Global growth struggle manifested in earnings estimates for Q3
Oct 08, 2015 16:58 pm UTC| Commentary
Earnings season for Q3 unofficially begins today. Both earnings and revenue growth estimates are looking negative but we know that the actual reports are usually skewed to the upside. This quarter, however, growth is...
Bank of England review: Slightly dovish as inflation outlook is lowered
Oct 08, 2015 16:54 pm UTC| Commentary
As expected, there was another 8-1 split vote on whether to keep the bank rate unchanged or raise it immediately. The MPC voted unanimously in favour of keeping the stock of purchased assets unchanged at GBP375bn. The...
ECB's September minutes show concerns about downside risks
Oct 08, 2015 16:26 pm UTC| Commentary
The account of the monetary policy September meeting suggests that relative to July, there was broad agreement among governing council (GC) members about the downside risks posed to the euro area recovery and inflation by...

Fed hikes are postponed but China risks remain
Oct 08, 2015 15:03 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks
The need for caution is higher now after the market squeeze post-NFP, which likely leads to a worse positioning backdrop. We have generally been inclined to fade the excessive short-term bearishness in EEMEA FX since...
Canadian new home construction heats up in September
Oct 08, 2015 14:53 pm UTC| Commentary
Consistent with the strength in the existing home market so far in 2015, new homebuilding also heated up in September. Builders broke ground on 230,701 (annualized) new units in September - the highest level of housing...
US jobless claims continue to trend lower
Oct 08, 2015 14:02 pm UTC| Commentary
Initial jobless claims fell 13k, to 263k, in the week ending October 3, coming in below forecast (275k) and consensus expectations (274k). Prior-week initial claims were revised up just 1k, to 276k; however, the...
SEK monthly currency outlook (1-3 month)
Oct 08, 2015 12:31 pm UTC| Commentary
SEK performed strongly in September, rising against all G10 currencies despite the generally negative tone for risk in the month and SEKs traditional status as a risk proxy. The apparent reversal of SEKs relationship with...