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FxWirePro: Dual risk aversion scenarios amid divergence between 3m EUR/USD and USD/CHF volatilities

Jul 11, 2016 11:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

This write up is articulated with a view to intend to prefer volatility spread due to the divergence offered by two G10 currency pairs (i.e. EURUSD USDCHF) post-Brexit referendum. An expensive and asymmetric spread...

Markets priced in 75pct chance of a rate cut from BoE this week

Jul 11, 2016 11:26 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

UK Monetary Policy Committee will meet on Thursday, July 14th, for the first time following the EU referendum result. Attention is now focused on how policymakers will respond to the Brexit vote. Market expectations riding...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Long USD/CHF vs Short EUR/USD 3m volatility swaps

Jul 11, 2016 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views

Further divergence between EUR/USD and USD/CHF volatility A spread of volatility swaps is exposed to the volatility differential between two currency pairs. Investors holding the position until the 3m expiry face unlimited...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedge USD/CAD bearish risks with “diagonal put ladder” if you expect crude prices to hit $60/brl

Jul 11, 2016 09:52 am UTC| Insights & Views

A Fed rate hike in H2 16 and rising expectations ahead of it are expected to support USD/CAD from monetary divergence. An expected plateauing of the oil price trend going forward also eliminates what has been one of the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY hedging perspectives for long-term foreign traders – “Short put ladder” likely to derive more convexity in payoff curve

Jul 11, 2016 07:23 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the 1w implied volatilities of ATM puts, the IVs of this pair is at 22.91%. 2W to 1M expiries are trending above 20.7% and 21.21% respectively, while OTM skewness in these IVs signals more...

US Election Series

What would Abraham Lincoln say to Donald Trump about religion, politics and being a 'Know Nothing'?

Jul 10, 2016 21:18 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

As the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump could learn a lot from his partys first president, Abraham Lincoln. He should start with religion and immigration, topics on which he has appealed to fear and bigotry...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Why you can't explain the Iraq War without mentioning oil

Jul 10, 2016 21:13 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Well before the US and UK led the invasion of Iraq, the two countries were under suspicion about their intentions for Iraqs oil. When asked on February 6 2003 in a BBC Newsnight programme whether the war in Iraq was about...

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Economy

Indian Cotton Yarn Exports Surge as China Demand Rises Amid Global Supply Disruptions

Global supply chain challenges and fuel disruptions caused by the ongoing Middle East conflict have negatively impacted many Indian manufacturing sectors. However, Indias cotton yarn industry is experiencing a significant...

European Car Sales Surge in March as EV and Hybrid Demand Accelerates

European car sales recorded a strong rebound in March, driven largely by rising demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrid cars. According to data released by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA),...

Foreign Investors Drive Surge in Japanese Stocks Amid AI Rally and Improved Risk Sentiment

Japanese stocks experienced a strong wave of foreign investor inflows in the week ending April 18, supported by a rally in artificial intelligence-related companies and improving global risk sentiment. Optimism surrounding...

Nikkei Retreats After Brief 60,000 Break as Profit-Taking and Geopolitical Risks Weigh

Japans Nikkei 225 share average reversed gains on Thursday after briefly surpassing the key 60,000 level, as investors moved to lock in profits following an early surge fueled by technology stocks and optimism surrounding...

Bank of Japan Signals Potential Rate Hike as Inflation Risks Rise Amid Energy Shock

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is widely expected to keep its interest rates unchanged at its upcoming April 2728 policy meeting, while signaling a possible rate hike as early as June or July. With global markets already pricing...

Politics

Trump Administration Considers Expanding Refugee Program for White South Africans

The Trump administration is reportedly weighing a major increase in the U.S. refugee admissions cap to allow more white South Africans, particularly Afrikaners, to resettle in the United States. According to sources...

U.S. to Send Election Observers to The Bahamas Amid Fraud Concerns

The United States is preparing to deploy election observers to The Bahamas ahead of the countrys upcoming May 12 general election, according to the U.S. State Department. The move comes after opposition leader Michael...

Taiwan Coast Guard Conducts Rare Drill on Disputed South China Sea Island

Taiwan has carried out a rare high-level visit and military-style exercise on Itu Aba, a Taiwan-controlled island in the contested South China Sea, highlighting growing regional tensions. The visit was led by Ocean Affairs...

Zelensky Warns Ukraine Could Face Patriot Missile Supply Risks Amid Prolonged Iran Conflict

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has raised concerns that Ukraines access to critical U.S. anti-missile defense systems, particularly Patriot missiles, could be at risk if tensions in the Middle Eastespecially...

Navy Secretary John Phelan Fired Amid Pentagon Leadership Shakeup and Shipbuilding Concerns

Navy Secretary John Phelan has been dismissed from his role, according to U.S. officials, marking another major leadership change within the Pentagon during a period of heightened military tension. The Pentagon confirmed...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Microsoft Commits $18 Billion to Expand AI and Cloud Infrastructure in Australia

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has unveiled a major investment plan worth A$25 billion (approximately $18 billion) in Australia, signaling a significant push to strengthen its artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing...

Elon Musk Signals Intel 14A Chips for Tesla’s Terafab AI Semiconductor Venture

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) CEO Elon Musk revealed new details about the companys ambitious semiconductor plans, confirming that the Terafab joint venture intends to leverage Intels advanced 14A chip manufacturing process....

Tesla Earnings Beat Expectations as EV Growth Holds Amid Robotics and AI Shift

Tesla reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter 2026 earnings, driven largely by resilience in its core electric vehicle business, even as the company continues shifting focus toward artificial intelligence, robotics,...

SK Hynix Reports Record Q1 Profit Surge Driven by AI Memory Chip Demand

SK Hynix Inc. (KS:000660) delivered a standout performance in the first quarter, reporting a dramatic surge in operating profit that exceeded market expectations. The South Korean semiconductor giant benefited...

Florida Launches Criminal Probe Into OpenAI Over FSU Shooting Incident

Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier announced Tuesday that the state has opened a criminal investigation into OpenAI and its AI chatbot, ChatGPT, following a deadly shooting at Florida State University last year. The...