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Riksbank could start to remove negative rates in late 2017

Sep 26, 2016 12:28 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

At its latest monetary policy meeting on September 7th, the Swedens central bank left the repo rate unchanged at minus 0.50 percent and said to continue to purchase government bonds in the second half of 2016. The Riksbank...

FxWirePro: Double whammy for TRY from CBRT and Moody’s, USD/TRY spikes - OTM calls in diagonal credit spreads to fetch exponential yields

Sep 26, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Central Banks Economy Insights & Views

After CBRTs rate cut in last week, Moodys downgrading has been thedouble whammy for USDTRY, as the pair has been spiking considerably. President Tayyip Erdogan unsettled markets briefly on Friday when he appeared to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Central banks activities, geopolitical risks and multi-month low vols suggest EUR/USD FVA hedge

Sep 26, 2016 07:13 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

As the Fed maintained status quo at the conclusion of its monetary policy meeting on Wednesdaybut hinted that a hike could come in December if the job market continued to improve, the key benchmark US treasury yields moved...

Taiwan’s central bank likely to slash rates on Thursday, to stay pat in December

Sep 26, 2016 06:26 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) (CBC) is expected to slash its discount rate at the monetary policy meeting scheduled to be held on Sep 29, 2016. However, it is seen to hold fire at the next policy meet...

FxWirePro: Dovish CBRT stimulates USD/TRY upside risks, 1w calls exorbitantly priced – Construct Diagonal Credit Call Spreads bidding tepid IVs

Sep 23, 2016 13:11 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

CBT lowered its overnight lending rate by 25bps yesterday to 8.25% as had been widely anticipated; the central bank kept other policy parameters unchanged. The MPC statement was strikingly dovish in that its first remark...

FxWirePro: RBI designs new MPC to ensure policy actions on track to keep inflation targets – INR trading baskets

Sep 23, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Central Banks

RBI finalized the make-up of its new six-member monetary policy committee (MPC). They are three government nominees who are distinguished economists and three RBI members. In a split decision, the governor has the...

Higher inflation and better growth prospects in Norway imply less need for additional rate cuts

Sep 23, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Norges Bank earlier this week left the key policy rate unchanged and revised higher the interest rate path in line with market expectations. Rate path was raised by 24bps in Q4 2016 and 12-19 bps in 2017-19. The rate path...

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Economy

Chip Stocks Rally on AI Optimism as Oil Price Surge Adds Market Tension

Oil prices climbed sharply on Monday as stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations continued to disrupt Middle East energy exports, fueling concerns across global markets. Brent crude futures rose nearly 2%, reaching a three-week high...

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low as Iran Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a historic low in April, reflecting growing anxiety over rising inflation and energy costs despite a ceasefire in the Iran conflict. According to the University of Michigans Surveys of...

ECB Rate Outlook: Ceasefire Eases Pressure but Hikes Still Expected in 2026

The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to meet next Thursday, and recent geopolitical developmentsparticularly the Iran war ceasefirehave temporarily reduced pressure for an immediate interest rate hike. However,...

Brazil Current Account Deficit Widens in March as FDI Misses Expectations

Brazils current account deficit expanded more than expected in March, highlighting growing external pressures on Latin Americas largest economy. According to central bank data, the deficit reached $6.036 billion,...

Araqchi Leads Iran’s Diplomatic Push as U.S. Talks and Oil Market Tensions Rise

Irans Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi arrived in Islamabad to discuss potential steps toward restarting peace talks with the United States, signaling cautious optimism after weeks of escalating conflict. The ongoing...

Politics

DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects

The U.S. Department of Justice has officially ended its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a decision announced by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro that could significantly impact the future leadership of...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Crisis Deepens as Traffic Plunges Amid Iran-U.S. Tensions

Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped dramatically, with only five vesselsincluding an Iranian oil products tankerpassing through the strategic waterway in the past 24 hours, according to recent...

India Slams “Hellhole” Remark Linked to Trump Post, Reaffirms Strong US Relations

India has strongly criticized remarks describing the country as a hellhole, calling them uninformed and inappropriate, after U.S. President Donald Trump shared a transcript of a controversial radio segment on his Truth...

Iran Proposes Strait of Hormuz Reopening Deal Amid Stalled U.S. Talks

Iran has reportedly submitted a new proposal to the United States aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing ongoing geopolitical tensions, according to a report by Axios citing U.S. officials and sources familiar...

U.S. Budget Airlines Seek $2.5 Billion Government Aid Amid Rising Jet Fuel Costs

A group of U.S. budget airlines, including Frontier Airlines and Avelo Airlines, is reportedly pursuing $2.5 billion in government assistance to offset surging operational costs driven by rising jet fuel prices. According...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

DeepSeek V4 Launch Signals China’s Growing AI Independence with Huawei Chips

DeepSeek, a fast-rising Chinese AI startup, has unveiled a preview of its highly anticipated V4 model, marking a major step toward Chinas technological independence. The new model, optimized for Huaweis Ascend chips,...

U.S. Warns Allies Over Alleged Chinese AI IP Theft Linked to DeepSeek

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight concerns over alleged intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies, including startup DeepSeek. According to a...

Judge Dismisses Elon Musk’s Fraud Claims Against OpenAI, Trial to Proceed on Remaining Allegations

A U.S. federal judge has dismissed key fraud claims brought by Elon Musk in his high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman, marking a significant development in the ongoing legal battle. The ruling,...

$16B Michigan Data Center Project Boosts U.S. AI Infrastructure Expansion

Related Digital, a major data center developer, announced on Friday that it has secured $16 billion in financing to support the construction of a large-scale data center campus in Michigan. This significant investment...

U.S. Raises Alarm Over Chinese AI Firms’ Alleged IP Theft Through Model Distillation

The U.S. State Department has launched a global diplomatic effort to highlight what it describes as large-scale intellectual property theft by Chinese artificial intelligence companies. According to a diplomatic cable...
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