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One of the biggest risks threatening global economy and financial markets this year and over the next few year is reflation, a rather rapid return of inflation. While central banks are waiting to embrace inflation, it poses significant risks of wind up in global stimulus, which as of now stands around $30 trillion. Bond market is especially at risk where Inflation could act as a double edged sword, as investors are likely to demand larger yield compensation and face additional selling pressure due to balance sheet shrinkage. Recent rise in commodities’ price including oil are likely to be initial jitters of reflation. In this series, we will be keeping a close watch over inflationary pressure and keep our readers, traders and investors prepared for it.

Global Reflation Series

FxWirePro: Pound may end its longest consecutive rise in 10 months

Mar 08, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Commentary

Short covering, broad based weakness in Dollar and risk affinity that has so far boosted GBP/USD, may lose its steam going ahead. Todays release of weaker than expected trade balance and worst slump in Chinas exports...

Global Reflation Series

Bearish outlook for Gilts in 2016

Feb 18, 2016 11:29 am UTC| Insights & Views

At European leaders meeting on February 18th and 19th, there is scope for an agreement to be reached over the renegotiated terms of Britains EU membership, clearing the way for a referendum in June. If the UK were to...

Global Reflation Series

Any supply/demand mismatch effect of ECB's QE expansion likely to come beforehand

Oct 09, 2015 05:37 am UTC| Commentary

The impact of ECB making the existing QE programme more expansive on Bund yields, should be through the reflationary effect, especially if risky asset and oil prices stabilise/move higher and this should put upward...

Global Reflation Series

Japan needs expansion of nominal GDP through reflationary policies

Sep 29, 2015 04:40 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The original goal of Abenomics was to expand nominal GDP through reflationary policies, as it perceived shrinking nominal GDP to be the largest problem facing the Japanese economy. This policy is leading Japan in the right...

Global Reflation Series

Japan's Q3 GDP growth likely positive, economic sentiment firm but real economy and inflation weak

Aug 18, 2015 11:36 am UTC| Insights & Views

Japans economy contracted by 0.4% Q/Q in Q2 in "real" or inflation-adjusted terms, while on annual terms it fell 1.6 per cent, less than the 2.2 per cent fall expected, data released on Monday showed. While the drop was...

Global Reflation Series

Japan's economy likely at start of full scale reflation

Aug 17, 2015 05:18 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Due to the fall in oil prices, Japans CPI has stalled, while wages have been increasing since the start of the new fiscal year in April. As a result, real household income is recovering and consumer sentiment is now...

Global Reflation Series

Disinflation still remains rampant across Euro zone

Jul 16, 2015 10:41 am UTC| Insights & Views

In spite of European Central Banks (ECB) sincerest efforts disinflation and threat of deflation still remains rampant across Euro zone, which is hiding behind headline positive inflation report. In June European monetary...

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Economy

Hungary Industrial Output Beats Forecasts With 4.7% July Growth

Hungarys industrial output increased 4.7% year-on-year in July, beating market expectations and signaling continued growth in the countrys manufacturing sector, preliminary data showed on Monday. According to Hungarys...

Iran Plans New Gulf Restricted Zone as Hormuz Tensions Push Oil Higher

Iran plans to establish a new restricted zone in the Gulf and introduce shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions after renewed U.S.-Iran strikes disrupted maritime traffic and pushed oil prices...

UK House Prices Fall for First Time Since 2023

UK house prices recorded their first annual decline in nearly three years in August as higher borrowing costs and economic uncertainty weighed on buyer demand, according to new data from Lloyds. House prices fell 0.4%...

Asian Currencies Mixed as Yen Rallies on BOJ Bets

Asian currencies traded mixed on Monday as the U.S. dollar hovered near recent lows, while the Japanese yen strengthened further on expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike and potential currency intervention. The U.S....

US Stock Futures Mixed as Strong Jobs Data Boosts Fed Rate Hike Bets

U.S. stock futures traded mixed Sunday evening as investors digested a stronger-than-expected August jobs report that increased expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. Trading activity was...

Politics

Kyiv Mothers Give Birth Amid Russian Drone Attacks

Women in Kyiv are giving birth under the constant threat of Russian drone attacks, highlighting how Ukraines escalating air war is reshaping everyday life and deepening the countrys demographic crisis. Alyona Bohatyrenko,...

Iran Vows Tougher Response as U.S. Sanctions Squeeze Economy

Iran pledged to intensify efforts to counter mounting U.S. sanctions and economic pressure, while a senior official warned Washington that any further attacks would trigger a faster and more severe Iranian response. Six...

EU to Boost Greenland Investment Amid Trump Pressure

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is expected to announce a major increase in EU investment in Greenland on Monday, strengthening economic and political ties as U.S. President Donald Trump continues to...

Netanyahu Orders West Bank Settler Outposts Dismantled

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered unauthorized settler outposts in the West Bank to be dismantled amid growing U.S. pressure on Israel to curb violence against Palestinians, according to two people...

Putin Meets US Envoys in Moscow as Ukraine Peace Push Intensifies

Russian President Vladimir Putin held more than three hours of talks with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner on Saturday as Washington stepped up efforts to negotiate an end to the Ukraine war. Kremlin aide Yuri...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Huawei Launches Mate XT2 Foldable Phone in China

Huawei unveiled its latest flagship foldable smartphone, the Mate XT2, on Monday as the Chinese technology giant looks to maintain its dominance in the countrys premium smartphone market amid growing competition from Apple...

Nvidia CEO Says AGI Has Arrived With OpenAI GPT-6 Astra

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang has declared that artificial general intelligence, or AGI, has arrived, pointing to OpenAIs newly launched GPT-6 Astra as a major milestone in the accelerating development of...

SpaceX Turbine Push Unlikely to Threaten Howmet, Bernstein Says

SpaceXs plan to manufacture industrial gas turbine blades and vanes is unlikely to significantly threaten Howmet Aerospace, according to Bernstein analysts, who see recent weakness in Howmet shares as a potential buying...

Anthropic IPO Marketing Expected to Start in Mid-October

Anthropic is expected to begin marketing its initial public offering in mid-October at the earliest, as the artificial intelligence company adjusts the timeline for what could become one of the largest IPOs in history. The...

Japan, US Target AI and Chips in $550 Billion Investment Push

Japan and the United States are advancing a $550 billion investment initiative, with artificial intelligence and semiconductor projects expected to become major priorities in the next phase of the economic partnership,...
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