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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY implied vols regime – Positively skewed 2m IVs conducive for OTM put holders

Mar 17, 2017 07:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Please be noted that the 2m implied volatilities of GBPJPY are spiking above 10.60% ahead of above-mentioned data events, while positively skewed IVs signifies the hedging interests in OTM put strikes. In spite of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY “Diagonal Option Strips” for vol convexity and major data events

Mar 17, 2017 07:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Data schedules: In theUK: House of Lords on Brexit bill. Article 50 invoked (mid-end-March). SNP conference Mar17-18. Brexit talks. CPI (Mar 21), retail sales (Mar 23), foreign Gilt flows (Mar 29), PMI (manufacturing...

Moody's changes outlook to stable on 30 Brazilian banks and BM&FBovespa; affirms ratings

Mar 17, 2017 01:18 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service has today changed the outlooks to stable, from negative, of certain ratings of 30 Brazilian banks and their affiliates and the Brazilian stock and futures exchange BMFBovespa S.A.. In addition,...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CNH seems fragile in Q2’2017 - Option strategies on hedging grounds

Mar 15, 2017 12:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

We now expect less CNY weakness in 1H 2017 but keep the year-end target at 7.10as renminbi depreciation against USD remains modest this year, even as the market has turned more bullish USD recently. If the PBoC continues...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Swedish Krona to appreciate but in snail’s pace – Do EUR/SEK bears need "covered put"?

Mar 15, 2017 11:51 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Sell a put against existing cash short in EURSEK. Stay short NZDSEK in options The structural case for SEK appreciation remains intact the real effective exchange rate is 10-11% below its long term average despite an...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Fetch RVs in Scandis crosses – Stay hedged via options to arrest European political risks

Mar 15, 2017 11:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis

There is scope for more concession for political risk in European currencies. EUR still screens near fair value on this framework, indicating that there is room for further weakening if political risks intensify heading...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Upside-down in USD/CAD hedging sentiments, call writers on upper hand – “Writing Exorbitant Calls in Collar Spreads for cautious bears”

Mar 15, 2017 11:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Please be noted that the neutral IVs in USDCAD are creeping up a tad above 7.5%, the tepid implied volatilities of ATM contracts across all tenors are favorable for option writers. While the risk reversals, for now,...

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Economy

India's Central Bank Holds Rates Amid Iran War Energy Shock

Indias Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is widely expected to maintain its benchmark repo rate at 5.25% this Wednesday, as policymakers carefully monitor the economic ripple effects of the ongoing Iran war. The conflict has...

Oil Crisis Escalates: Trump Threatens Iran as Strait of Hormuz Closure Pushes Prices Above $110

Oil prices briefly surged past $110 per barrel on Monday after President Donald Trump escalated military and diplomatic pressure on Iran, demanding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday evening or face strikes...

Asian Currencies Waver as Dollar Holds Firm Amid Middle East Tensions

Asian currencies struggled to find clear direction on Monday as the US dollar remained resilient, with investors carefully weighing escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East against emerging ceasefire diplomacy. The...

Bank of Japan Warns of Regional Economic Risks Amid Middle East Conflict and Rising Oil Prices

The Bank of Japan has raised concerns about the potential deterioration of regional economies, citing escalating oil prices and supply chain disruptions linked to ongoing conflict in the Middle East. In its latest...

India's Services Sector Growth Slows to 14-Month Low in March Amid Rising Costs

Indias services sector expanded at its slowest pace in 14 months during March, as the ongoing Middle East conflict weighed on domestic demand and cost pressures intensified sharply, according to the latest HSBC India...

Politics

Indonesia Files Genocide Case Against Myanmar's Min Aung Hlaing Over Rohingya Crisis

A coalition of civil society organizations filed a landmark criminal complaint in Indonesia on Monday against Myanmars newly elected President Min Aung Hlaing, accusing him of committing genocide against the Rohingya...

Ukrainian Drone Strikes Hit Novorossiysk, Injuring Eight and Cutting Power Across Russia

At least eight people, including two children, were injured Monday after Ukrainian drones struck Novorossiysk, a major Russian Black Sea port city. Local authorities confirmed that several residential buildings sustained...

Trump Endorses Steve Hilton for California Governor

Donald Trump has thrown his full support behind Steve Hilton, a Fox News host and former British government official, in Californias upcoming gubernatorial race. Announcing his endorsement on Truth Social, Trump expressed...

Iran-US Ceasefire Talks: Pakistan Brokers "Islamabad Accord" to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

Pakistan is playing a central role in high-stakes diplomatic efforts to end hostilities between Iran and the United States, with a proposed peace framework now on the table that could reopen the critical Strait of Hormuz...

Kim Jong Un's Daughter Emerges as North Korea's Likely Successor, South Korean Intelligence Says

South Koreas National Intelligence Service (NIS) has concluded that Kim Jong Uns teenage daughter, believed to be around 13 years old and named Ju Ae, is being actively positioned as the next leader of North Korea. Unlike...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Britain Courts Anthropic Amid US Defense Department Dispute

The United Kingdom is actively working to attract Anthropic, the company behind the popular Claude AI app, to expand its footprint in the country. This diplomatic push comes as Anthropic finds itself in the middle of a...

OpenAI Executive Shake-Up Ahead of Anticipated 2026 IPO

OpenAI is navigating a significant leadership restructuring at one of the most pivotal moments in its history. The AI powerhouse confirmed that Chief Operating Officer Brad Lightcap is transitioning into a newly created...

Elon Musk Ties SpaceX IPO Access to Mandatory Grok AI Subscriptions

Elon Musk is reportedly making Grok subscriptions a prerequisite for banks and advisers involved in SpaceXs highly anticipated initial public offering. According to the New York Times, citing insiders familiar with the...

MATCH Act Targets ASML and Chinese Chipmakers in New U.S. Export Crackdown

A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers has unveiled the MATCH Act, a landmark piece of draft legislation designed to tighten export restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment destined for China. The...

Microsoft's $10 Billion Japan Investment: AI Infrastructure and Data Sovereignty Push

Microsoft is set to pour approximately $10 billion into Japan between now and 2029, channeling funds into data center expansion and artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet the countrys growing demand for data...
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