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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Stronger ADP strengthens case for further hikes from FED

Jan 06, 2016 13:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today ADP employment numbers were released from US for the month of December. ADP number shows US economy and its labour markets are quite robust, in spite of global economic slowdown. There are two things to note...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed likely to begin gradual normalization

Jan 06, 2016 10:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The overarching investment theme heading into 2016 is the divergence of global monetary policies among major central banks. Ultra-low interest rates alongside substantial amounts of quantitative easing by the Fed, BoE,...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath series – market becoming hawkish in hike expectation

Jan 05, 2016 12:28 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market is now more hawkish than last time we checked after FED hike in December and speech from Janet Yellen. Market seems to be expecting FED to be more aggressive in 2016. Lets look at the market pricing of hikes over...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

US NFP, manufacturing PMI and job claims likely to post positive numbers that target Fed’s normalization cycle in 2016

Jan 04, 2016 13:51 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Persistent growth in job market to support the USD and Fed tightening: The USD to trip up on support on Fridays NFP report. Average job creation of 150k or more during the next few employment reports should be...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

No signs of relief to Fed wondering if they might have jumped the gun in December

Jan 04, 2016 02:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The data surely arent bringing sighs of relief to any Fed officials wondering if they might have jumped the gun in December. 3Q GDP growth had already dropped to 2% (QoQ, saar) before they pulled the trigger and the higher...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath series – Economists expect FED to strike again in March

Dec 24, 2015 10:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

According to a survey of 42 economists by Financial Times, more than 2/3rd of them has aligned themselves with a rate hike by FED again in March. In previous articles under the same series name we discussed there are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Is US becoming socialist in its approach to regulating financial activities?

Dec 24, 2015 08:37 am UTC| Commentary Politics

For decades now, United States have been considered to wear the crown of capitalism, where business can thrive, banks can pursue new avenues and traders can make millions. But it is increasingly becoming clear that the...

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Economy

Western Allies Boost Ukraine Support Amid Ceasefire Talks

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced that Western allies, excluding the U.S., are intensifying support for Ukraine in case of a ceasefire with Russia. Starmer hosted a virtual meeting with leaders from Germany,...

Russia Stocks Rally as MOEX Russia Index Gains 2.35%

Russian stocks closed higher on Saturday, with the MOEX Russia Index climbing 2.35%, driven by gains in Telecoms, Oil Gas, and Power sectors. Surgutneftegas PJSC (MCX:SNGS) led the session with a 1.01% rise to 26.04,...

Stock Market Correction Deepens: Will the Sell-Off Continue?

The U.S. stock market has officially entered a correction, with the SP 500 plunging over 10% from its February 19 high. The Nasdaq Composite also confirmed its correction last week. This downturn has erased $5 trillion in...

Wall Street Rallies as Tech Leads, But Trade War and Inflation Fears Loom

The SP 500 surged Friday, led by tech stocks, but still marked its fourth straight weekly loss amid trade war concerns and a sharp drop in consumer sentiment. The Dow Jones gained 674 points (1.7%), the SP 500 rose 2%, and...

Peru’s Central Bank Holds Interest Rate at 4.75% Amid Inflation Stabilization

Perus central bank kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.75% on Thursday, aligning with market expectations. The decision follows a gradual easing cycle since September 2023, when the rate peaked at 7.75%, making...

Politics

SpaceX Crew-10 Arrives at ISS to Bring Stranded Astronauts Home

A SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule successfully docked at the International Space Station (ISS) early Sunday, completing a 29-hour journey from NASAs Kennedy Space Center. The Crew-10 mission, which launched Friday at 7:03 p.m....

Russia-Ukraine Conflict Escalates with Intense Aerial Strikes Amid Ceasefire Uncertainty

Russia and Ukraine exchanged heavy aerial strikes as the prospect of a 30-day ceasefire remained uncertain. Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed conditional support for the proposal but vowed to continue military...

Federal Judge Blocks Trump’s Wartime Deportation Order for Venezuelan Gang

A federal judge has temporarily blocked President Donald Trumps attempt to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to expedite deportations of alleged members of Tren de Aragua, a Venezuelan gang accused of violent crimes. Trump...

Massive Protests in Serbia: Over 100,000 Demand Change in Belgrade

More than 100,000 protesters flooded Serbias capital, Belgrade, in one of the countrys largest demonstrations in decades. The movement, sparked by a deadly railway station collapse that killed 15, has grown into a major...

Trump Orders Massive Strikes on Yemen’s Houthis Amid Rising Tensions

U.S. President Donald Trump launched large-scale military strikes on Yemens Iran-backed Houthi rebels, killing at least 24 people, after continued attacks on Red Sea shipping. The offensive, expected to last weeks, marks...

Science

Leonardo da Vinci’s incredible studies of human anatomy still don’t get the recognition they deserve

Wikimedia, CC BY-SA The mere mention of Leonardo da Vinci evokes genius. We know him as a polymath whose interests spanned astronomy, geology, hydrology, engineering and physics. As a painter, his Mona Lisa and Last Supper...

One of the largest searches for alien life started 30 years ago. Its legacy lives on today

In February 1995, a small research organisation known as the SETI Institute launched what was then the most comprehensive search for an answer to a centuries-old question: are we alone in the universe? This Sunday marks...

South African telescope discovers a giant galaxy that’s 32 times bigger than Earth’s

Inkathazos glowing plasma jets are shown in red and yellow. The starlight from other surrounding galaxies can be seen in the background. K.K.L Charlton (UCT), MeerKAT, HSC, CARTA, IDIA, CC BY You may not know it, but right...

It’s science, not fiction: high-tech drones may soon be fighting bushfires in Australia

Picture this. Its a summer evening in Australia. A dry lightning storm is about to sweep across remote, tinder-dry bushland. The next day is forecast to be hot and windy. A lightning strike tonight could spark a fire that...

Earth is bombarded with rocks from space – but who gets to keep these ultimate antiques?

Every day, about 48.5 tonnes of space rock hurtle towards Earth. Meteorites that fall into the ocean are never recovered. But the ones that crash on land can spark debates about legal ownership. Globally, meteorite hunting...

Technology

Elon Musk and OpenAI Set for Expedited Trial Over AI Dispute

Elon Musk and OpenAI have agreed to fast-track their legal battle over OpenAIs transition to a for-profit model, with a trial set for later this year. The case, playing out in the U.S. District Court for the Northern...

NASA and SpaceX Launch Crew-10 to Replace Stranded Astronauts on ISS

NASA and SpaceX successfully launched the Crew-10 mission on Friday, sending four astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS) in a crucial crew rotation. The mission paves the way for the return of NASA astronauts...

NASA and SpaceX Set to Launch Crew-10 Mission to ISS on March 14

NASA and SpaceX are gearing up for the highly anticipated Crew-10 mission, scheduled to launch on Friday, March 14, at 7:03 p.m. EDT (2303 GMT). The mission will carry four astronauts to the International Space Station...

Apple’s Encryption Clash with UK Sparks U.S. Investigation

British and U.S. officials have engaged in private talks over concerns that the UK is pressuring Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to weaken encryption protections, Bloomberg reported. The discussions follow Apples decision to remove...

AI Revolutionizes Oil and Gas Drilling, Boosting Efficiency and Cost Savings

Artificial intelligence is transforming oil and gas drilling, making once-infeasible projects viable and improving efficiency. At the CERAWeek conference in Houston, industry leaders highlighted how AI-driven innovations...
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