FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: US election premiums visible USD/JPY OTC markets - Vega-neutral USD/JPY calendar spreads

Sep 30, 2016 09:19 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Just as the market was craving any clear-cut statement on the Feds future interest rate policy in the run-up to the last FOMC meeting, regardless of how clearly they are staking out a rate rise in December. It simply...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/JPY OTC bets still on bearish risks as 3m risk reversal move in sync with IV skews

Sep 30, 2016 07:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Although USDJPY kept spiking 3-4 days, today changed hands at 100.840, down 0.17%, the pair trades at thelargely similar level to that around a month ago. However, JPY has weakened against most other majors over the...

Research Highlights Variations in Food Costs Throughout the U.S.

Sep 29, 2016 15:14 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Feeding AmericasMap the Meal Gap 2016study finds many low-income communities that are home to a significant number of food-insecure households have higher-than-average food costs. The study, released earlier this year...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/CAD OTC bids suggest bearish risks in 1m and upside risks in 3m tenors on OPEC and Fed’s speculation – 3way straddles vs calls hedge either ways

Sep 29, 2016 12:37 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

It seems that the OPEC countries did decide on a cut in production at their informal meeting in Algiers in a surprise move. The details will only be worked out in time for the next official meeting in November. The...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF 1W IVs conducive for option writers – scenario analysis of strangle shorts in choppy range

Sep 29, 2016 08:14 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The forecast shows continued tight range-trading in EURCHF over the 1Y horizon. This stability masks a still unstable underlying flow position in which the SNB is recycling all of Switzerlands current account surplus...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/GBP “Diagonal Credit Call Spread” to address both momentary declines and major uptrend

Sep 29, 2016 07:39 am UTC| Economy Research & Analysis

This week, although EURGBP is losing in its price, we remain bearish of GBP, and forecast a 5-10% move from here in GBP/USD, taking the pair below 1.25, taking EUR/GBP to a little above 0.90. EURGBP was at 0.8616 from...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Prefer selling yen risk premia post-BoJ via writing EUR/JPY straddle

Sep 28, 2016 08:18 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Median 4-week horizon returns (vol pts.) and information ratios from selling cross-yen 6-week straddles in 2016. Options delta-hedged daily at LDN close using smile forward deltas and option-expiry matched...