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FxWirePro: IVs and risk reversals of Yen crosses have steepened, reasonable interpretations as BOJ to shower helicopter money

Jul 25, 2016 13:06 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We hold short JPY skew risk as valuations are stretched. Short-dated tenors are exposed to BoJ under delivering this week, but longer dates offer consistently rich risk premia to fade. JPY vol risk premia are extreme...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY put writers to capitalize on HY IVs in “Short Put Ladder” ahead of BoJ's monetary policy season

Jul 25, 2016 12:34 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is the central bank most likely to adopt helicopter money policy but not in its traditional sense. We see near term upswings and extreme downside risks that are signalled by risk reversals ahead...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bidding USD/JPY 1m RR and IV skew makes PRBS more productive in hedging ahead of central banks’ monetary policy season

Jul 25, 2016 08:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The FOMC meeting next week is also likely to stay on script. We do not expect the Fed to use the July FOMC statement to push up market expectations for a September hike. While recent data and the easing in financial...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: JPY IVs blow out of proportion, disparity between ATM premiums and 1w IVs – Calls seem under-priced ahead of Fed and BoJ

Jul 25, 2016 07:11 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the yen currency crosses flash the highest IVs among G20 space (seems quite exaggerated OTC moves), while USDJPY sizeable market pin risks at 105.50 for tomorrows expiries and higher skews for OTM put...

Fitch: Australian Transportation Sector to Remain Stable Through 2016

Jul 24, 2016 23:55 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Fitch Ratings says in a newly published report that the agencys outlook on Australian transportation infrastructure is stable. Toll roads will benefit from continuing healthy economic growth, while the weaker Australian...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Foreign traders in EUR/JPY to capitalize on long-term RR in option strips for hedging as Draghi sends dovish tone

Jul 22, 2016 14:14 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In one of the less interesting press conferences of the year, ECB President Mario Draghi focused on the new challenges presented by Brexit but gave very little away in terms of whether action could be needed and what such...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bidding 6m RR and hedging AUD FX risk via long options positions likely to offer fair value

Jul 22, 2016 13:16 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be advised that the hedging sentiments signify the weakness in AUDUSD, as a result, the OTM puts seem relatively costlier than OTM calls. So what could be the alternative..? Are you ready to leave the AUD exposures...

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Economy

China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices

Chinas central bank has continued to strengthen its gold reserves, extending its buying streak to a 15th consecutive month in January, according to the latest data released by the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC). The move...

Trump Lifts 25% Tariff on Indian Goods in Strategic U.S.–India Trade and Energy Deal

President Donald Trump has signed a landmark executive order removing the 25% penalty tariff on Indian goods, signaling a major shift in U.S.India trade relations and global geopolitical alignment. The move functions as...

Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran

U.S. President Donald Trump has signed a new executive order that could impose tariffs of up to 25% on countries that continue to do business with Iran, marking a significant escalation in Washingtons pressure campaign...

U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains

The United States and India have taken a significant step toward a long-anticipated bilateral trade agreement by releasing an interim trade framework aimed at lowering tariffs, reshaping energy ties, and strengthening...

Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility

U.S. stocks surged on Friday, posting their strongest session since May 2025, as investors regained confidence following a turbulent week marked by sharp losses in technology shares and uncertainty around the artificial...

Politics

Ohio Man Indicted for Alleged Threat Against Vice President JD Vance, Faces Additional Federal Charges

A federal grand jury has returned an indictment against a 33-year-old Ohio man accused of threatening to kill U.S. Vice President JD Vance during the vice presidents visit to the Ohio region in January, according to the...

New York Legalizes Medical Aid in Dying for Terminally Ill Patients

New York has officially joined a growing number of U.S. states allowing medical aid in dying after Governor Kathy Hochul signed landmark legislation into law on Friday. The new New York medical aid in dying law permits...

Trump Says “Very Good Talks” Underway on Russia-Ukraine War as Peace Efforts Continue

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday that very good talks are ongoing regarding Russias war in Ukraine, signaling potential movement in long-running diplomatic efforts to end the conflict. Speaking briefly to...

China Warns US Arms Sales to Taiwan Could Disrupt Trump’s Planned Visit

China has issued a strong warning to the United States, signaling that any additional arms sales to Taiwan could seriously jeopardize U.S. President Donald Trumps planned visit to China in April. According to a report...

Trump Allows Commercial Fishing in Protected New England Waters

U.S. President Donald Trump has signed a proclamation permitting commercial fishing in a previously restricted marine protected area off the coast of New England, a move that has sparked renewed debate over ocean...

Science

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

Technology

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Says AI Investment Boom Is Just Beginning as NVDA Shares Surge

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang reaffirmed his bullish stance on artificial intelligence, calling the massive capital expenditure flowing into AI infrastructure both appropriate and necessary as the industry...

Amazon Stock Rebounds After Earnings as $200B Capex Plan Sparks AI Spending Debate

Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) delivered a mixed but closely watched earnings report, beating Wall Street expectations on revenue while unveiling a massive long-term investment plan that unsettled investors. The e-commerce and...

Global PC Makers Eye Chinese Memory Chip Suppliers Amid Ongoing Supply Crunch

Major PC manufacturers including HP, Dell, Acer, and Asus are reportedly exploring the option of sourcing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor companies for the first time, as a prolonged global supply crunch continues...

OpenAI Expands Enterprise AI Strategy With Major Hiring Push Ahead of New Business Offering

OpenAI is significantly accelerating its enterprise AI strategy by hiring hundreds of new employees for its technical consulting division, according to a report by The Information, citing a person familiar with the...

SoftBank Shares Slide After Arm Earnings Miss Fuels Tech Stock Sell-Off

SoftBank Group Corp. (TYO:9984) shares tumbled sharply on Thursday, tracking a steep decline in Arm Holdings (NASDAQ:ARM) after the UK-based chip designer reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the December quarter....