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FxWirePro: Flaring at front-end, contraction against sterling – EUR CCY swaps as optimal hedging vehicle to lead the front

Jan 24, 2017 12:14 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The policy rotation in the US should favor a further appreciation of the US dollar in 2017. This tends to undermine both USD lending to non-US borrowers and international FX reserves, two factors that will probably amplify...

FxWirePro: Are you aggressive on more RBNZ cuts in sight? How to short vega volatility – American knock outs to rescue

Jan 24, 2017 10:56 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Since June, NZDUSD has been trading in the 0.70-0.74 range after a bullish first semester. At this stage, the interest rate differential already points towards a much lower NZDUSD, in the direction of our end-2017 forecast...

Moody's: Pressure on Tunisian banks to remain amid significant asset risk and challenging operating conditions

Jan 24, 2017 08:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that subdued economic growth, evolving regulation and significant asset risk pressure will maintain pressure on Tunisian banks performance. Moodys report, entitled Banks - Tunisia: Subdued...

FxWirePro: Better data but falling real rates and tightening credit keep us bearish in NZD – Diagonal strips to pawn positive skews in smart hedge

Jan 24, 2017 07:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Decembers highs of (0.7215) and an interim retracement in the 0.7240-50 area still attract but the push above 0.7200 is not accelerating. A slip now below 0.7180 could trigger a flush back to 0.7075-90. NZD/USD...

FxWirePro: Mounting TRY IVs signals shift in CBRT’s monetary policy – Reverse Call Spreads indicates rosy picture

Jan 24, 2017 05:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Please be noted that the rising USDTRY IVs have been signaling CBRT is going to be bringing change in its monetary policy that is scheduled today. As shown in the diagram, ATM IVs of 1m and 10d tenors have successively...

MOODY'S: DEBT-FUELLED CONSOLIDATION TO CONTINUE AMONG EUROPE'S AUTO PARTS SUPPLIERS INTO 2017

Jan 24, 2017 00:05 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Limited organic growth prospects and cheap debt are fuelling a pan-European consolidation race among leading European auto parts suppliers Dakar Finance S.A. (Autodistribution, B2 stable), Alliance Automotive Holding...

FxWirePro: 6m delta puts for APAC crosses, gamma positive and vega neutral strategies appear most conducive hedging vehicles for EUR/USD

Jan 23, 2017 13:19 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

You could wonder which trades might offer the best opportunity for hedging an extended appreciation of the US dollar over the next few months. Entering long volatility trades was one of the main themes highlighted in this...

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Economy

European Stocks Flat as Oil Prices Rise, US CPI in Focus

European stocks were little changed on Monday, holding close to record highs as rising crude oil prices and continued uncertainty over Middle East shipping routes offset optimism following last weeks strong market rally....

S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise as Iran Risks and CPI Loom

U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week. SP 500 futures gained about 0.1%,...

Goldman Sachs Sees US Stock Buybacks Outpacing Equity Issuance as AI Funding Rises

Goldman Sachs expects corporate demand for U.S. equities to remain stronger than new share supply this year, despite a significant recovery in follow-on equity issuance driven partly by artificial intelligence investment....

South Korean Won Leads Asian FX Losses as Dollar Rises

The South Korean won led declines across Asian currencies on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while the Japanese yen retreated after giving up some of its intervention-driven gains. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.18%...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Reopening Remains Uncertain

Oil prices climbed on Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to support the market, despite Iran and Oman moving closer to an agreement on new shipping routes through the strategic...

Politics

South Korea, US Set Major Military Drills for August

South Korea and the United States will hold their annual Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) military drills from August 17 to 27, with this years exercises placing greater emphasis on countering drones, GPS interference and...

US ‘Digging In’ Across Indo-Pacific, Pentagon Official Says

The United States remains firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and has no plans to withdraw from Asia, a senior Pentagon official said Monday, while urging regional allies to take greater responsibility for their own...

Myanmar Rejects ASEAN Special Envoy, Challenges Regional Peace Plan

Myanmars military-backed government has rejected the continued role of ASEANs special envoy, deepening tensions with the regional bloc as Thailand pushes for Myanmar to fully re-engage with Southeast Asian nations....

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...