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Emerging Market Crisis Series

Moody's: Negative outlook on Korean banking system amid challenging operating environment, deteriorating asset quality

May 10, 2017 01:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that its negative outlook for the Korean banking system reflects its assessment that the overall creditworthiness of Korean banks will deteriorate over the next 12-18 months. Moodys outlook...

FxWirePro: Reshuffling of commodity FX space, preferring TRY among EMEA EMFX

May 09, 2017 13:55 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We have been shifting our portfolio by rotating out of long positions in commodity currencies, preferring commodity importers. We believe risks are skewed for EMEA EM commodity currencies to underperform in the months...

FxWirePro: Bullish odds to favor options holders, IV skews and trend indicates EUR/AUD “Long Call Ladder Spreads” for optimized hedging

May 09, 2017 12:35 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Were adding EURAUD to boost our overall EUR exposure as the passage of the French election this weekend should clear the way for an intensification of portfolio inflows into the region in keeping with the cyclical...

FxWirePro: A run through on buying 2M25D risk-reversals against shorting 9M35D USD puts/CNH calls

May 09, 2017 10:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Hedging back-end USDCNH option shorts with front-end risk-reversals (equal USD notionals on all legs) does not detract from short vol returns while reducing drawdowns by 30%-40% Cum. P/Ls (bp USD) from i) selling 9M 35D...

FxWirePro: Are you dubious on GBP/JPY’s major trend? Snap rallies to write exorbitant puts to reduce cost of “Put Ratio Back Spreads” for hedging

May 09, 2017 10:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Brexit caused two Sterling debacles, first in June with the vote and then after the summer when PM May suggested a hard exit. In spite of GBPJPY downtrend, election clears the way for a longer and smoother Brexit...

FxWirePro: More RORO than Euro-up on perplexed macro plot, OTC FX to substantiate

May 09, 2017 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Macrons victory has been greeted by markets with a big yawn, which in hindsight should not be too surprising given that it was anticipated. The euro had rallied last week in expectation of a Macron presidency. Perhaps...

Moody's: Bank of Japan emerging as main source of affordable funding for government

May 09, 2017 02:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Moodys Investors Service says that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is emerging as the main source of highly affordable funding for the government of Japan (A1 stable). Structural factors weighing on net savings rates will...

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Economy

US Inflation Surges in September, Raising Fed Rate Hike Bets

U.S. inflation accelerated in September, fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates later this month as Wall Street reacted to stronger-than-expected consumer price pressures. Data released...

Container Ship Sinks in Strait of Hormuz as Iran Attacks Escalate

A Singapore-registered container ship sank in the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday after being hit by an unidentified projectile, triggering a fire and raising fresh concerns over maritime security and global oil shipments....

Wall Street Falls as Hot US Inflation Fuels Fed Rate Hike Bets

Wall Street stocks closed lower on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected US inflation data revived expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike, sending Treasury yields higher and pressuring technology shares. The SP...

US Dollar Hits 18-Month High as Inflation Fuels Fed Rate Hike Bets

The U.S. dollar surged on Wednesday, approaching an 18-month high after stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data revived expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its October meeting. The U.S....

China Bank Lending Rebounds in September, Beats Forecasts

Chinas new bank lending surged in September, exceeding market expectations as Beijing intensified monetary stimulus measures to support its slowing economy. However, weak annual credit growth continued to highlight subdued...

Politics

US Justice Department Drops Prosecution of Ex-CIA Analyst Sue Mi Terry

The US Justice Department has agreed to defer prosecution of former CIA analyst and White House National Security Council official Sue Mi Terry, who was accused of acting as an unregistered foreign agent for South Korea in...

UN Urges Talks on Lebanon Peacekeeping Mission Extension

United Nations peacekeeping chief Jean-Pierre Lacroix has urged the UN Security Council to begin negotiations over the future of UN peacekeepers in Lebanon as the country seeks to extend the missions mandate beyond...

FBI Denies Report of Kash Patel’s Russia Visit

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) denied reports on Wednesday that Director Kash Patel had traveled to Russia for meetings with Russian intelligence officials, confirming instead that he was attending a law...

Zelenskiy Says Trump’s Support for Russia Is ‘Painful’

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed disappointment with US President Donald Trump on Wednesday, describing Washingtons apparent shift toward Russia as painful amid the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war. Speaking...

Netanyahu Rejects Preemptive Iran Strike Ahead of Israel Election

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Wednesday that he opposes launching a preemptive military strike against Iran before Israels October 27 election, while warning Tehran and its regional allies that any attack...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anduril Valuation Hits $90 Billion in Employee Share Sale

Anduril Industries, a leading U.S. defense technology startup, has launched an employee share tender offer that values the company at approximately $90 billion, according to a Bloomberg report published Wednesday. The...

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Open to Cutting Chip Supply Over Unsafe AI

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company could stop supplying artificial intelligence chips to customers developing dangerous AI software, although he believes many current concerns about AI safety are exaggerated....

Apple Intelligence Set for China Launch in December With iOS 27.3

Apple Inc. is reportedly preparing to launch its Apple Intelligence artificial intelligence platform in mainland China this December, marking a significant step in expanding its AI services into one of its most important...

BlackRock CEO Warns Data Center Ban Could Trigger US Recession

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has warned that a nationwide halt to data center construction could push the United States into a recession, highlighting the growing importance of artificial intelligence (AI) investment to the US...

AI Crypto Payments Surge to 138 Million Transactions on Base

Artificial intelligence (AI) agents are increasingly using cryptocurrency to purchase digital services, with more than 138 million transactions recorded through the x402 payment protocol on Coinbases Base blockchain,...