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FxWirePro: NZD/USD 1m IV skews give away more bearish outlook, Fed and RBNZ to substantiate – Customize Currency Swaps as IRS yields to spike

May 11, 2017 06:51 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

At its May interest rate review, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept the Official Cash Rate (OCR) on hold at 1.75%, as expected. However, the RBNZ also concluded that developments since the February Monetary Policy...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/AUD muddle with mixed bag of macros in UK and Australia - Theta shorts and vega longs in 3-way straddles versus OTM call

May 10, 2017 13:29 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Macro outlook: In the UK, Politics continues to dominate the headlines, with further signs that the UK and the EU are entering the Brexit negotiations some distance apart. PM May accuses the EU of interfering with...

FxWirePro: Uphold longs in Swedish Krona versus EUR and JPY via cash, append optionality against NZD

May 10, 2017 11:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

SEK has been through the mangle this week and we narrowly avoided being stopped in EURSEK. The pressure on the currency stems more from positioning than a re-pricing of monetary policy indeed, fair-value for EURSEK has...

FxWirePro: Hedging perspectives of Aussie dollar on mounting bearish risk sentiments in OTC

May 10, 2017 10:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We open a short position in AUD this week, in part because it offers exposure to a more extended period of soul searching around China (these policy-induced mini cycles tend to be reasonably durable and exploitable), in...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Financial de-leveraging continues in China – Perspectives of CNH hedging vehicles

May 10, 2017 09:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

There is no lack of news on measures to reduce financial leverages in China. The latest is a tightening of control on collaterals. Commercial banks are asked to adopt a comprehensive framework to manage collaterals,...

FxWirePro: What constraints delta-hedging in EUR/USD and EUR/JPY, what are alternatives?

May 10, 2017 08:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

A by-product of the violent de-pricing of French election risk after the first round outcome is that back-end (1Y-2Y) EURUSD and EURJPY vols have crashed to near 2014 lows (refer above chart). This event-related...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Value watch in EUR/JPY back-end vols, risk reversals still indicates bearish risks – Options Straddles to hedge

May 10, 2017 06:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Back-end (2Y) EURUSD and EURJPY vols look deep value after the de-pricing of European political risk, and materially cheap adjusted for short-end FX and interest rate vols. A byproduct of the violent de-pricing of...

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Economy

Vietnam’s November Trade Sees Monthly Decline but Strong Year-on-Year Growth

Vietnam recorded a notable month-on-month decline in trade activity in November, according to new data from the National Statistics Office (NSO). Exports fell 7.1% from October, reaching $39.07 billion, while imports...

Austria’s AA Credit Rating Affirmed as Fitch Highlights Stable Outlook

Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed Austrias Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating at AA with a Stable Outlook, underscoring the countrys strong economic fundamentals despite rising fiscal pressures. According to the...

Fed Meeting Sparks Division as Markets Brace for Possible Rate Cut

The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched and contentious in years, with investors focused on how divided policymakers are over a potential interest-rate cut and the signals...

U.S. Stocks Rise as Cooler Inflation Boosts Hopes for Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks ended higher on Friday as a softer inflation reading strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could move forward with an interest-rate cut next week. The SP 500 climbed 0.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial...

U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks closed the week with modest gains on Friday, as investors weighed a wave of delayed economic data and maintained strong expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at next weeks policy meeting. Despite...

Politics

CFPB to Review Anti-Discrimination Policies and Fair Lending Rules Amid Policy Shift

The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is preparing to convene its Consumer Advisory Board next week to review major policy changes, including a controversial proposal to scale back long-standing...

Supreme Court to Review Legality of Trump’s Birthright Citizenship Restrictions

The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to examine the legality of President Donald Trumps directive aimed at restricting birthright citizenship, a move that could redefine a long-standing interpretation of the 14th Amendment....

Australia Imposes Sanctions on Taliban Officials Over Human Rights Abuses

Australia has announced new financial sanctions and travel bans against four senior officials of Afghanistans Taliban government, citing the worsening human rights situation in the country, particularly the escalating...

U.S. Appeals Court Rules Trump Can Remove Members of Key Federal Labor Boards

A U.S. appeals court has ruled that President Donald Trump had the authority to dismiss Democratic members of two major federal labor boards, marking a significant win for efforts to expand presidential control over...

Trump Backs Review of U.S. Childhood Vaccine Schedule After Hepatitis B Policy Change

President Donald Trump on Friday expressed support for a major shift in U.S. vaccine policy after government advisers voted to eliminate the long-standing recommendation that all newborns receive the hepatitis B vaccine at...

Science

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Trump and Merck KGaA Partner to Slash IVF Drug Costs and Expand Fertility Coverage

U.S. President Donald Trump and German pharmaceutical company Merck KGaA have announced a groundbreaking deal aimed at lowering the cost of in-vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments while boosting access to fertility care in...

Technology

Taiwan Opposition Criticizes Plan to Block Chinese App Rednote Over Security Concerns

Taiwans political landscape heated up after the government announced a plan to suspend access to the Chinese social media platform Rednoteknown as Xiaohongshufor one year. The interior ministry said the proposed ban stems...

EU Prepares Antitrust Probe Into Meta’s AI Integration on WhatsApp

The European Commission is reportedly preparing to launch a new antitrust investigation into Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) over the companys recent rollout of artificial intelligence features within WhatsApp....

Sam Altman Reportedly Explored Funding for Rocket Venture in Potential Challenge to SpaceX

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman reportedly explored raising significant capital to acquire or partner with a rocket company, a move that could have created direct competition with Elon Musks SpaceX. According to a report from the...

Wikipedia Pushes for AI Licensing Deals as Jimmy Wales Calls for Fair Compensation

Wikipedia is seeking additional licensing deals with major technology companies to address the growing financial burden caused by artificial intelligence firms heavily scraping its platform, according to co-founder Jimmy...

Firelight Launches as First XRP Staking Platform on Flare, Introduces DeFi Cover Feature

Firelight reaches 25M XRP deposit cap within hours of launch; ushers in a new era for decentralized XRP staking. A new XRP staking platform, Firelight, has officially launched on the Flare blockchain, marking the first...