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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Speculating EUR/USD’s non-directional trend via iron condors in tepid IVs

Oct 25, 2016 11:35 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The euro was little changed yesterday, despite the hawkish Fed rhetoric, after stronger-than-expected October PMI data and comments from ECB Governing Council member Hansson that all aspects of the QE programme needed...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Short rich gamma in USD/BRL as BCB shifts into hawkish tone

Oct 25, 2016 09:47 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Brazils long-awaited exit from recession took a step back this week, with a disappointing set of August activity data leading us to lower the growth projection for Q316 even though we still see a tepid recovery starting...

Moody's: Commodity sectors drive Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) default rates; China defaults biggest recent contributor

Oct 25, 2016 08:25 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that the Asia Pacific metals mining and construction building sectors have been the main drivers of corporate defaults in the region over the past two and a half years, and that the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Can RBA defer easing cycle ahead of Aussie CPI, how to improve AUD/NZD hedging odds in reverse spread?

Oct 24, 2016 07:19 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The stakes are high this week. A big shift in the trajectory of inflation in Australia would threaten both our view that the market will not move to price in hikes into the OIS strip, and that the AUD remains capped, with...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CBRT’s status quo cushions momentary gains in Lira, Rosy times to deploy “USD/TRY Credit Call Spreads”

Oct 21, 2016 13:12 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Turkish lira rallied yesterday after CBT surprised markets by keeping rates on hold at its MPC meeting. But as the pair rallied today, the last weeks gains are almost wiped off when the dollar looked good today...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

Realized versus implied volatilities – Bullish or bearish dollar among EM FX radar

Oct 21, 2016 12:57 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Analyzing the time-varying properties of the EM FX spot-vol relationship reveals that the connection has weakened significantly over the past couple of years with the exception of the INR. In isolation, this reduces...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Is Swiss franc edgy on SNB? 1M lackluster IVs uphold the significance of USD/CHF long put ladders

Oct 21, 2016 12:23 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

It is not too hard to draw parallels between the size of the BoJ and the SNBs balance sheets, and hence the potential constraints on the SNBs FX policy which amounts to a soft floor in EURCHF. Its noteworthy that this...

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Economy

European Stocks Flat as Oil Prices Rise, US CPI in Focus

European stocks were little changed on Monday, holding close to record highs as rising crude oil prices and continued uncertainty over Middle East shipping routes offset optimism following last weeks strong market rally....

S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise as Iran Risks and CPI Loom

U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week. SP 500 futures gained about 0.1%,...

Goldman Sachs Sees US Stock Buybacks Outpacing Equity Issuance as AI Funding Rises

Goldman Sachs expects corporate demand for U.S. equities to remain stronger than new share supply this year, despite a significant recovery in follow-on equity issuance driven partly by artificial intelligence investment....

South Korean Won Leads Asian FX Losses as Dollar Rises

The South Korean won led declines across Asian currencies on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while the Japanese yen retreated after giving up some of its intervention-driven gains. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.18%...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Reopening Remains Uncertain

Oil prices climbed on Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to support the market, despite Iran and Oman moving closer to an agreement on new shipping routes through the strategic...

Politics

South Korea, US Set Major Military Drills for August

South Korea and the United States will hold their annual Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) military drills from August 17 to 27, with this years exercises placing greater emphasis on countering drones, GPS interference and...

US ‘Digging In’ Across Indo-Pacific, Pentagon Official Says

The United States remains firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and has no plans to withdraw from Asia, a senior Pentagon official said Monday, while urging regional allies to take greater responsibility for their own...

Myanmar Rejects ASEAN Special Envoy, Challenges Regional Peace Plan

Myanmars military-backed government has rejected the continued role of ASEANs special envoy, deepening tensions with the regional bloc as Thailand pushes for Myanmar to fully re-engage with Southeast Asian nations....

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...