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FxWirePro: FX options triangles for dollar softness ahead of central banks’ actions in H1’2018

Mar 06, 2018 09:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

A likely by-product of the loss of USD momentum is a pause or even a modest reversal in USD-correlations that have surged this year due to across-the-board dollar weakness. We do not expect any de-correlation to be very...

FxWirePro: Spotlight on VIX, high beta theme and Vega spreads for triplets

Mar 06, 2018 06:55 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The currency market has been acting as the adjustment factor between countries positioned at different parts of the economic cycle clock. It has been one of the few assets on which carrying long volatility positions has...

FxWirePro: Spotlight on Turkish Lira and USD/TRY derivatives trades

Mar 05, 2018 14:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Turkey published CPI data for February this morning. The market expected continued improvement after a favorable reading in January. However, the headline inflation rate didnt moderate notably, standing at 10.26% after...

FxWirePro: Stay long in well priced Vega NZD, CHF, and SGD

Mar 05, 2018 14:03 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Long vega priced well in NZD, CHF and SGD: Amid heightened sensitivity of macro markets to US inflation data and increasing discomfort about the twin US deficits FX vols should remain supported. FX vol ownership at belly...

FxWirePro: Bid EUR/JPY 6M risk reversals for delta hedging, 3m skews for vanilla puts and RVs for directional traders

Mar 05, 2018 12:42 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

It was almost to be expected. Following the parliamentary elections, the political situation in Italy seems to be unclear. Even if the results are still unclear the polls currently suggest: The bad outcome for the...

FxWirePro: AUD/CAD bearish trade setup via 6m debit put spread

Mar 05, 2018 11:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In this write-up, we emphasize on our medium-term bearish AUDCAD trade, structured as a 6m put spread, is predicated on policy rate and commodity divergence. However, the trade has underperformed to-date in part on a...

FxWirePro: Short resilient sterling trades - Sell GBP/CHF in spot, buy 1Y EUR/GBP vol swap

Mar 05, 2018 08:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

A tactical short in GBPCHF has been initiated in response to the volatility shock as the UK has the heaviest reliance on short-term funding flows of any major economy (the UKs current account deficit was largely funded by...

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Economy

South Korea’s KOSPI Plunges 8.2%, Triggers Circuit Breaker Amid Tech Selloff

South Koreas KOSPI index plunged more than 8% on Thursday, triggering a marketwide circuit breaker as a global technology stock selloff accelerated following stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data and growing concerns...

U.S. Treasury Yields Fall as Tech Selloff Sparks Safe-Haven Demand

U.S. Treasury yields dropped sharply on Thursday as investors sought safer assets amid a global technology stock selloff, reversing gains triggered by stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data. Despite renewed concerns...

Australia Jobs Fall 39,300 as Unemployment Hits 4.7%

Australias labour market weakened unexpectedly in September, with employment recording a sharp decline and the unemployment rate reaching 4.7%, raising questions about the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) next interest...

EU Leaders Meet to Tackle China Imports, Energy Costs and Budget Disputes

European Union leaders are gathering in Brussels on Thursday for a crucial summit focused on rising Chinese imports, high energy prices and disagreements over the EUs next long-term budget. The meeting brings together...

Oil Prices Drop as U.S. Weighs Easing Shadow Fleet Sanctions

Oil prices declined sharply on Thursday as reports that the United States may ease sanctions on shadow fleet vessels raised expectations of improved global crude supplies. Investors also awaited an International Energy...

Politics

US Proposal to Unfreeze Russian Assets Rejected by Europe

The United States has reportedly proposed a plan to release some frozen Russian sovereign assets and place them under Washingtons supervision as part of efforts to restart peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine,...

Flavio Bolsonaro Leads Lula in Brazil Presidential Runoff Poll

Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro holds a narrow lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of the October 25 presidential runoff election, according to a Quaest opinion poll released Wednesday. The survey showed...

South Korea Warns Changing US Wartime Command Rules Could Delay Transfer

South Korea has warned that repeatedly changing the conditions for transferring wartime operational control from the United States could prevent the long-awaited military command handover, highlighting growing concerns...

Trump Wishes Pope Leo Speedy Recovery After Lung Cancer Diagnosis

US President Donald Trump on Wednesday expressed his hopes for a swift recovery for Pope Leo following the Vaticans announcement that the 71-year-old pontiff had been diagnosed with lung cancer after undergoing surgery....

Trump Announces New Military Super Range in Montana for Advanced Weapons Testing

US President Donald Trump announced plans Wednesday to establish a new military testing facility in Montana, describing the project as a defense super range designed to support the development of advanced weapons and...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Q3 Revenue Surges to $16.8 Billion Ahead of IPO

Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic reported a sharp increase in third-quarter revenue and achieved another quarter of profitability as it prepares for a highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO) in November,...

Ericsson Q3 Profit Beats Forecasts as 2027 Cost Risks Loom

Swedish telecommunications equipment manufacturer Ericsson reported a smaller-than-expected decline in third-quarter core profit on Thursday, outperforming market expectations despite persistent challenges in the global...

Taiwan President Urges Micron, Workers to Negotiate Amid Strike Threat

Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te has urged U.S. memory chipmaker Micron Technology and its employees to engage in sincere negotiations as a potential strike threatens operations at one of the companys largest semiconductor...

Anduril Valuation Hits $90 Billion in Employee Share Sale

Anduril Industries, a leading U.S. defense technology startup, has launched an employee share tender offer that values the company at approximately $90 billion, according to a Bloomberg report published Wednesday. The...

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Open to Cutting Chip Supply Over Unsafe AI

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company could stop supplying artificial intelligence chips to customers developing dangerous AI software, although he believes many current concerns about AI safety are exaggerated....