South African Rand near the abyss
Aug 21, 2015 07:20 am UTC| Commentary
The rand is near the abyss. It has been under pressure for weeks, USD-ZAR already tested the threshold at 13.00. Like numerous other emerging markets currencies, the rand is suffering from the commodities price slide and...
China onshore liquidity tightens due to PBoC’s intervention
Aug 21, 2015 07:17 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
PBoC set USD-CNY fixing rate at 6.3864 this morning, compared with yesterdays closing rate at 6.3891. In general, CNY remained quite stable this week, which suggests that Chinas central bank could have sold USD to...
Inflation data in Canada unlikely to bring impulses
Aug 21, 2015 07:16 am UTC| Commentary
Canadas July inflation data is due today. In most other G10 countries, this release would be a highlight. The Bank of Canada, however, has other problems: oil prices are falling again. It seems that it underestimated the...
Fragile EM currencies to watch
Aug 21, 2015 07:14 am UTC| Commentary
EM vulnerabilities are likely to become a point of interest for markets once again. The divergence of monetary policy between the US and EMs is accentuated by potential spillovers from a slower China, competitiveness...
CNY devaluation to effect European currencies against USD
Aug 21, 2015 07:09 am UTC| Commentary
Despite lower direct economic linkages, the change in Chinas exchange rate and growth risks are expected to also weaken European currencies versus the USD. A combination of slower global growth, lower energy and...
Snap elections in Greece and falling inflation expectations leaving EUR unimpressed
Aug 21, 2015 07:08 am UTC| Commentary
Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras has called snap elections (probably for 20 September). In doing so, he is making the most of a good opportunity. The third bailout package has just been adopted by all parliaments, and...
Japan to have a significant direct effect from CNY depreciation
Aug 21, 2015 07:03 am UTC| Commentary
Japans large trade weight with China, and East Asia more broadly, implies a significant direct effect from changes in Chinas exchange rate, growth and inflation profiles. Yet, the yen is extremely undervalued...