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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Snap GBP/JPY rallies to deploy shorts in “Put Ratio Back Spreads” to arrest Brexit transition risks

Apr 28, 2017 07:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In spite of GBPJPY downtrend seems to be intact, a lot of bad news is already priced in and digested by the market. Brexit caused two Sterling debacles, first in June with the vote and then after the summer when PM May...

Moody's: Russia and Turkey face common growth challenges, despite differing exposure to commodity cycle

Apr 28, 2017 00:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Credit ratings for Russia (Ba1, stable) and Turkey (Ba1, negative) broadly reflect a deterioration in previously supportive credit fundamentals, including their growth potential and, to a lesser extent, fiscal metrics,...

Moody's affirms Aaa.mx rating of the Government of Mexico

Apr 28, 2017 00:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys de México, S.A. de C.V. (Moodys) has today affirmed the issuer rating of Aaa.mx on Government of Mexicos National Scale Rating. At the same time, Moodys Investors Service affirmed the issuer rating of A3 on...

FxWirePro: Strategic bearish positioning in GBP via long mid-month tenured EUR/GBP call spread

Apr 27, 2017 10:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The sterling has been the outperformer among G10 space this week in reaction to the below news, consolidating by as much as 2% in trade-weighted terms and the TWI is now just a whisker away from its post-Brexit high....

FxWirePro: Striking value in owning carry than selling vol in EMFX

Apr 27, 2017 07:02 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The paucity of opportunities to play vol compression is a boon for carry-friendly option bets in anticipation of a risk rally next week in the absence of an election upset. EM currencies that are likely to be the target...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Moody's: Higher prices, improved market environment drive outlook change to stable for European steel sector

Apr 27, 2017 06:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Recovering steel prices and improved industrial output expected in the European Union are expected to boost producers profits over the next 12 months prompting a change in the outlook for the European steel sector to...

FxWirePro: EUR/USD/CHF correlation triangle with zero cost to attain triple benefits

Apr 26, 2017 12:35 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We favor expressing EURCHF-linked de-correlation ideas in a directional format to assume conditional exposure to EUR strength. If EURUSD rallies about 2% on a benign French election outcome on Monday, it is a fair bet that...

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Economy

India's Central Bank Holds Rates Amid Iran War Energy Shock

Indias Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is widely expected to maintain its benchmark repo rate at 5.25% this Wednesday, as policymakers carefully monitor the economic ripple effects of the ongoing Iran war. The conflict has...

Oil Crisis Escalates: Trump Threatens Iran as Strait of Hormuz Closure Pushes Prices Above $110

Oil prices briefly surged past $110 per barrel on Monday after President Donald Trump escalated military and diplomatic pressure on Iran, demanding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday evening or face strikes...

Asian Currencies Waver as Dollar Holds Firm Amid Middle East Tensions

Asian currencies struggled to find clear direction on Monday as the US dollar remained resilient, with investors carefully weighing escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East against emerging ceasefire diplomacy. The...

Bank of Japan Warns of Regional Economic Risks Amid Middle East Conflict and Rising Oil Prices

The Bank of Japan has raised concerns about the potential deterioration of regional economies, citing escalating oil prices and supply chain disruptions linked to ongoing conflict in the Middle East. In its latest...

India's Services Sector Growth Slows to 14-Month Low in March Amid Rising Costs

Indias services sector expanded at its slowest pace in 14 months during March, as the ongoing Middle East conflict weighed on domestic demand and cost pressures intensified sharply, according to the latest HSBC India...

Politics

Indonesia Files Genocide Case Against Myanmar's Min Aung Hlaing Over Rohingya Crisis

A coalition of civil society organizations filed a landmark criminal complaint in Indonesia on Monday against Myanmars newly elected President Min Aung Hlaing, accusing him of committing genocide against the Rohingya...

Ukrainian Drone Strikes Hit Novorossiysk, Injuring Eight and Cutting Power Across Russia

At least eight people, including two children, were injured Monday after Ukrainian drones struck Novorossiysk, a major Russian Black Sea port city. Local authorities confirmed that several residential buildings sustained...

Trump Endorses Steve Hilton for California Governor

Donald Trump has thrown his full support behind Steve Hilton, a Fox News host and former British government official, in Californias upcoming gubernatorial race. Announcing his endorsement on Truth Social, Trump expressed...

Iran-US Ceasefire Talks: Pakistan Brokers "Islamabad Accord" to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

Pakistan is playing a central role in high-stakes diplomatic efforts to end hostilities between Iran and the United States, with a proposed peace framework now on the table that could reopen the critical Strait of Hormuz...

Kim Jong Un's Daughter Emerges as North Korea's Likely Successor, South Korean Intelligence Says

South Koreas National Intelligence Service (NIS) has concluded that Kim Jong Uns teenage daughter, believed to be around 13 years old and named Ju Ae, is being actively positioned as the next leader of North Korea. Unlike...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Britain Courts Anthropic Amid US Defense Department Dispute

The United Kingdom is actively working to attract Anthropic, the company behind the popular Claude AI app, to expand its footprint in the country. This diplomatic push comes as Anthropic finds itself in the middle of a...

OpenAI Executive Shake-Up Ahead of Anticipated 2026 IPO

OpenAI is navigating a significant leadership restructuring at one of the most pivotal moments in its history. The AI powerhouse confirmed that Chief Operating Officer Brad Lightcap is transitioning into a newly created...

Elon Musk Ties SpaceX IPO Access to Mandatory Grok AI Subscriptions

Elon Musk is reportedly making Grok subscriptions a prerequisite for banks and advisers involved in SpaceXs highly anticipated initial public offering. According to the New York Times, citing insiders familiar with the...

MATCH Act Targets ASML and Chinese Chipmakers in New U.S. Export Crackdown

A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers has unveiled the MATCH Act, a landmark piece of draft legislation designed to tighten export restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment destined for China. The...

Microsoft's $10 Billion Japan Investment: AI Infrastructure and Data Sovereignty Push

Microsoft is set to pour approximately $10 billion into Japan between now and 2029, channeling funds into data center expansion and artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet the countrys growing demand for data...
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