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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

Oil in Global Economy Series

FxWirePro: Will it be prolonged OPEC’s production cuts? What else drives Crude’s bullish price risk and how would you hedge?

Apr 24, 2017 13:08 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

It is about more than the barrels. Although the fundamental impact is very important, the real significance of the agreement is that Saudi Arabia and OPEC have returned to active market management. This is what put a...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedge USD/ZAR’s upside risks via debit call spreads as S&P and Fitch downgrades South African credits to junk

Apr 17, 2017 10:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The South African economy still faces persistent headwinds. We forecast a growth rate of only 0.8% for 2017. In 2018, growth should not come in significantly higher; we see it at 1.5%. However, the focus is currently on...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Insights on MAS’s SGD NEER implications – USD/SGD low IV yielder via debit put spreads

Apr 12, 2017 13:52 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The instrument of monetary policy in Singapore is the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) rather than a market interest rate. This is because of the small and open nature of the economy with free capital movement. The...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Prolific EUR call flies - Leaping European recovery via FX options

Apr 11, 2017 13:09 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The European recovery theme has become increasingly mainstream in recent weeks as continued Euro-area growth out-performance intersects with moderating political risks. Last week, we opened an outright long EUR/USD...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Mounting bearish hedging sentiments of EUR/JPY, highest among G10 space – Ideal time for both writers and holders of vertical PRBS

Apr 11, 2017 10:01 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As the delta risk reversals of euro crosses (except EURGBP) have again shown in bearish interests as the progressive increase in negative numbers signify the traction for hedging sentiments for further downside risks in...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: The driving forces that engulf euro crosses and OTC updates

Apr 11, 2017 09:39 am UTC| Insights & Views

A fog of uncertainty reigns. Those expecting a shake-up by a maverick Trump administration on various policy fronts have been disappointed. The likelihood of huge deficit-financed fiscal stimuli is fading, while many are...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CAD risk skewing positive as BoC dovish stance bending, though not yet breaking – Call Ratio Back Spreads to optimally hedge upside risks

Apr 10, 2017 12:33 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Ongoing data surprises mean forecast upgrades forthcoming in next weeks Monetary Policy Report. The data flow from Canada, similar to what has been seen globally, has surprised almost persistently since last September...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

DeepL Unleashes AI-Powered Tool for Business Writing

DeepL is a translation service from Germany, and it announced on Friday, April 26, that it would launch a new tool called DeepL Write Pro. It is an AI-based writing assistant created to help businesses with their writing...

Arthur Hayes Predicts Major Bullish Crypto Market Recovery Signal From US Treasury Department

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has identified a potential boost for the cryptocurrency and stock markets based on recent U.S. Treasury actions. These actions could inject substantial liquidity, fueling a bullish...

Tesla Cybertruck Spotted in Sydney Sparks Debate: Potential Australian Release?

As the Tesla Cybertruck makes unexpected appearances on the streets of Sydney, speculation swirls about its potential availability in Australia, despite previous doubts regarding its local launch. Tesla Cybertruck...

Hertz to Offload 30K EVs This Year, Deepens Cuts Amid Mounting Fleet Losses

In a recent financial revelation, Hertz disclosed continued losses from its electric vehicle (EV) investments, announcing plans to sell 30,000 EVs this year amid depreciating values and escalating maintenance...

Toyota Motor Launches Trial for EV Pickups in Thailand

Toyota Motor Corporation launched the trial for its electric pickup trucks in Thailand. The Japanese automaker said its pilot project brought nine fully electric Hilux Revo pickups to key Thai market. According to...