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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Stronger ADP strengthens case for further hikes from FED

Jan 06, 2016 13:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today ADP employment numbers were released from US for the month of December. ADP number shows US economy and its labour markets are quite robust, in spite of global economic slowdown. There are two things to note...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed likely to begin gradual normalization

Jan 06, 2016 10:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The overarching investment theme heading into 2016 is the divergence of global monetary policies among major central banks. Ultra-low interest rates alongside substantial amounts of quantitative easing by the Fed, BoE,...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath series – market becoming hawkish in hike expectation

Jan 05, 2016 12:28 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market is now more hawkish than last time we checked after FED hike in December and speech from Janet Yellen. Market seems to be expecting FED to be more aggressive in 2016. Lets look at the market pricing of hikes over...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

US NFP, manufacturing PMI and job claims likely to post positive numbers that target Fed’s normalization cycle in 2016

Jan 04, 2016 13:51 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Persistent growth in job market to support the USD and Fed tightening: The USD to trip up on support on Fridays NFP report. Average job creation of 150k or more during the next few employment reports should be...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

No signs of relief to Fed wondering if they might have jumped the gun in December

Jan 04, 2016 02:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The data surely arent bringing sighs of relief to any Fed officials wondering if they might have jumped the gun in December. 3Q GDP growth had already dropped to 2% (QoQ, saar) before they pulled the trigger and the higher...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath series – Economists expect FED to strike again in March

Dec 24, 2015 10:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

According to a survey of 42 economists by Financial Times, more than 2/3rd of them has aligned themselves with a rate hike by FED again in March. In previous articles under the same series name we discussed there are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Is US becoming socialist in its approach to regulating financial activities?

Dec 24, 2015 08:37 am UTC| Commentary Politics

For decades now, United States have been considered to wear the crown of capitalism, where business can thrive, banks can pursue new avenues and traders can make millions. But it is increasingly becoming clear that the...

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Economy

UK Economy Posts Surprise June Growth as World Cup and Hot Weather Lift Activity

Britains economy recorded stronger-than-expected growth in June 2026, supported by easing concerns over the Iran war, the mens soccer World Cup and hot weather, according to official figures released Thursday. UK gross...

US Dollar Holds Firm as Fed Outlook and Iran Tensions Keep Markets on Edge

The U.S. dollar remained steady on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserves interest rate outlook following U.S. inflation data that matched expectations. Meanwhile, elevated oil prices and renewed U.S.-Iran...

European Stocks Rise as U.S. Inflation Data Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears

European stocks moved higher on Thursday as investors welcomed an in-line U.S. inflation report that reduced expectations for another Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. The pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 Index...

Japan Government Backs Earlier BOJ Rate Hike as Inflation Pressures Build

Japans government is reportedly supportive of an earlier interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ), with policymakers potentially moving as soon as September or October as inflationary pressures intensify. Bloomberg...

Asian Currencies Steady as Dollar Holds Firm After U.S. Inflation Data

Most Asian currencies traded in a narrow range on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserves interest rate outlook following U.S. inflation data that largely matched market expectations. The U.S. Dollar Index was...

Politics

Iran Eyes New Development Bank Membership as BRICS Pushes Local Currency Trade

Iran is expected to join the New Development Bank (NDB), the multilateral lender established by BRICS nations, as Tehran seeks stronger financial ties with emerging economies and alternative channels outside the U.S....

Nigel Farage Faces Count Binface in Clacton Election Test

Voters in Clacton headed to the polls on Thursday in an unusual local English election that pits Reform UK leader Nigel Farage against more than 30 challengers, including comedian Count Binface. The election comes after...

Putin Visits Japan-Claimed Iturup Island, Drawing Strong Protest From Tokyo

Russian President Vladimir Putin visited Iturup, a disputed island claimed by Japan, on Thursday, prompting a strong protest from Tokyo as tensions remain elevated across Northeast Asia. Iturup, known as Etorofu in Japan,...

Meloni Loses Ground Among Young Italian Voters Ahead of 2027 Election

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is losing support among young voters, potentially creating a major challenge for her right-wing coalition ahead of Italys 2027 national election. Polling by Youtrend shows Melonis...

US, Colombia Weigh Joint Strikes on Armed Groups in Expanded Anti-Drug Campaign

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has raised the possibility of joint U.S.-Colombia military strikes against armed groups as Washington expands its counter-narcotics campaign across Latin America. Speaking Wednesday at...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Google Pushes Gemini AI Overhaul as Sergey Brin Targets Model Supremacy

Google co-founder Sergey Brin has stepped up efforts to accelerate development of the companys Gemini AI models as Alphabet battles OpenAI and Anthropic for leadership in artificial intelligence. Brin has reportedly urged...

Lenovo Revenue Surges 43% as AI Demand Drives Record First-Quarter Growth

Lenovo Group reported record first-quarter revenue as booming demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure and AI-enabled devices fueled strong growth across its major businesses, pushing its Hong Kong-listed shares...

Cisco Forecasts Strong Fiscal 2027 Growth as AI Networking Demand Surges

Cisco Systems has issued a stronger-than-expected fiscal 2027 outlook, fueled by rising demand for networking equipment and artificial intelligence infrastructure from hyperscale customers. The networking technology giant...

Super Micro Stock Jumps 19% as AI Server Demand Drives Strong 2027 Outlook

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) shares surged about 19% on Wednesday after the AI server maker issued fiscal 2027 guidance that significantly exceeded Wall Street expectations, easing concerns following its softer...

SpaceX Shares Surge as Wall Street Backs AI Growth Potential

SpaceX shares jumped 11% after Morgan Stanley highlighted the companys growing artificial intelligence business, fueling investor optimism around its expanding enterprise software strategy and upcoming Grok 4.7 AI model....
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