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FxWirePro: Bid RUB’s mounting bullish sentiments on oil and vivid FX valuations – Stay short in TRY/RUB (spot) and EUR/RUB (options structures)

Nov 09, 2017 11:03 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We choose RUB as the long leg of the trade to help offset the expensive carry costs of a short TRY position. RUB valuations are likely to be relatively steady over the coming months, on a mix of factors: (+) stronger...

FxWirePro: Rift within UK govt. to prompt the weaker GBP – Bid stellar gamma in pound crosses, hedge GBP/CAD via 3-way straddle versus OTM call

Nov 09, 2017 09:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Tension is simmering within the UK government. After Defense Secretary Michael Fallon suddenly had to step down last week, Secretary of State for International Development Priti Patel was ordered to return to London during...

FxWirePro: RBNZ maintains “on hold” stance for forward guidance, NZD/JPY OTC outlook and hedging vehicles

Nov 09, 2017 06:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left the OCR unchanged at 1.75%. The bottom line guidance paragraph was the same as has been used, more or less unchanged, since February this year:Monetary policy will remain...

FxWirePro: Discover RV edge, Trios to pair CAD longs against Swiss franc

Nov 08, 2017 13:06 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The BoC was the first central bank to pivot in a more dovish direction in the summer. But after delivering its second successive rate hike in October and signaling a greater data dependency, rate expectations have...

FxWirePro: Don't count your chickens in laggard TRY IVs before the eggs have hatched – A glimpse through shifting trends in EMEA FX space

Nov 08, 2017 12:41 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Turkish lira has been one of the few idiosyncratic FX vol generators this year in a market largely bereft of them. TRY implied volatility and risk reversals are among the highest in emerging markets in the recent past....

FxWirePro: National Bank of Poland prolongs “status quo” approach on monetary policy - EMFX hedging proportions

Nov 08, 2017 12:11 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

NBP announces its benchmark rate decision today: it is more or less unanimously voted for the unchanged policy rate today; the benchmark interest rate in Poland was last recorded at 1.50 pct as widely anticipated. It...

FxWirePro: WTI crude displays shooting star and gravestone to resume momentary downswings ahead of EIA, consolidation phase breaks out symmetric triangle resistance

Nov 08, 2017 11:20 am UTC| Technicals Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Active bears in WTI crude breach ascending triangle supports, interim price dips backed by both leading and lagging oscillators: Shooting star and gravestone doji candle patterns have occurred at $57.22 and $57.24...

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Economy

U.S. Job Market Braces for Slow Recovery Amid Middle East Tensions and Economic Uncertainty

The U.S. labor market is expected to post modest gains in March, recovering from Februarys sharp drop of 92,000 jobs, but persistent headwinds are keeping economists cautious. A Reuters poll forecasts nonfarm payrolls...

Bank of Japan Eyes Further Rate Hikes Amid Middle East Tensions and Inflation Pressures

A senior Bank of Japan official reaffirmed the central banks commitment to continuing its interest rate hike cycle, while closely monitoring how the ongoing Middle East conflict is shaping Japans economic outlook and...

Japan Signals Readiness to Intervene as Yen Weakens Toward 160 Per Dollar

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama issued a stern warning to currency traders on Friday, signaling that Tokyo is prepared to take decisive action against what officials describe as speculative behavior driving...

China's Services Sector Maintains Growth Streak Despite March Slowdown

Chinas services industry continued to expand in March, though at a notably slower pace, as weakening demand and ongoing workforce reductions tempered activity across the sector. According to the latest RatingDog Services...

U.S. Stock Futures Stabilize Ahead of Good Friday as Investors Eye Jobs Report

U.S. stock index futures held steady Thursday evening as markets entered a cautious holding pattern before the Good Friday holiday closure, with traders weighing Middle East tensions and positioning ahead of a critical...

Politics

Iran-U.S. Military Tensions Escalate as Tehran Fortifies Key Energy Infrastructure

As geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran intensify, Tehran is ramping up its military readiness in anticipation of a potential ground operation on its soil. According to reports from the Wall Street...

MATCH Act Targets ASML and Chinese Chipmakers in New U.S. Export Crackdown

A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers has unveiled the MATCH Act, a landmark piece of draft legislation designed to tighten export restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment destined for China. The...

First Western Ship Transits Strait of Hormuz Since Iran War Began

A container vessel operated by French shipping giant CMA CGM has become the first Western-linked ship to successfully navigate the Strait of Hormuz since the outbreak of the Iran war in late February, signaling a cautious...

Trump Fires Attorney General Pam Bondi Over Epstein Files and Slow Prosecutions

President Donald Trump removed Attorney General Pam Bondi from her position on Thursday, ending a tenure marked by controversy and growing frustration from the White House. Sources familiar with the matter say Trump had...

Ukraine Frontline Holds Firm as Zelenskyy Claims March Offensive Successfully Repelled

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy declared this week that the countrys frontline situation is the strongest it has been in ten months, crediting the Ukrainian armed forces with successfully neutralizing a major...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Microsoft's $10 Billion Japan Investment: AI Infrastructure and Data Sovereignty Push

Microsoft is set to pour approximately $10 billion into Japan between now and 2029, channeling funds into data center expansion and artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet the countrys growing demand for data...

Australia's Social Media Ban for Under-16s Sparks Global Movement

Australias landmark social media ban for users under 16, which took effect in December, is reshaping digital policy conversations worldwide. Countries including Spain and Malaysia have signaled interest in adopting similar...

SpaceX Eyes Historic IPO at $1.75 Trillion Valuation

Elon Musks aerospace giant SpaceX has quietly filed a confidential IPO registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, according to Bloomberg News sources familiar with the matter. The move signals that the...

Annie Altman Amends Sexual Abuse Lawsuit Against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman

Annie Altman has filed an amended civil lawsuit against her brother, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, accusing him of sexually abusing her over a span of nearly a decade. The amended complaint was submitted Wednesday in St. Louis...

TSMC Japan's Second Fab to Produce 3nm Chips by 2028

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the worlds leading contract chipmaker, has confirmed plans to begin equipment installation and mass production of 3-nanometre wafers at its second fabrication plant in...