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Daily Economic Outlook: 1st October 2015

Oct 01, 2015 04:14 am UTC| Commentary

The UK manufacturing PMI and US ISM manufacturing surveys are the main data focus today, ahead of tomorrows US employment report. The trade-weighted sterling exchange rate has eased back in recent weeks, but it may provide...

ECB likely to expand asset purchases and add corporate bonds

Oct 01, 2015 03:41 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Euro area inflation returned to negative territory in September (-0.1% yoy). Following persistent weakness in energy prices, the headline inflation is expected to average 0.1% in 2015 and 1.0% in 2016 compared to our...

Korea's inventory overhang improves a little

Oct 01, 2015 03:34 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The persistent sluggishness in the trade performance and the large inventory overhang in autos and electronics increase the likelihood that Q3 GDP growth may undershoot the official expectations of at least 1% q/q...

Fuel prices push Euro Area headline into negative territory

Oct 01, 2015 03:30 am UTC| Commentary

Euro area inflation in September fell into negative territory for the first time since March 2015. In yoy terms, it fell into the red (-0.1%), with the energy component at -8.9% yoy. After slowing to 0.8% in 2014 from an...

Euro Area September inflation declines

Oct 01, 2015 02:22 am UTC| Commentary

Euro area September advance inflation fell -0.1% YoY, a first since Mar15 and from downwardly revised 0.1% YoY in Aug. Core inflation (ex food and fuel) rose 0.9%, steady from month before. Weak numbers from the core...

India’s fiscal position eases into August

Oct 01, 2015 02:07 am UTC| Commentary

Indias cumulative fiscal deficit in first five months of FY15/16 scaled back on higher non-tax revenues support, while expenditure remained on track. Helped by a rare fiscal surplus in Aug, the Apr-Aug fiscal deficit...

Loan growth has moderated again in Singapore

Oct 01, 2015 01:57 am UTC| Commentary

Loan growth has moderated again in Singapore. After a modest uptick to 2.2% YoY in the previous month, overall loan growth slipped to 1.5% in August. This is mainly driven by a sharp drop in business loan growth to 0.2%,...

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Economy

US Dollar Index Falls as Fed Signals Caution, Indian Rupee Surges

The U.S. dollar weakened on Tuesday as cautious comments from a Federal Reserve official and gains in the euro pressured the greenback. Meanwhile, the Indian rupee extended its sharp recovery, reaching its strongest level...

Gold Prices Mixed Ahead of US Inflation Data and Fed Rate Outlook

Gold prices ended Tuesdays trading session mixed as investors assessed a weaker U.S. dollar, declining Treasury yields, and fluctuating oil prices ahead of crucial U.S. inflation reports that could influence the Federal...

Fed’s Williams Sees One More Rate Hike in 2026, None in 2027

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said Tuesday that he continues to support one additional interest rate hike in 2026 but does not anticipate further increases in 2027, citing expectations that...

Oil Prices Mixed as Russia Diesel Deal and Houthi Attacks Raise Supply Concerns

Oil prices traded mixed on Tuesday as investors assessed the impact of a U.S.-Russia diesel supply agreement alongside growing concerns about Middle East oil disruptions following escalating Houthi attacks in Yemen and...

Wall Street Closes Lower as Bank Earnings and AI Concerns Weigh

Wall Street stocks ended slightly lower on Tuesday, October 13, as mixed bank earnings and growing concerns over Chinese artificial intelligence competition pressured investor sentiment ahead of key U.S. inflation data....

Politics

US Senate Midterms 2026: Key Races That Could Flip Control

The 2026 US Senate midterm elections are shaping up to be a competitive battle as Democrats seek to overturn Republicans 53-47 majority. With Election Day approaching, several closely contested races could determine which...

Trump Denies China, Russia Are Helping Iran in War

US President Donald Trump has dismissed claims that China and Russia are supporting Iran in its ongoing war with the United States, despite American intelligence assessments suggesting both countries have provided military...

Zelenskiy Says Ukraine Received No Warning Before Russian Missile Attack

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Tuesday that Western allies failed to provide advance warning of a Russian missile attack on Kyiv, raising concerns about Ukraines access to critical intelligence as Washington...

US Supreme Court Denies Release of Anti-ICE Activist Kyle Wagner

The US Supreme Court on Tuesday rejected a request for the pretrial release of Kyle Wagner, an anti-ICE activist accused of making online threats during a federal immigration crackdown in Minneapolis. The decision keeps...

Flavio Bolsonaro Backs Brazil’s 40-Hour Workweek Reform Ahead of Runoff

Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro has reversed his opposition to a proposed labor reform that would shorten the countrys workweek, a politically significant move ahead of his presidential runoff against incumbent...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

New York Times, AFP Join Coalition to Protect Content From AI

The New York Times, Agence France-Presse (AFP), and The Economist have joined a growing international coalition seeking to protect publishers copyrighted content from unauthorized use by artificial intelligence companies....

AT&T Sells Mexico Wireless Business to Televisa for $2 Billion

ATT Inc. (NYSE: T) has agreed to sell its Mexican wireless operations to Grupo Televisa SAB (NYSE: TV) and Fintech Holdings Inc. for $2 billion in cash, ending its decade-long effort to compete in Mexicos...

Arm Shares Fall Over 3% After Qualcomm Wins License Dispute

Arm Holdings shares dropped more than 3% on Tuesday, October 13, after a Delaware jury ruled in favor of Qualcomm in a breach of contract lawsuit, marking another setback for the British chip technology company in its...

Arm Breaches Qualcomm License Deal, Jury Awards $2

A Delaware jury has ruled that Arm Holdings violated its licensing agreement with Qualcomm and intentionally interfered with the chipmakers business relationship with Meta Platforms. However, the jury awarded Qualcomm just...

Nvidia Invests in Four French AI Companies to Expand European Presence

Nvidia Corp is expanding its presence in Europes artificial intelligence market through agreements to acquire minority stakes in four French technology companies, according to a report published Tuesday by French newspaper...
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