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FxWirePro: NZD/USD 1m IV skews give away more bearish outlook, Fed and RBNZ to substantiate – Customize Currency Swaps as IRS yields to spike

May 11, 2017 06:51 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

At its May interest rate review, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept the Official Cash Rate (OCR) on hold at 1.75%, as expected. However, the RBNZ also concluded that developments since the February Monetary Policy...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/AUD muddle with mixed bag of macros in UK and Australia - Theta shorts and vega longs in 3-way straddles versus OTM call

May 10, 2017 13:29 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Macro outlook: In the UK, Politics continues to dominate the headlines, with further signs that the UK and the EU are entering the Brexit negotiations some distance apart. PM May accuses the EU of interfering with...

FxWirePro: Uphold longs in Swedish Krona versus EUR and JPY via cash, append optionality against NZD

May 10, 2017 11:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

SEK has been through the mangle this week and we narrowly avoided being stopped in EURSEK. The pressure on the currency stems more from positioning than a re-pricing of monetary policy indeed, fair-value for EURSEK has...

FxWirePro: Hedging perspectives of Aussie dollar on mounting bearish risk sentiments in OTC

May 10, 2017 10:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We open a short position in AUD this week, in part because it offers exposure to a more extended period of soul searching around China (these policy-induced mini cycles tend to be reasonably durable and exploitable), in...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Financial de-leveraging continues in China – Perspectives of CNH hedging vehicles

May 10, 2017 09:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

There is no lack of news on measures to reduce financial leverages in China. The latest is a tightening of control on collaterals. Commercial banks are asked to adopt a comprehensive framework to manage collaterals,...

FxWirePro: What constraints delta-hedging in EUR/USD and EUR/JPY, what are alternatives?

May 10, 2017 08:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

A by-product of the violent de-pricing of French election risk after the first round outcome is that back-end (1Y-2Y) EURUSD and EURJPY vols have crashed to near 2014 lows (refer above chart). This event-related...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Value watch in EUR/JPY back-end vols, risk reversals still indicates bearish risks – Options Straddles to hedge

May 10, 2017 06:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Back-end (2Y) EURUSD and EURJPY vols look deep value after the de-pricing of European political risk, and materially cheap adjusted for short-end FX and interest rate vols. A byproduct of the violent de-pricing of...

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Economy

New World Screwworm Found Near U.S. Border Raises Threat to Cattle Industry and Beef Prices

A dangerous outbreak of the New World Screwworm has moved closer to the United States, raising serious concerns for the livestock industry and agricultural economy. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA),...

Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks Remain Unresolved as Strait of Hormuz Risks Keep Markets on Edge

Iran has rejected suggestions that a final agreement has been reached with the United States, emphasizing that negotiations surrounding its nuclear program remain ongoing. The statement came after comments from U.S....

US Launches New Trade Investigation Into Vietnam Over Intellectual Property Concerns

The United States has initiated a new trade investigation into Vietnams handling of intellectual property (IP) rights, a move that could eventually lead to additional tariffs on Vietnamese imports. The investigation,...

US Dollar Slips as Markets Weigh Potential US-Iran Peace Deal and Oil Price Outlook

The U.S. dollar weakened slightly on Friday as investor confidence improved following comments from President Donald Trump regarding a possible peace agreement between the United States and Iran. The prospect of easing...

Oil Prices Fall as Markets Await U.S.-Iran Peace Deal Decision

Oil prices moved lower on Friday as investors closely monitored developments surrounding a potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement. Market sentiment weakened after U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he would meet with...

Politics

US Southern Command Chief Holds Rare Military Meeting With Cuban Officials at Guantanamo Bay

A rare high-level military meeting between the United States and Cuba took place at the perimeter of the U.S. Naval Station at Guantanamo Bay, marking a significant development in U.S.-Cuba relations amid growing...

Trump Nears Decision on Iran Ceasefire Extension as Key Disputes Remain

U.S. President Donald Trump said Friday that he is close to making a final decision on a proposed agreement to extend the current ceasefire with Iran, although major disagreements between Washington and Tehran continue to...

Poland Considers Revoking Zelensky’s Top Honor Over Controversial UPA Army Unit Recognition

Poland is considering revoking one of its highest state honors awarded to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky after a controversial decision by Ukraine to rename a military unit after the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA),...

Trump Signs Executive Order to Expand Access to Federal Lands in the U.S.

U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Friday aimed at removing restrictions that limit access to federal lands across the United States, according to a statement from the White House. The move is part of...

UN Blacklists Israel and Russia Over Conflict-Related Sexual Violence Claims

The United Nations has added Israel and Russia to its official blacklist of parties suspected of committing conflict-related sexual violence, a decision that has sparked strong international reactions and intensified...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

Technology

Kentucky School District Secures $27 Million in Social Media Addiction Lawsuit Settlements

A Kentucky school district has secured nearly $27 million in settlements from major social media companies over allegations that their platforms contributed to a growing student mental health crisis. The financial details,...

MongoDB Q1 FY2027 Earnings Beat Expectations, Raises Full-Year Outlook

MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) delivered stronger-than-expected first-quarter fiscal 2027 results, fueled by growing demand for its database platform among enterprises and organizations developing artificial intelligence...

SpaceX IPO Could Become Largest in History with $1.8 Trillion Valuation Target

Elon Musks SpaceX is reportedly moving forward with plans for a historic initial public offering (IPO), targeting a valuation of at least $1.8 trillion. According to a Bloomberg News report citing sources familiar with the...

Autodesk Beats Q1 Estimates, Acquires MaintainX for $3.6 Billion

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) reported stronger-than-expected financial results for its fiscal first quarter and announced a major $3.6 billion acquisition of MaintainX, a move that strengthens its position in AI-powered...

US Quantum Stocks Surge After $2 Billion Government Investment

The U.S. Department of Commerce has sparked major excitement across the technology and financial sectors after announcing plans to invest $2 billion into quantum computing and advanced hardware companies through the CHIPS...