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FxWirePro: Confluence of trios to propel VIX in 2018

Feb 21, 2018 08:30 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

It has taken a monumental VIX shock for the realization to dawn that the low volatility patch of 2017 is now history. Front-end FX vols had been climbing for the better part of the New Year on heavy demand for USD puts and...

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY what-if scenario analysis, OTC setup and hedging perspectives

Feb 21, 2018 06:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Bearish GBPJPY scenarios: 1) CPI peaks and wage growth fails to accelerate to 3%; 2) The balance of payments pressure (capital repatriation from LT investors; current a/c stuck at 4-5%). 3) PM May faces a...

FxWirePro: Is it FX vols overshot or just because of equity market wobble? Discover fact from fiction

Feb 20, 2018 12:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As expected, yesterday was a relatively quiet session and we may be set for another. A number of surveys are released today, with the UK CBI industrial trends and German ZEW the most important among them. The market was...

FxWirePro: Hedge uncertain Brexit risk premium in transition - GBP/AUD 3-way straddles for baffled trend

Feb 20, 2018 12:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In our view, the medium-term prospects for Brexit and by extension GBP remain in a state of uncertain political flux. Investors may have assumed that a transition was a done deal but there are substantive aspects of the...

FxWirePro: GBP/AUD iron condors for trading on tepid IVs and bearish neutral RRs

Feb 20, 2018 11:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

FX markets were a sideshow to the plunge in US equities and spike in equity volatility this past week. But should this equity market volatility persist there will be the greater risk of near-term FX de-risking. This leaves...

FxWirePro: GBP/AUD iron condors for trading on tepid IVs and bearish neutral RRs

Feb 20, 2018 11:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

FX markets were a sideshow to the plunge in US equities and spike in equity volatility this past week. But should this equity market volatility persist there will be the greater risk of near-term FX de-risking. This leaves...

FxWirePro: FX vols to subsidize VIX amid lingering jitters on macro themes

Feb 20, 2018 09:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

It has taken a monumental VIX shock for the realization to dawn that the low volatility patch of 2017 is now history. Front-end FX vols had been climbing for the better part of the new year on heavy demand for USD puts and...

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Economy

U.S. Treasury Yields Fall as Tech Selloff Sparks Safe-Haven Demand

U.S. Treasury yields dropped sharply on Thursday as investors sought safer assets amid a global technology stock selloff, reversing gains triggered by stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data. Despite renewed concerns...

Australia Jobs Fall 39,300 as Unemployment Hits 4.7%

Australias labour market weakened unexpectedly in September, with employment recording a sharp decline and the unemployment rate reaching 4.7%, raising questions about the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) next interest...

EU Leaders Meet to Tackle China Imports, Energy Costs and Budget Disputes

European Union leaders are gathering in Brussels on Thursday for a crucial summit focused on rising Chinese imports, high energy prices and disagreements over the EUs next long-term budget. The meeting brings together...

Oil Prices Drop as U.S. Weighs Easing Shadow Fleet Sanctions

Oil prices declined sharply on Thursday as reports that the United States may ease sanctions on shadow fleet vessels raised expectations of improved global crude supplies. Investors also awaited an International Energy...

Asian Currencies Mixed as Dollar Retreats From 18-Month High

Asian currencies traded unevenly on Thursday as the U.S. dollar weakened from an 18-month peak, with investors reassessing expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes following stronger-than-expected U.S....

Politics

Zelensky Says Ukraine Will Resume Strikes on Russian Oil Facilities

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine will resume attacks on Russian oil infrastructure, signaling an end to a temporary suspension of strikes following pressure from the United States. In an...

US Justice Department Drops Prosecution of Ex-CIA Analyst Sue Mi Terry

The US Justice Department has agreed to defer prosecution of former CIA analyst and White House National Security Council official Sue Mi Terry, who was accused of acting as an unregistered foreign agent for South Korea in...

UN Urges Talks on Lebanon Peacekeeping Mission Extension

United Nations peacekeeping chief Jean-Pierre Lacroix has urged the UN Security Council to begin negotiations over the future of UN peacekeepers in Lebanon as the country seeks to extend the missions mandate beyond...

FBI Denies Report of Kash Patel’s Russia Visit

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) denied reports on Wednesday that Director Kash Patel had traveled to Russia for meetings with Russian intelligence officials, confirming instead that he was attending a law...

Zelenskiy Says Trump’s Support for Russia Is ‘Painful’

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed disappointment with US President Donald Trump on Wednesday, describing Washingtons apparent shift toward Russia as painful amid the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war. Speaking...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anduril Valuation Hits $90 Billion in Employee Share Sale

Anduril Industries, a leading U.S. defense technology startup, has launched an employee share tender offer that values the company at approximately $90 billion, according to a Bloomberg report published Wednesday. The...

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Open to Cutting Chip Supply Over Unsafe AI

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company could stop supplying artificial intelligence chips to customers developing dangerous AI software, although he believes many current concerns about AI safety are exaggerated....

Apple Intelligence Set for China Launch in December With iOS 27.3

Apple Inc. is reportedly preparing to launch its Apple Intelligence artificial intelligence platform in mainland China this December, marking a significant step in expanding its AI services into one of its most important...

BlackRock CEO Warns Data Center Ban Could Trigger US Recession

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has warned that a nationwide halt to data center construction could push the United States into a recession, highlighting the growing importance of artificial intelligence (AI) investment to the US...

AI Crypto Payments Surge to 138 Million Transactions on Base

Artificial intelligence (AI) agents are increasingly using cryptocurrency to purchase digital services, with more than 138 million transactions recorded through the x402 payment protocol on Coinbases Base blockchain,...
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