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FxWirePro: Bidding USD/JPY implied volatilities and RR versus buying time signals OTM put strikes amid Fed’s deferral stances

Aug 09, 2016 13:07 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Volatility shocks and the passage of time have opposite effects on the value of a vanilla option (see ATM strikes on USDJPY options). When it can benefit from more volatility (long vega and gamma on OTM put strikes), time...

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF tepid OTC functions move in sync with underlying spot - Iron butterfly spreads to fetch certain yield

Aug 09, 2016 13:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The swiss franc against counterparts has appreciated aftermath Brexit series, but EURCHF has been an exception and trading between in a 1.0715-1.0950 range from last 1 month or so. Short term risk sentiment will...

FxWirePro: Trade “USD/CAD diagonal debit call spreads” as 1m RR evidences bullish hedging interests, IV skews towards OTM call strikes

Aug 09, 2016 11:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Any rate hikes by the Fed or any hawkish statements are viewed as bearish for CAD, which struggles to compete with high-yield bearing assets in rising rate environments. USDCAD was almost unchanged at 1.3165. Sentiment...

FxWirePro: Is Italy next potential threat to Eurozone in H2'2016 and 2017? Mounting hedging sentiments in euro exposures

Aug 08, 2016 12:58 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

On-going euro turbulence: The main risks events are now in Europe (ECB in September, Italian referendum, immigration tensions) and in the US (Jackson Hole, presidential election): this should support EUR/USD...

FxWirePro: A what if analysis on NZD/USD hedging framework with “Sure and Fire option strips”

Aug 08, 2016 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

NZD OTC market functions are likely to intensify contemplating upcoming RBNZ OCR cut in its monetary policy by 25 bps to keep it at 2.00%. As a result of this speculation in the FX market, the New Zealand dollar moved...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY cast-iron hedge at the OTM strike capitalizing 1m RR, worse than “Outright Forward rate” if unleveraged

Aug 08, 2016 08:06 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As the delta risk reversals have again shown in bearish interests as the progressive increase in negative numbers signify the traction for hedging sentiments for further downside risks in both short and long term. Amid...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Don’t get bear trapped in Bullion - Hedge gold risks via 3-way straddles versus puts capitalizing IV skews and delta RR

Aug 05, 2016 13:01 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Although the gold spot was unable to breach 1375 mark and sustain above, dear bullion speculators or investors please be mindful that the prevailing dips are not far over 2 and ahalf year highs, bulls are pretty much on...

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Economy

European Stocks Flat as Oil Prices Rise, US CPI in Focus

European stocks were little changed on Monday, holding close to record highs as rising crude oil prices and continued uncertainty over Middle East shipping routes offset optimism following last weeks strong market rally....

S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise as Iran Risks and CPI Loom

U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week. SP 500 futures gained about 0.1%,...

Goldman Sachs Sees US Stock Buybacks Outpacing Equity Issuance as AI Funding Rises

Goldman Sachs expects corporate demand for U.S. equities to remain stronger than new share supply this year, despite a significant recovery in follow-on equity issuance driven partly by artificial intelligence investment....

South Korean Won Leads Asian FX Losses as Dollar Rises

The South Korean won led declines across Asian currencies on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while the Japanese yen retreated after giving up some of its intervention-driven gains. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.18%...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Reopening Remains Uncertain

Oil prices climbed on Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to support the market, despite Iran and Oman moving closer to an agreement on new shipping routes through the strategic...

Politics

South Korea, US Set Major Military Drills for August

South Korea and the United States will hold their annual Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) military drills from August 17 to 27, with this years exercises placing greater emphasis on countering drones, GPS interference and...

US ‘Digging In’ Across Indo-Pacific, Pentagon Official Says

The United States remains firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and has no plans to withdraw from Asia, a senior Pentagon official said Monday, while urging regional allies to take greater responsibility for their own...

Myanmar Rejects ASEAN Special Envoy, Challenges Regional Peace Plan

Myanmars military-backed government has rejected the continued role of ASEANs special envoy, deepening tensions with the regional bloc as Thailand pushes for Myanmar to fully re-engage with Southeast Asian nations....

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...