voters influence presidential results as Biden gets poll boost

Mar 28, 2024 12:04 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

American politics is very polarised at the moment, with bitter disagreements between Democrats and Republicans in Congress, in the media and in the presidential campaign. One source of polarisation that is rarely...

Biden's not yet getting a poll bump for the improving economy – history tells us why

Jan 11, 2024 03:30 am UTC| Economy Politics

When Americans are confident about their economy, they tend to support the incumbent president. When they are not confident, they tend to withdraw that support. The chart below shows that relationship between consumer...

US election: Jewish and Muslim votes probably don't have the power to change the outcome – despite backlash on Gaza policy

Dec 26, 2023 23:08 pm UTC| Politics

Recent polling suggests that Joe Bidens policy of backing Israel in the Israeli-Palestinian war is hurting him in the eyes of American Muslims. An #AbandonBiden campaign was launched by Muslim voters in Minnesota in...

Biden's low approval ratings don't mean he is bound to lose the 2024 US election -- here's why

Nov 19, 2023 05:37 am UTC| Politics

US Democrats have been spooked by some recent polling which suggests that voters intend to pick Donald Trump ahead of Joe Biden in some key states in the 2024 presidential election. A CNN poll reported on the website...

Why the assumption that British voters switch to the Conservatives as they grow older is wrong

Nov 05, 2023 20:33 pm UTC| Politics

If a man is not a socialist by the time he is 20, he has no heart. If he is not a conservative by the time he is 40, he has no brain. At first glance, this quote, attributed to Winston Churchill, appears to fit the...

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Economy

Net zero is not just good science – it’s also a good deal for ordinary people

As the UK moves into a general election, a misinformed debate over the countrys climate transition and legally binding net zero targets risks further dividing people. Much of this debate in the UK focuses on the cost of...

The UK has a growing food black market – and it’s making the cost of living crisis worse

The UK food sector has faced its fair share of challenges, and issues around supply are not uncommon. In the year to January 2024, overall food prices rose by 7%. To compound this, last year, the UKs Competition and...

Why do we need a Net Zero Economy Authority? And how can it fulfil its promise?

To support its climate agenda, the Albanese government is building new institutions. One of the most important will be the Net Zero Economy Authority. The proposed laws to create this authority are currently before the...

African countries could unlock billions in local and global trade – what’s working and what’s not

Africas share of global trade remains disproportionately small, hovering around 2%-3%. Countries on the continent trade more with the rest of the world than they do among themselves. Africa needs to improve its share of...

Race still divides South Africa – study shows little transformation in new suburbs in country’s economic hub

As South Africa reflects on 30 years of democracy, its important to ask whether its cities have changed for the better when it comes to racial mixing. During apartheid, South Africas residential development was...

Politics

Trump’s lawyers in lawsuits claiming he won in 2020 are getting punished for abusing courts and making unsupported claims and false statements

Over the past four years, U.S. courts and state bar associations have taken action to protect the integrity of the U.S. judicial system by penalizing attorneys who filed meritless lawsuits claiming without evidence that...

Election 2024: polling shows voters don’t believe the tax pledges

The two main parties contesting the UK general election have been unusually cautious on their spending plans, despite urgent calls for more public funding to tackle crises in housing, social care and the...

Wisconsin is a key swing state this year – and has a history of being unpredictable

Voters in Wisconsin now considered a critical swing state ahead of the 2024 presidential election may be among the most unpredictable in the nation. Although former President Barack Obama carried the state in the 2008...

TSMC Weighed Leaving Taiwan Amid China Tensions, Deemed Move Infeasible

TSMC disclosed it had considered relocating its chip factories from Taiwan amid escalating China tensions but decided the move was impractical. TSMCs Relocation Discussions Tensions between Taiwan and China have been...

Mexico: Sheinbaum faces uphill task to buck the trend and curtail spiralling violence

Mexico has reached a political milestone. According to a quick count by the countrys electoral commission, Mexican voters have just elected their first female president. In a society that has long treated its women...

Science

Eye exercises to improve sight – is there any science behind them? An ophthalmologist explains why you shouldn’t buy the hype

You may have seen advertisements claiming to eliminate the need for eyeglasses through vision therapy or vision training basically, eye exercises. These exercises include putting pressure on or palming the eye; eye...

The universe’s biggest explosions made some of the elements we are composed of. But there’s another mystery source out there

After its birth in the Big Bang, the universe consisted mainly of hydrogen and a few helium atoms. These are the lightest elements in the periodic table. More-or-less all elements heavier than helium were produced in the...

Engineering cells to broadcast their behavior can help scientists study their inner workings

Waves are ubiquitous in nature and technology. Whether its the rise and fall of ocean tides or the swinging of a clocks pendulum, the predictable rhythms of waves create a signal that is easy to track and distinguish from...

If an asteroid hit Earth and all the humans died, would the dinosaurs come back?

Many, many years ago dinosaurs roamed the Earth. Six-year-old Aga knows that a meteorite wiped them out… but could another meteorite bring them back? You can read a print version of this story...

Ancient DNA from an extinct native duck reveals how far birds flew to make New Zealand home

Ask a bird lover if they have heard of the extinct giant moa or its ancient predator, Haasts eagle, and the answer will likely be yes. The same cant be said of New Zealands extinct, but equally unique, mergansers a group...

Technology

Shiba Inu Burn Rate Jumps 3010%; 232M SHIB Tokens Reduced from Circulation

Shiba Inu (SHIB) token burn rate surged by 3010% on June 12, resulting in 232 million tokens being burned, a notable rise during the market downturn. Unprecedented SHIB Burn Rate Increase The Shiba Inu (SHIB) meme...

Critical Week Ahead: SEC to Comment on Ethereum ETF S-1 Filings

The Ethereum ETF is at a pivotal moment this week as the SEC prepares to respond to S-1 filings, potentially shaping the future of Ethereum-based investment products. Crypto Market Awaits SECs Critical Decision on...

Shiba Inu (SHIB) ETF Petition Surpasses 10,500 Signatures, Gains Momentum

A Change.org petition advocating for a Shiba Inu (SHIB) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has surpassed 10,500 signatures, highlighting strong community support for expanding cryptocurrency investment options. Petition for...

How Apple's Latest Event Disrupted AI-Linked Tokens and Shook the Crypto Market

Apples annual developer event led to a sharp decline in AI-linked cryptocurrencies, highlighting the intricate relationship between traditional technology and the crypto market. Apples ChatGPT Integration Sparks Decline...
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