Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.
Harris nudges ahead of Trump in the polls – but could the economy prove her downfall?
Oct 25, 2024 12:16 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
The current US vice-president and Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, appears to have nudged ahead of her Republican rival, Donald Trump, in the race to the White House. A poll of polls, which combines...
Should Rishi Sunak even bother? What we know about how much election campaigns shift the dial
Jun 03, 2024 11:05 am UTC| Politics
With polls showing Labour enjoying a significant lead over the Conservatives for well over a year, a key question as the election campaign picks up pace is whether Rishi Sunak can do anything over the next few weeks to...
May 21, 2024 05:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
Several recent polls suggest that the Hispanic and Latino vote is shifting towards Donald Trump as the election moves closer. In a YouGov poll from May 8, 43% of Americans said they would vote for President Joe Biden...
Mar 28, 2024 12:04 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
American politics is very polarised at the moment, with bitter disagreements between Democrats and Republicans in Congress, in the media and in the presidential campaign. One source of polarisation that is rarely...
Biden's not yet getting a poll bump for the improving economy – history tells us why
Jan 11, 2024 03:30 am UTC| Economy Politics
When Americans are confident about their economy, they tend to support the incumbent president. When they are not confident, they tend to withdraw that support. The chart below shows that relationship between consumer...
Dec 26, 2023 23:08 pm UTC| Politics
Recent polling suggests that Joe Bidens policy of backing Israel in the Israeli-Palestinian war is hurting him in the eyes of American Muslims. An #AbandonBiden campaign was launched by Muslim voters in Minnesota in...
Biden's low approval ratings don't mean he is bound to lose the 2024 US election -- here's why
Nov 19, 2023 05:37 am UTC| Politics
US Democrats have been spooked by some recent polling which suggests that voters intend to pick Donald Trump ahead of Joe Biden in some key states in the 2024 presidential election. A CNN poll reported on the website...