Currency War Series

BI likely to deliver two 25bp rate cuts next year

Dec 15, 2015 07:22 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Indonesias trade balance for November posted a small deficit of USD0.3bn as a result of poor performance of export. The non-oil manufactured exports reduced sharply and caused the overall exports to fall by 17.58%. The...

Renminbi Series

Renminbi series – deliberate devaluation……maybe not

Dec 15, 2015 06:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Peoples bank of China (PBoC) has devalued Yuan for seventh consecutive day, while the Yuan trades at four year low against Dollar. PBoC has fixed Yuans central parity today, down -0.1% to RMB 6.4995 per Dollar. Onshore...

Fed's second rate hike likely in April, 2016

Dec 15, 2015 06:05 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The FOMC meeting on policy decission is scheduled tomorrow. The Fed is expected to hike rate for first time after almost 10 years. Looking forward, analysts foresee a series of rate hikes next two years. Some economic...

Currency War Series

No policy action this week from BoJ

Dec 15, 2015 02:25 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Japan should have the room to stand pat this Friday, given that the 3Q GDP has been revised up and a technical recession was averted. Meanwhile, the impact from a possible Fed move needs to be closely watched...

Currency War Series

Inflation uptick and higher US rates to keep RBI cautious

Dec 15, 2015 02:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Uptick in domestic inflation prints and an impending US rate lift-off later this week are likely to keep the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cautious on the policy front. Markets see an over 70% probability of a US rate...

Currency War Series

Bank of Thailand to keep rates steady

Dec 15, 2015 01:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank of Thailand (BOT) is likely to keep its policy rate steady this week. GDP growth momentum remains weak, dragged by a weak private sector demand. There is not much that the BOT can do on this front though. Households...

EM Asia: Central banks await FOMC

Dec 15, 2015 00:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Korea held the policy rate unchanged as expected. It is believed that its neutral tone was deliberate to mitigate potential volatility arising from the expected Fed rate hike next week. It is believed that the...