Spain’s Industrial Output Records Steady Growth in October Amid Revised September Figures 
Australia’s Economic Growth Slows in Q3 Despite Strong Investment Activity 
Citi Sets Bullish 2026 Target for STOXX 600 as Fiscal Support and Monetary Easing Boost Outlook 
Asian Markets Mixed as RBI Cuts Rates and BOJ Signals Possible Hike 
BOJ Governor Ueda Highlights Uncertainty Over Future Interest Rate Hikes 
Europe Confronts Rising Competitive Pressure as China Accelerates Export-Led Growth 
Germany’s Economic Recovery Slows as Trade Tensions and Rising Costs Weigh on Growth 
Gold Prices Edge Higher as Markets Await Key U.S. PCE Inflation Data 
European Oil & Gas Stocks Face 2026 With Cautious Outlook Amid Valuation Pressure 
Asian Currencies Steady as Markets Await Fed Rate Decision; Indian Rupee Hits New Record Low 
RBI Cuts Repo Rate to 5.25% as Inflation Cools and Growth Outlook Strengthens 
Dollar Weakens Ahead of Expected Federal Reserve Rate Cut 
China Urged to Prioritize Economy Over Territorial Ambitions, Says Taiwan’s President Lai 
Gold Prices Steady as Markets Await Key U.S. Data and Expected Fed Rate Cut 
Asian Currencies Edge Higher as Markets Look to Fed Rate Cut; Rupee Steadies Near Record Lows 
Asian stock markets opened cautiously on Monday as investors awaited developments on a potential U.S. government shutdown. President Donald Trump is set to meet with congressional leaders later in the day to discuss extending federal funding. Without a deal, the shutdown would begin Wednesday, coinciding with the implementation of new U.S. tariffs on trucks, pharmaceuticals, and other goods.
Analysts warn a prolonged closure could hinder the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions ahead of its October 29 meeting, as key reports like September payrolls would be delayed. Bank of America noted that while private data could fill gaps, the lack of official government releases may slightly reduce the likelihood of an October rate cut, though markets still price in a 90% chance. Growth impacts are expected to be minor, with estimates of a 0.1% reduction in GDP per week of closure. However, permanent job cuts tied to the shutdown could weigh on employment and consumer confidence.
Despite political uncertainty, equities may find support in seasonal trends. Historically, the fourth quarter has been favorable for U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 posting gains nearly three-quarters of the time. On Monday, S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures gained 0.2%, while European futures, including Eurostoxx 50, FTSE, and DAX, also rose 0.3%. Japan’s Nikkei dipped 0.7% after a strong September, while South Korea’s market advanced 1.2%. MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose 0.4%, adding nearly 4% in September.
Treasury yields steadied at 4.17% after recent pressure from strong U.S. economic data. The dollar index held firm at 98.134, with the euro trading at $1.1708 and the yen at 149.49.
In commodities, gold hovered near record highs at $3,764 an ounce, while oil prices eased. Brent crude slipped 0.8% to $69.57, and U.S. crude fell 0.9% to $65.14 as Iraq resumed exports through a key pipeline. OPEC+ is expected to approve another output hike of at least 137,000 barrels per day at its upcoming meeting.
