Brazil Q2 GDP unlikely to fall
Aug 21, 2015 09:26 am UTC| Commentary Economy
The June monthly GDP proxy for Brazil contracted by 0.6% m/m sa is consistent with the 1.0% m/m sa contraction of industrial production and the 0.8% m/m sa drop in broad retail sales. In q/q terms, the monthly GDP proxy...
USDCNY likely to reach 6.90 by end Q2 16
Aug 21, 2015 08:10 am UTC| Commentary
Chinas recent changes to the process for determining CNY fixings have broad implications for FX markets. The risks around the new forecasts are larger and more skewed than usual, given ongoing uncertainty over the...
US Dollar absorbs depreciation of other currencies
Aug 21, 2015 07:40 am UTC| Commentary
At the margin newly arisen risks from China and the implied USD appreciation may dissuade those members of the FOMC who lack confidence in US economic momentum from voting for a hike in September. But currencies cannot...
Bullish bias in EUR rates is unlikely to disappear
Aug 21, 2015 07:38 am UTC| Commentary
The bullish bias in EUR rates is unlikely to disappear as the ECB has little choice but to remain accommodative, if not increase this accommodation at some point. Therefore, a more bullish message from the September ECB...

Another BoC rate cut likely by year end
Aug 21, 2015 07:33 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
The data focus in the Americas turns today to Canada. The key releases include July CPI and June retail sales. The market is looking for a drop moderation in retail sales, though headline and core inflation is seen rising...
Market attention remains on China and the Fed
Aug 21, 2015 07:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
Moving on from Greece, market attention remains on China and the Fed. Following Chinas currency devaluation last week, the Chinese stock market remained very volatile this week, facilitating the downward pressure on global...
Aug 21, 2015 07:24 am UTC| Commentary
The EUR has been well supported of late, regardless of the latest developments pointing towards a rising probability of the ECB turning more aggressive on monetary policy, at least verbally. Both weakening commodity price...