FxWirePro: Customize or standardize, hedge or speculate but keep AUD/JPY FX risks on check

Jan 09, 2018 11:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

It is projected that AUD to drop against dollar and yen to 0.76 and 84.070 levels in next few months, so long as markets continue to price further Fed interest rate rises in 2018, along with a neutral RBA outlook deep into...

FxWirePro: Unwind and stay long in Scandis on central bank policies

Jan 09, 2018 10:41 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Long BRLNOK trades have to be unwound, this LatAm/Scandi trade was opened to fetch carry in a lower beta approach. This theme still looks to be attractive, trade particularly now seems vulnerable to rising oil prices as...

FxWirePro: AUD/JPY displays hanging man, shooting star and doji to signal weakness, major trend exhausts at stiff resistances of 61.8% Fibos

Jan 09, 2018 09:51 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

Hanging man, shooting star long-legged doji have occurred at 88.963, 88.841 and 88.964 levels respectively to plummet prices below SMAs, more slumps on cards upon bearish SMA crossover (7SMA crosses below 21SMA), both...

FxWirePro: AUD/JPY displays hanging man, shooting star and doji to signal weakness, major trend exhausts at stiff resistances of 61.8% Fibos

Jan 09, 2018 09:51 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

Hanging man, shooting star long-legged doji have occurred at 88.963, 88.841 and 88.964 levels respectively to plummet prices below SMAs, more slumps on cards upon bearish SMA crossover (7SMA crosses below 21SMA), both...

FxWirePro: How to approach 2018, a depressed vols scenario? ATMF vs ATMS call spreads in two EM currency crosses

Jan 09, 2018 08:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The global picture on the volatility front hasnt really changed in recent months. Implied and realized volatility is still hovering in their low or very low percentiles. Long carry through the 2018 year ahead outlook...

FxWirePro: Cable upside potential more likely in Q1 but unwise to disregard bearish risk – Options straps for smart hedging

Jan 09, 2018 07:06 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Even with sterling making new lows in trade-weighted terms (nominal and real), GBPUSD meandering in a 1.30-1.35 range is foreseen for most H1 of 2018. However, a slump to GBPUSD 1.25 would require, above all else, a...

FxWirePro: Spot out likely and unlikely drivers of Sterling’s tantrum in 2018 and deploy 3-way straddles to keep a check on seesaw GBP/AUD oscillation

Jan 08, 2018 13:03 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We expect three years of real GDP growth below 1% in 2018-2020, averaging 0.8% per annum, about a quarter of the worlds average growth rate. On a positive note, that ought to be enough to shrink the current account deficit...