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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Sterling in limbo but hard-Brexit to deliver a softer GBP over mid-term – GBP/AUD vega longs and theta shorts in 3-way straddles vs OTM call

Feb 14, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

GBP has been choppy but trendless this year on a messy interplay between Brexit politics and BoE expectations. Hopes that deterioration in the growth-inflation trade-off might prompt a rate hike as early as the end of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Why and how Swiss FX impact on global terms - Short USD/CHF through 3m put spread and short in EUR/CHF via spot

Feb 13, 2017 12:05 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

EURCHF is so far tracking our forecast which assumes a softening in the SNBs intervention regime and a resultant orderly decline of around one cent per quarter in the cross to 1.03 by year-end. What has Switzerland to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: 3-way diagonal straddles versus OTM calls to sync with EUR/USD bearish-neutral risk reversals, IV skews and trend

Feb 13, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Please be noted that the risk reversal flashes across all tenors, we see neutral changes to the bearish risk sentiments in 1m tenor but mounting bearish risk sentiments in 3m tenors, whereas Euro seems to be losing...

FxWirePro: Le Pen shock unlikely to drive EUR/USD vols – Hedge tail risk as markets pricing on dipping vols, bund calls versus swaption for delta-hedging

Feb 13, 2017 07:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Owning protection against European political discontent has been a key pillar of our bullish vol stance since late last year. Recent political developments in France and the implosion of what was considered to be a...

FxWirePro: How does Euro swap spread look ahead of French polls?

Feb 13, 2017 07:15 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

French elections is priced more appropriately in bonds (but not in currencies) than going into the Brexit and US vote. In the remote scenario of a Le Pen Presidency with supportive government and Parliament, 10Y Bunds...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Europe politics heightens risk dynamics in Eurozone, 1m skews uphold put writers advantages in 2:1 1m3m PRBS

Feb 13, 2017 05:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The political risks are clouded in theeuro area. The euro area economy has so far weathered political surprises in the form of the UKs referendum vote to leave the EU and the election of Donald Trump as the next US...

Moody's: China's shadow banking sector affected by tighter liquidity conditions, stricter regulatory scrutiny

Feb 13, 2017 03:00 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that liquidity conditions in Chinas financial system appear to be tightening. We expect that a combination of tighter liquidity conditions and stricter regulatory scrutiny on the banks...

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Economy

China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices

Chinas central bank has continued to strengthen its gold reserves, extending its buying streak to a 15th consecutive month in January, according to the latest data released by the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC). The move...

Trump Lifts 25% Tariff on Indian Goods in Strategic U.S.–India Trade and Energy Deal

President Donald Trump has signed a landmark executive order removing the 25% penalty tariff on Indian goods, signaling a major shift in U.S.India trade relations and global geopolitical alignment. The move functions as...

Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran

U.S. President Donald Trump has signed a new executive order that could impose tariffs of up to 25% on countries that continue to do business with Iran, marking a significant escalation in Washingtons pressure campaign...

U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains

The United States and India have taken a significant step toward a long-anticipated bilateral trade agreement by releasing an interim trade framework aimed at lowering tariffs, reshaping energy ties, and strengthening...

Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility

U.S. stocks surged on Friday, posting their strongest session since May 2025, as investors regained confidence following a turbulent week marked by sharp losses in technology shares and uncertainty around the artificial...

Politics

Ohio Man Indicted for Alleged Threat Against Vice President JD Vance, Faces Additional Federal Charges

A federal grand jury has returned an indictment against a 33-year-old Ohio man accused of threatening to kill U.S. Vice President JD Vance during the vice presidents visit to the Ohio region in January, according to the...

New York Legalizes Medical Aid in Dying for Terminally Ill Patients

New York has officially joined a growing number of U.S. states allowing medical aid in dying after Governor Kathy Hochul signed landmark legislation into law on Friday. The new New York medical aid in dying law permits...

Trump Says “Very Good Talks” Underway on Russia-Ukraine War as Peace Efforts Continue

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday that very good talks are ongoing regarding Russias war in Ukraine, signaling potential movement in long-running diplomatic efforts to end the conflict. Speaking briefly to...

China Warns US Arms Sales to Taiwan Could Disrupt Trump’s Planned Visit

China has issued a strong warning to the United States, signaling that any additional arms sales to Taiwan could seriously jeopardize U.S. President Donald Trumps planned visit to China in April. According to a report...

Trump Allows Commercial Fishing in Protected New England Waters

U.S. President Donald Trump has signed a proclamation permitting commercial fishing in a previously restricted marine protected area off the coast of New England, a move that has sparked renewed debate over ocean...

Science

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

Technology

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Says AI Investment Boom Is Just Beginning as NVDA Shares Surge

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang reaffirmed his bullish stance on artificial intelligence, calling the massive capital expenditure flowing into AI infrastructure both appropriate and necessary as the industry...

Amazon Stock Rebounds After Earnings as $200B Capex Plan Sparks AI Spending Debate

Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) delivered a mixed but closely watched earnings report, beating Wall Street expectations on revenue while unveiling a massive long-term investment plan that unsettled investors. The e-commerce and...

Global PC Makers Eye Chinese Memory Chip Suppliers Amid Ongoing Supply Crunch

Major PC manufacturers including HP, Dell, Acer, and Asus are reportedly exploring the option of sourcing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor companies for the first time, as a prolonged global supply crunch continues...

OpenAI Expands Enterprise AI Strategy With Major Hiring Push Ahead of New Business Offering

OpenAI is significantly accelerating its enterprise AI strategy by hiring hundreds of new employees for its technical consulting division, according to a report by The Information, citing a person familiar with the...

SoftBank Shares Slide After Arm Earnings Miss Fuels Tech Stock Sell-Off

SoftBank Group Corp. (TYO:9984) shares tumbled sharply on Thursday, tracking a steep decline in Arm Holdings (NASDAQ:ARM) after the UK-based chip designer reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the December quarter....