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One of the biggest risks threatening global economy and financial markets this year and over the next few year is reflation, a rather rapid return of inflation. While central banks are waiting to embrace inflation, it poses significant risks of wind up in global stimulus, which as of now stands around $30 trillion. Bond market is especially at risk where Inflation could act as a double edged sword, as investors are likely to demand larger yield compensation and face additional selling pressure due to balance sheet shrinkage. Recent rise in commodities’ price including oil are likely to be initial jitters of reflation. In this series, we will be keeping a close watch over inflationary pressure and keep our readers, traders and investors prepared for it.

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: Inflation strengthens across Europe

Feb 14, 2017 10:17 am UTC| Commentary Economy

After a report showed that inflation in China strengthened in January with the consumer price index reaching 2.5 percent y/y and producer price index reaching 6.9 percent y/y, which is the highest in five years, further...

Global Reflation Series

China producer prices rise for 13th consecutive month and at fastest pace in five years

Feb 14, 2017 06:18 am UTC| Commentary

Yet another sign from China that inflation is strengthening its grip all around the world. The inflation has already picked up in the United States; now closer to the Federal Reserves long-term 2 percent target, which may...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation Series: Inflation returning in Europe amid high unemployment

Jan 31, 2017 11:16 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

More evidence shored up since yesterday that the inflation is in fact, picking up across the European continent. Yesterday, two regions in Germany reported more than 2 percent inflation; Hesse (2.4 percent), Saxony (2.3...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation Series: Carney maintains either side rhetoric amid spark in inflation

Jan 17, 2017 11:53 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney reiterated that the very next move from the central bank has equal chances of getting either way. He said, while the central bank can choose how it achieves the target and...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: PPI inflation in Europe for first time since 2013

Jan 05, 2017 11:39 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The producer prices in the Eurozone rose for the very first time since 2013, which shows that the stubbornly low inflation in the single currency bloc might finally be gaining some momentum. The producer price inflation...

Global Reflation Series

Global reflation series: TIPS in demand

Mar 21, 2016 10:15 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Yet another sign that some investors have started pricing reflation. We think FED is likely to reach its inflation target and this time around a bit more. Last week, 10 year treasury inflation protected securities returned...

Global Reflation Series

Global Reflation Series: early signs of inflation call for preparations

Mar 10, 2016 08:41 am UTC| Commentary Economy

We have long been arguing that all the monetary stimulus from central banks around the world would ultimately spark inflation and only happenings that have been encountering such is lower commodity prices. We believe,...

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Economy

ECB's Kocher Says No Inflation Spillover Yet From Iran Conflict, Warns Risks Remain

The European Central Bank (ECB) does not currently see evidence that the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran is triggering broader inflationary pressures across the euro area, although policymakers remain alert to potential...

Asian Stocks Rise as Softer U.S. Inflation Boosts Sentiment Despite Middle East Tensions

Asian stock markets traded mostly higher on Wednesday after weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data eased expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve interest rate hike, although escalating tensions in the Middle East...

Asian Currencies Stay Rangebound as Middle East Tensions, Weak China GDP Weigh on Sentiment

Most Asian currencies traded in narrow ranges on Wednesday as investors remained cautious over escalating tensions in the Middle East and weaker-than-expected Chinese economic growth, despite a softer U.S. dollar following...

China Home Prices Fall Again in June Despite Slower Pace of Decline

Chinas new home prices continued to decline in June, highlighting the ongoing challenges facing the countrys property market despite signs that the pace of deterioration is easing. Official data released by the National...

US Inflation Expected to Ease in June, but Fed Rate Hike Risks Persist Amid Middle East Tensions

U.S. consumer inflation likely eased in June, but economists say the slowdown may provide little relief for households or significantly reduce the likelihood of another Federal Reserve interest rate hike later this year,...

Politics

Trump Administration Launches AI Cybersecurity Partnership to Protect Critical Infrastructure

The Trump administration is launching a new initiative to strengthen U.S. cybersecurity by bringing together leading artificial intelligence developers and operators of critical infrastructure to identify and address...

Trump Administration Bars U.S. Travelers From Congo Flights Amid Ebola Outbreak

The Trump administration has imposed new travel restrictions on American citizens who have recently been in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), preventing them from boarding commercial flights to the United States as...

Trump to Deliver National Address on 2020 Election Intelligence, Voting Machine Security

President Donald Trump is set to deliver a national address on Thursday night, outlining newly declassified intelligence related to the 2020 U.S. presidential election and discussing what the White House describes as...

Trump Says U.S. Strikes on Iran Will Continue Until Nuclear Deal Is Reached

U.S. President Donald Trump said Tuesday that the United States remains in direct contact with Iranian officials but warned that military operations against Iran will continue until Tehran agrees to a new deal, signaling...

Trump Administration Bars U.S. Travelers From Congo Flights Amid Ebola Outbreak

The Trump administration has imposed new travel restrictions on American citizens in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) as the country faces a worsening Ebola outbreak, according to a White House official. Under the...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

ASML Raises 2026 Outlook as AI Chip Demand Lifts Q2 Earnings

ASML Holding (AS: ASML) reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter 2026 earnings on Wednesday, fueled by robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chip manufacturing equipment and higher sales from its installed...

Arm Stock Falls After HSBC Downgrade, Citing Limited Near-Term AI Upside

Arm Holdings shares came under pressure after HSBC downgraded the semiconductor designer to hold from buy,arguing that the companys recent rally has already priced in much of its long-term artificial intelligence (AI)...

SK Hynix Stock Soars as AI Memory Demand Outlook Fuels Chip Rally

SK Hynix shares surged nearly 13% in Seoul on Wednesday, leading a broad rally in South Korean semiconductor stocks as easing U.S. inflation and renewed optimism over artificial intelligence (AI) memory demand boosted...

Yaskawa Electric Shares Slide as Weak Profit Overshadows Strong AI Demand

Yaskawa Electric Corp. (TYO:6506) shares extended losses for a second consecutive session on Tuesday after the Japanese robotics and factory automation company reported weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings, with...

Australia Flags Child Safety Gaps at Apple, Meta, Google Over Online Sexual Extortion

Australias online safety regulator has warned that major technology companies, including Apple, Meta, Google, Microsoft and Snap, still have significant shortcomings in tackling child sexual abuse and the rising threat of...
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