FxWirePro: Bid RUB’s mounting bullish sentiments on oil and vivid FX valuations – Stay short in TRY/RUB (spot) and EUR/RUB (options structures)

Nov 09, 2017 11:03 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We choose RUB as the long leg of the trade to help offset the expensive carry costs of a short TRY position. RUB valuations are likely to be relatively steady over the coming months, on a mix of factors: (+) stronger...

FxWirePro: Rift within UK govt. to prompt the weaker GBP – Bid stellar gamma in pound crosses, hedge GBP/CAD via 3-way straddle versus OTM call

Nov 09, 2017 09:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Tension is simmering within the UK government. After Defense Secretary Michael Fallon suddenly had to step down last week, Secretary of State for International Development Priti Patel was ordered to return to London during...

FxWirePro: RBNZ maintains “on hold” stance for forward guidance, NZD/JPY OTC outlook and hedging vehicles

Nov 09, 2017 06:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left the OCR unchanged at 1.75%. The bottom line guidance paragraph was the same as has been used, more or less unchanged, since February this year:Monetary policy will remain...

FxWirePro: Discover RV edge, Trios to pair CAD longs against Swiss franc

Nov 08, 2017 13:06 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The BoC was the first central bank to pivot in a more dovish direction in the summer. But after delivering its second successive rate hike in October and signaling a greater data dependency, rate expectations have...

FxWirePro: Don't count your chickens in laggard TRY IVs before the eggs have hatched – A glimpse through shifting trends in EMEA FX space

Nov 08, 2017 12:41 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Turkish lira has been one of the few idiosyncratic FX vol generators this year in a market largely bereft of them. TRY implied volatility and risk reversals are among the highest in emerging markets in the recent past....

FxWirePro: National Bank of Poland prolongs “status quo” approach on monetary policy - EMFX hedging proportions

Nov 08, 2017 12:11 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

NBP announces its benchmark rate decision today: it is more or less unanimously voted for the unchanged policy rate today; the benchmark interest rate in Poland was last recorded at 1.50 pct as widely anticipated. It...

FxWirePro: WTI crude displays shooting star and gravestone to resume momentary downswings ahead of EIA, consolidation phase breaks out symmetric triangle resistance

Nov 08, 2017 11:20 am UTC| Technicals Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Active bears in WTI crude breach ascending triangle supports, interim price dips backed by both leading and lagging oscillators: Shooting star and gravestone doji candle patterns have occurred at $57.22 and $57.24...