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Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Global Geopolitics Series

How game theory predicts Trump might not do all that he threatens over Ukraine, Taiwan and Nato

Nov 19, 2024 07:46 am UTC| Insights & Views

Donald Trumps victory in the US presidential elections has left many across the world unsure about what he might do in his next term, and whether some of the threats he made about international policy will be followed...

Harris nudges ahead of Trump in the polls – but could the economy prove her downfall?

Oct 25, 2024 12:16 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The current US vice-president and Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, appears to have nudged ahead of her Republican rival, Donald Trump, in the race to the White House. A poll of polls, which combines...

Should Rishi Sunak even bother? What we know about how much election campaigns shift the dial

Jun 03, 2024 11:05 am UTC| Politics

With polls showing Labour enjoying a significant lead over the Conservatives for well over a year, a key question as the election campaign picks up pace is whether Rishi Sunak can do anything over the next few weeks to...

US under Trump Series

US election: why Latino and Hispanic voters are shifting to Trump after a long history of supporting the Democrats

May 21, 2024 05:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Several recent polls suggest that the Hispanic and Latino vote is shifting towards Donald Trump as the election moves closer. In a YouGov poll from May 8, 43% of Americans said they would vote for President Joe Biden...

US election: two graphs show how young voters influence presidential results as Biden gets poll boost

Mar 28, 2024 12:04 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

American politics is very polarised at the moment, with bitter disagreements between Democrats and Republicans in Congress, in the media and in the presidential campaign. One source of polarisation that is rarely...

Biden's not yet getting a poll bump for the improving economy – history tells us why

Jan 11, 2024 03:30 am UTC| Economy Politics

When Americans are confident about their economy, they tend to support the incumbent president. When they are not confident, they tend to withdraw that support. The chart below shows that relationship between consumer...

US election: Jewish and Muslim votes probably don't have the power to change the outcome – despite backlash on Gaza policy

Dec 26, 2023 23:08 pm UTC| Politics

Recent polling suggests that Joe Bidens policy of backing Israel in the Israeli-Palestinian war is hurting him in the eyes of American Muslims. An #AbandonBiden campaign was launched by Muslim voters in Minnesota in...

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Economy

Fed’s Goolsbee Warns Inflation Remains Elevated, Signals Caution on Rate Cuts

Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee has cautioned that recent inflation data presents a challenge for the U.S. central bank, reinforcing a cautious stance on potential interest rate cuts. Speaking in a recent...

Trump Rejects Iran Proposal as Tensions Persist Amid Fragile Ceasefire

U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed dissatisfaction with Irans latest proposal for renewed talks, signaling continued deadlock in efforts to resolve the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict. Despite a ceasefire reached on...

EU Warns of Response as U.S. Considers 25% Tariffs on Car Imports

The European Commission signaled it is prepared to defend its economic interests after the United States threatened to impose new tariffs on European vehicles, raising concerns over a potential escalation in transatlantic...

Wall Street Mixed as Apple Earnings Boost Nasdaq and Oil Prices Ease

U.S. stock market performance ended mixed on Friday, with major indices showing resilience despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and fluctuating oil prices. The SP 500 and Nasdaq Composite posted gains, while the Dow Jones...

Gold Prices Slip Amid Iran Tensions and Rising Rate Concerns

Gold prices edged slightly lower on Friday, hovering near one-month lows after a volatile trading session. The precious metal continues to face pressure following consecutive monthly declines, as global economic...

Politics

Trump Signals Major U.S. Troop Reduction in Germany Amid NATO Tensions and Trade Disputes

U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans to significantly reduce the American military presence in Germany, going well beyond the previously proposed withdrawal of 5,000 troops. Speaking briefly to reporters before...

Peru Election Results Under Scrutiny as JNE Calls for Comprehensive IT Audit

Perus National Jury of Elections (JNE) has officially requested a comprehensive and exhaustive IT audit of the ongoing general election results, intensifying focus on transparency and electoral integrity in the country....

Trump Signals Possible Renewal of U.S. Strikes on Iran

U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Saturday that the United States could potentially resume military strikes on Iran, highlighting ongoing tensions between the two nations. Speaking to reporters in West Palm Beach,...

Kim Jong Un Highlights Youth Role in North Korea’s Military and Political Agenda

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un recently met with delegates from the ruling partys youth league congress in Pyongyang, reinforcing the governments focus on young people as a driving force behind national development and...

Russian Forces Advance Toward Kostiantynivka as Fighting Intensifies in Eastern Ukraine

Russian troops are steadily advancing toward the strategic city of Kostiantynivka in Ukraines eastern Donetsk region, signaling a renewed push to gain ground near one of Ukraines most heavily fortified defensive zones....

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

U.S. Cybersecurity Pushes Faster Patch Deadlines Amid Rising AI-Driven Threats

U.S. cybersecurity officials are exploring significantly shorter deadlines for fixing critical vulnerabilities in government IT systems, driven by growing concerns that hackers are leveraging advanced artificial...

Apple Q2 2026 Earnings Surge as iPhone 17 Sales Drive Record Revenue

Apple delivered a strong fiscal Q2 2026 performance, reporting record-breaking revenue and profit growth fueled by robust iPhone sales and expanding services. The tech giant posted earnings of $2.01 per share on $111.18...

FBI Warns of China’s Expanding Hack-for-Hire Network Amid Extradition Case

The Chinese governments alleged hack-for-hire ecosystem is rapidly expanding and becoming increasingly difficult to control, according to a senior FBI official. Speaking on Thursday, FBI Assistant Director Brett Leatherman...

Taiwan Activates Backup Communications After Undersea Cable Break on Dongyin Island

Taiwan has activated emergency backup communications for Dongyin, its northernmost and strategically important island, after an undersea cable was damaged due to shifting shipwreck debris caused by severe weather. The...

Meta Raises 2026 Capex Outlook Amid AI Spending Surge, Shares Drop After Earnings

Meta Platforms has increased its full-year capital expenditure guidance for 2026, signaling continued aggressive investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure despite rising costs and market concerns. The company...