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FxWirePro: USD/JPY OTC tools indicate bearish sentiments but with momentary shift in near month tenors – RV trades for hedging

Nov 03, 2017 06:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Implied correlations between yen-crosses are rich for a benign post-Japanese election environment bereft of idiosyncratic yen risks; sell USDJPY vs. CHFJPY correlation swaps hedged with USDJPY FVAs. But lets just have a...

FxWirePro: Hedge or no hedge, the driving forces of LatAM FX space

Nov 02, 2017 17:26 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

These past weeks price action has tested our resolve: global forces like the possible change of Fed Chair or possible US tax reform have naturally changed the USD outlook. In addition, less positive news particularly on...

FxWirePro: Reshuffling G10 FX options trades owing to recent developments

Nov 02, 2017 14:33 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The US dollar is trading little defensively to start the day but the DXY is trading off the overnight low and the broader upswing in the big dollar that got underway at the start of Sep remains intact. The USD saw...

FxWirePro: Uphold USD/INR RKOs as Indian rupee surged to 6-weeks highs amid low RVs

Nov 02, 2017 14:09 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The low realized vol and technical support suggest RKO put, INR volatility lies in the low vol bucket in the EM space (3m vol is trading below 6) but realized vol has remained constantly lower than implied vol since start...

FxWirePro: Why and what lures euro for options writing opportunity in cheaper bearish hedging?

Nov 02, 2017 12:59 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Shift policy dynamics leads euro vols market downside, shrinking IVs, skews and neutral risk reversals lure cheap bearish hedging: Developments over the past week motivate two changes to our trade recommendations....

FxWirePro: ECB on autopilot mode, US GDP to reinforce momentum for dollar – OTC flashes offer cheaper hedges for skeptic bears

Nov 02, 2017 10:48 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

A glimpse through fundamentals: ECB monetary policy will be on autopilot in the near future and thus diminish in importance as a driver for the euro in the coming weeks, leaving the currency open to vagaries of other...

FxWirePro: Inaction versus action by FED and BoE - Attain Cable weakness via GBPJPY and USDJPY put switches

Nov 02, 2017 09:02 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Federal Reserve last night maintained interest rates unchanged at 1-1.25%, as widely anticipated.The press statement was largely unchanged: it sounded a little more upbeat about recent economic developments, while...

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Economy

U.S. Job Market Braces for Slow Recovery Amid Middle East Tensions and Economic Uncertainty

The U.S. labor market is expected to post modest gains in March, recovering from Februarys sharp drop of 92,000 jobs, but persistent headwinds are keeping economists cautious. A Reuters poll forecasts nonfarm payrolls...

Bank of Japan Eyes Further Rate Hikes Amid Middle East Tensions and Inflation Pressures

A senior Bank of Japan official reaffirmed the central banks commitment to continuing its interest rate hike cycle, while closely monitoring how the ongoing Middle East conflict is shaping Japans economic outlook and...

Japan Signals Readiness to Intervene as Yen Weakens Toward 160 Per Dollar

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama issued a stern warning to currency traders on Friday, signaling that Tokyo is prepared to take decisive action against what officials describe as speculative behavior driving...

China's Services Sector Maintains Growth Streak Despite March Slowdown

Chinas services industry continued to expand in March, though at a notably slower pace, as weakening demand and ongoing workforce reductions tempered activity across the sector. According to the latest RatingDog Services...

U.S. Stock Futures Stabilize Ahead of Good Friday as Investors Eye Jobs Report

U.S. stock index futures held steady Thursday evening as markets entered a cautious holding pattern before the Good Friday holiday closure, with traders weighing Middle East tensions and positioning ahead of a critical...

Politics

Trump Threatens Expanded Military Strikes on Iran, Targeting Bridges and Power Plants

President Donald Trump escalated his military rhetoric against Iran late Thursday in a Truth Social post, warning that U.S. forces could begin striking critical infrastructure including bridges and electrical power plants...

UN Security Council to Vote on Strait of Hormuz Shipping Resolution Amid China Opposition

The United Nations Security Council is preparing to vote Saturday on a Bahraini-led resolution aimed at protecting commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil transit route that has been...

Microsoft's $10 Billion Japan Investment: AI Infrastructure and Data Sovereignty Push

Microsoft is set to pour approximately $10 billion into Japan between now and 2029, channeling funds into data center expansion and artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet the countrys growing demand for data...

U.S. Strikes on Iran Draw War Crimes Warnings from International Law Scholars

More than 100 international law experts from leading American universities, including Harvard, Yale, Stanford, and the University of California, have signed an open letter warning that U.S. military strikes on Iran may...

UN Confirms Sexual Exploitation Allegations Against Haiti Security Force Members

A United Nations report has confirmed that four allegations of sexual exploitation and abuse committed by members of a UN-backed security force operating in Haiti were substantiated following formal investigations. The...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Australia's Social Media Ban for Under-16s Sparks Global Movement

Australias landmark social media ban for users under 16, which took effect in December, is reshaping digital policy conversations worldwide. Countries including Spain and Malaysia have signaled interest in adopting similar...

SpaceX Eyes Historic IPO at $1.75 Trillion Valuation

Elon Musks aerospace giant SpaceX has quietly filed a confidential IPO registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, according to Bloomberg News sources familiar with the matter. The move signals that the...

Annie Altman Amends Sexual Abuse Lawsuit Against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman

Annie Altman has filed an amended civil lawsuit against her brother, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, accusing him of sexually abusing her over a span of nearly a decade. The amended complaint was submitted Wednesday in St. Louis...

TSMC Japan's Second Fab to Produce 3nm Chips by 2028

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the worlds leading contract chipmaker, has confirmed plans to begin equipment installation and mass production of 3-nanometre wafers at its second fabrication plant in...

Apple Turns 50: From Garage Startup to AI Crossroads

In early 1976, engineer Steve Wozniak finished designing a computer circuit board he planned to share with fellow hobbyists at a local California tech club. His friend Steve Jobs recognized a commercial opportunity, and...