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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Lira Vulnerable On Turkish Macroeconomic Factors - Bid 2m USD/TRY Skews And Hedging Setup

Jan 02, 2020 12:58 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Turkish GDP expanded 0.40% in the third quarter of 2019 over the previous quarter. And the annual inflation rate increased to 10.56% in November 2019 from a near three-year low of 8.55% in the previous month, and...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

A Run Through on EM-Asia FX Outlook and Derivatives For H1 2020

Dec 31, 2019 14:06 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Strong directional views around the USD/Asia outlook were generally absent, but there is a slight skew for pro-risk trades to start 2020. Short USDCNH appears to be a widely held consensus view (as well as position) for a...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Low IV Environment Despite Monetary Policy Season – Deploy USD/CHF Butterfly Spread

Dec 09, 2019 11:53 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

This week is likely to be dominated by the central bank decisions due this week. FOMC on Wednesday, ECB and SNB on Thursday. However, low IV environment still persists in the FX markets. It is not only because any of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: BoE to stimulate sterling, potential for oil price risks to cushion loonie - Favour GBP/CAD uncertain bearishness via 3-way straddles

Jul 27, 2018 10:29 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The pound sterling should not suffer too much. An interest rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE) next week is now the consensus opinion in the market. And so the fundamental difference between BoE interest rate policy and...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Spotlight on EMEA FX vol calendar expression – Write delta EURPLN call and add longs in straddles

Jul 26, 2018 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Polish zloty has staged an impressive recovery over the past fortnight, strengthening from a low of 4.40 against the euro in early July to near 4.2870 at present (while articulating). Polish policymakers have commented...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: An option structure for Scandinavian - SEK ATM vol multi-year high vs G10 vols

Jul 26, 2018 11:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Swedish central bank held its benchmark interest rate at -0.5 pct on July 3rd, as widely expected, saying monetary policy needs to continue to be expansionary for inflation to remain close to target despite strong...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Capitalize on EUR/USD 1w/2m OTC bids and deploy diagonal options strips ahead of ECB to arrest both bullish/bearish risks

Jul 26, 2018 08:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The monetary policy announcement at the ECB is the most notable event today. As nothing meaningful is expected from Draghi, the price rallies of EURUSD have halted at neckline and oscillate between the mid-points of the...

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Economy

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

EU enlargement: What does the future hold?

To widen or to deepen. This has been one of the longstanding dilemmas throughout European Union (EU) history, and a perennial sticking point in the unending process of European integration. In its time, the UK...

‘They don’t have enough’ – schools in England are running food banks for families

The peak of the cost-of-living crisis may have passed, but millions of families are struggling to buy enough food to feed their children. Experiencing food insecurity can be deeply damaging for children and negatively...

Politics

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

Opening statements are the most important part of a trial – as lawyers in Trump’s hush money case know well

Though Hollywood movies about courtroom dramas often glamorize the closing arguments given by lawyers, in reality the opening statement is likely the most important single event of a trial. Such was the case in the hush...

South Korean President Yoon faces foreign policy challenges after the National Assembly election

South Koreas parliamentary election of April 10, 2024, was widely seen as a referendum on President Yoon Suk Yeols first two years in office. That being the case, the nation collectively expressed its strong...

How will US foreign policy affect Joe Biden’s chances of re-election in November?

When big questions about American foreign policy collide with an election, its rarely good news for a sitting president. Like many leaders before him, US President Joe Biden has had some of these questions thrust on...

US Commerce Secretary Asserts Huawei Chip Lag, Affirms Export Control Success

In an interview on CBS News 60 Minutes, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo stated that the latest Huawei Mate 60 Pro phones chip remains significantly behind U.S. technology despite being the most advanced from China. She...

Science

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

If life exists on Jupiter’s moon Europa, scientists might soon be able to detect it

Europa is one of the largest of more than 90 moons in orbit around the planet Jupiter. It is also one of the best places to look for alien life. Often termed an ocean world by scientists, observations to date strongly...

Exploding stars are rare but emit torrents of radiation − if one happened close enough to Earth, it could threaten life on the planet

Stars like the Sun are remarkably constant. They vary in brightness by only 0.1% over years and decades, thanks to the fusion of hydrogen into helium that powers them. This process will keep the Sun shining steadily for...

Technology

Elon Musk vs Australia: global content take-down orders can harm the internet if adopted widely

Do Australian courts have the right to decide what foreign citizens, located overseas, view online on a foreign-owned platform? Anyone inclined to answer yes to this question should perhaps also ask themselves whether...

BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Sees Zero Inflows; SEC Delays Ether ETF Decision

BlackRocks Bitcoin ETF registered zero daily inflows for the first time since its inception. At the same time, the SEC delayed its decision on a major Ether ETF, highlighting uncertainty in the cryptocurrency...

Samourai Wallet Founders Arrested, Crypto Markets Tumble Amid Regulatory Heat

The cryptocurrency market dipped significantly after the U.S. Department of Justice arrested Samourai Wallets CEO and CTO, exacerbating volatility amid geopolitical tensions and the recent Bitcoin halving. Bitcoin and...

Post-Halving Surge: Standard Chartered Predicts Bitcoin to Hit $150K on Reduced Market Leverage

Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered Banks analyst and head of digital assets research, believes bitcoin (BTC) would likely trend upward following the halving due to lower leveraged market positions. In an interview with...

Joe Biden Proposes Record 44.6% Capital Gains Tax in Latest Budget Plan That May Favor Cryptocurrencies

President Joe Biden has proposed raising the capital gains tax to an unprecedented 44.6% in a bold fiscal move, targeting the wealthiest Americans. This hike is part of his 2025 budget proposal to reduce income...