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Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Global Geopolitics Series

How game theory predicts Trump might not do all that he threatens over Ukraine, Taiwan and Nato

Nov 19, 2024 07:46 am UTC| Insights & Views

Donald Trumps victory in the US presidential elections has left many across the world unsure about what he might do in his next term, and whether some of the threats he made about international policy will be followed...

Harris nudges ahead of Trump in the polls – but could the economy prove her downfall?

Oct 25, 2024 12:16 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The current US vice-president and Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, appears to have nudged ahead of her Republican rival, Donald Trump, in the race to the White House. A poll of polls, which combines...

Should Rishi Sunak even bother? What we know about how much election campaigns shift the dial

Jun 03, 2024 11:05 am UTC| Politics

With polls showing Labour enjoying a significant lead over the Conservatives for well over a year, a key question as the election campaign picks up pace is whether Rishi Sunak can do anything over the next few weeks to...

US under Trump Series

US election: why Latino and Hispanic voters are shifting to Trump after a long history of supporting the Democrats

May 21, 2024 05:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Several recent polls suggest that the Hispanic and Latino vote is shifting towards Donald Trump as the election moves closer. In a YouGov poll from May 8, 43% of Americans said they would vote for President Joe Biden...

US election: two graphs show how young voters influence presidential results as Biden gets poll boost

Mar 28, 2024 12:04 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

American politics is very polarised at the moment, with bitter disagreements between Democrats and Republicans in Congress, in the media and in the presidential campaign. One source of polarisation that is rarely...

Biden's not yet getting a poll bump for the improving economy – history tells us why

Jan 11, 2024 03:30 am UTC| Economy Politics

When Americans are confident about their economy, they tend to support the incumbent president. When they are not confident, they tend to withdraw that support. The chart below shows that relationship between consumer...

US election: Jewish and Muslim votes probably don't have the power to change the outcome – despite backlash on Gaza policy

Dec 26, 2023 23:08 pm UTC| Politics

Recent polling suggests that Joe Bidens policy of backing Israel in the Israeli-Palestinian war is hurting him in the eyes of American Muslims. An #AbandonBiden campaign was launched by Muslim voters in Minnesota in...

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Economy

Asian Stocks Slide as Semiconductor Selloff Weighs on South Korea and Japan

Asian stock markets retreated on Thursday, led by sharp declines in South Korea and Japan as renewed selling in semiconductor stocks erased part of the previous sessions AI-driven gains. Investors turned cautious after...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as US Dollar Nears Seven-Week Low Ahead of Key Jobs Data

Asian currencies traded in a narrow range on Thursday as the U.S. dollar hovered near a seven-week low, with investors closely watching Middle East diplomatic developments and upcoming U.S. labor market data for clues on...

Gold Price Hits Seven-Week High as Fed Rate Hike Bets Fade and Hormuz Deal Hopes Grow

Gold prices climbed for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday, reaching their highest level in seven weeks as easing concerns over global energy supplies weakened the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. The rally was...

Australia Trade Surplus Returns in June as Iron Ore, Coal and LNG Exports Surge

Australias trade balance returned to a larger-than-expected surplus in June, driven by strong exports of iron ore, coal, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and non-monetary gold, according to data released Thursday by the...

Singapore Says One-Third of U.S. Exports Hit by New 12.5% Tariff

Singapore said around one-third of its exports to the United States will be affected by a new 12.5% U.S. tariff introduced on July 24, with Trade Minister Gan Kim Yong estimating the impacted shipments at S$9.5 billion...

Politics

Russia Intensifies Drone and Bomb Attacks on Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia, Deepening Civilian Fear

Russia has intensified its aerial assault on the southeastern Ukrainian city of Zaporizhzhia, leaving residents facing growing danger as drone and glide bomb attacks become more frequent. The escalating strikes have...

Russian Strikes Kill Six in Eastern and Northern Ukraine, Dozens Injured

Russian attacks across several regions of Ukraine killed at least six people and injured dozens overnight, as rescue teams continued emergency operations on Thursday, according to Ukrainian authorities. In the eastern city...

Abdul El-Sayed Wins Michigan Democratic Senate Primary, Sets Up Key Midterm Showdown

Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigans U.S. Senate race, positioning himself for a closely watched general election against Republican Mike Rogers in November. The victory marks a significant moment...

U.S. Unseals Charges Against Five Alleged CJNG Leaders, Raises Reward for New Cartel Chief

The U.S. Justice Department has unsealed criminal charges against five alleged senior members of Mexicos Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG), intensifying Washingtons crackdown on one of the worlds most powerful drug...

Mark Carney Jokes About Teleprompter, Takes Swipe at Trump

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney made light of a teleprompter malfunction during a housing policy news conference on Wednesday, using the unexpected interruption to take a subtle jab at U.S. President Donald Trump....

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

SoftBank Q1 Profit Beats Forecast as Intel Rally and OpenAI Investments Boost Returns

SoftBank Group (TYO: 9984) reported a stronger-than-expected fiscal first-quarter profit despite higher operating and financing costs, supported by massive investment gains from Intel and its Vision Fund portfolio. For the...

DeepSeek to Raise AI API Prices as Demand for New Models Surges

Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek has announced plans to significantly increase the pricing of its API services as demand for its latest AI models continues to grow. The company revealed the upcoming change...

SK Hynix, Samsung Lead Asian Chip Stock Selloff After Sandisk, Western Digital Outlook

Shares of SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics tumbled on Thursday, leading a broad decline in Asian memory chip stocks after earnings guidance from Sandisk and Western Digital failed to meet investors high expectations. SK...

Alphabet Stock Slides as Google AI Pioneer Jeff Dean Exits to Launch Discovery Loop

Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) shares dropped as much as 5.4% during Thursdays session after news emerged that longtime Google AI leader Jeff Dean is leaving the company to launch a new artificial intelligence startup, adding to...

Western Digital Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates as FY2027 Outlook Tops Expectations

Western Digital (NASDAQ: WDC) reported stronger-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday, surpassing Wall Street estimates for both earnings and revenue while issuing an optimistic outlook for the first...