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FxWirePro: EUR/CNH bearish bets on Brexit, U.S. election uncertainty intensifies

Oct 05, 2016 07:39 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

In our recent write on Chinese currency regime, we have already stated that 2016 year-end forecast of USDCNY at 6.85 is firmly upheld. The prospects of a Fed hike before year-end and a rise in capital outflows would likely...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Central banks in APAC stimulate AUD/NZD bullish sentiments and holders of option straps in lurk for conducive IVs

Oct 05, 2016 07:16 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

The AUD has enjoyed support from commodity prices plus the RBA sounding comfortable about Australias outlook as the central bank maintained status quo in its recent monetary policy (cash rates unchanged at 1.50%). An...

Denmark’s FX reserve unchanged in September, key policy rate likely to stay on hold for longer time

Oct 05, 2016 04:53 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Danish central bank, Danmarks Nationalbank (DN) yesterday published FX reserve and central bank balance sheet for September. Denmarks FX reserve for September remained unchanged from August at DKK 450 billion. The central...

FxWirePro: RBI delivers easing again with 25 bps anticipating unlikely rise in inflation, expect momentary impact on FX as INR trades with mixed bag

Oct 04, 2016 13:31 pm UTC| Central Banks

The six-member panel of RBI MPC, after series of brainstorming sessions over two days, unanimously decided to cut its key lendingthe repo rateby 25 basis points to 6.25 percent, as a newly set up panel felt that inflation...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Use momentary PLN loses in put ladder to hedge USD/PLN depreciating risks on Polish rate cut expectations

Oct 04, 2016 13:03 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

As per the National Bank of PolandsMPC, the latest minutes unpredictably indicated that several MPC members are willing to consider rate cuts. This comes as a surprise because individual interviews in recent months tended...

RBA leaves cash rate on hold at 1.5 pct, but retains easing bias

Oct 04, 2016 06:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As widely projected, the Reserve Bank of Australia left its cash rate on hold today at 1.5 percent after it lowered the key rate by 25 basis points in both May and August. The overall tone of the statement was widely...

RBA monetary policy: Assessing future bias

Oct 04, 2016 06:17 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

A new governor, Philip Lowe is heading the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) now and at his first monetary policy meeting, he and his colleagues have chosen to maintain rate steady at 1.5 percent. Lets look at the details...

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Economy

Chip Stocks Rally on AI Optimism as Oil Price Surge Adds Market Tension

Oil prices climbed sharply on Monday as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations continued to disrupt Middle East energy exports, fueling concerns across global markets. Brent crude futures rose nearly 2%, reaching a three-week high...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low as Iran Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a historic low in April, reflecting growing anxiety over rising inflation and energy costs despite a ceasefire in the Iran conflict. According to the University of Michigans Surveys of...

ECB Rate Outlook: Ceasefire Eases Pressure but Hikes Still Expected in 2026

The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to meet next Thursday, and recent geopolitical developmentsparticularly the Iran war ceasefirehave temporarily reduced pressure for an immediate interest rate hike. However,...

Brazil Current Account Deficit Widens in March as FDI Misses Expectations

Brazils current account deficit expanded more than expected in March, highlighting growing external pressures on Latin Americas largest economy. According to central bank data, the deficit reached $6.036 billion,...

Araqchi Leads Iran’s Diplomatic Push as U.S. Talks and Oil Market Tensions Rise

Irans Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi arrived in Islamabad to discuss potential steps toward restarting peace talks with the United States, signaling cautious optimism after weeks of escalating conflict. The ongoing...

Politics

DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects

The U.S. Department of Justice has officially ended its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a decision announced by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro that could significantly impact the future leadership of...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Crisis Deepens as Traffic Plunges Amid Iran-U.S. Tensions

Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped dramatically, with only five vesselsincluding an Iranian oil products tankerpassing through the strategic waterway in the past 24 hours, according to recent...

India Slams “Hellhole” Remark Linked to Trump Post, Reaffirms Strong US Relations

India has strongly criticized remarks describing the country as a hellhole, calling them uninformed and inappropriate, after U.S. President Donald Trump shared a transcript of a controversial radio segment on his Truth...

Iran Proposes Strait of Hormuz Reopening Deal Amid Stalled U.S. Talks

Iran has reportedly submitted a new proposal to the United States aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing ongoing geopolitical tensions, according to a report by Axios citing U.S. officials and sources familiar...

U.S. Budget Airlines Seek $2.5 Billion Government Aid Amid Rising Jet Fuel Costs

A group of U.S. budget airlines, including Frontier Airlines and Avelo Airlines, is reportedly pursuing $2.5 billion in government assistance to offset surging operational costs driven by rising jet fuel prices. According...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...
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