FxWirePro: AUD/USD bearish forecasts in sync with OTC bids, both RBA and Fed likely to boost projections

Mar 02, 2017 07:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

We expect AUDUSD to decline through 2017 on skinnier rate differentials and a pull-back in commodity prices. The Dec-17 target is 0.68, 10% below forwards. The combination of a more high conviction Fed cycle in 2017 and...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/USD OTC tools bids in line with forecasts - ITM put versus OTM call to match IV skews and delta risk reversals

Mar 02, 2017 07:27 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Technically, AUD remained neutral in a 0.7640-0.7700 tight range, the stronger USD offset by yesterdays upside GDP surprise. For more readings on our recent our technical write up, please visit the below...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Upside down in EUR/GBP OTC, shrink IVs buzz with option writers on upper hand – “Calling Exorbitant Calls in Collar Spreads to Hedge”

Mar 01, 2017 11:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Please be noted that the massive shrink in EURGBP implied volatility of ATM contracts across all tenors. While the risk reversals, for now, have taken adverse directions from last 1 years hedging sentiments that were...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/USD, NZD/USD and CAD vols stand out among best value gamma buys over the upcoming French elections

Mar 01, 2017 09:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Do you think the political risk into French election is priced more appropriately in bonds (but not in currencies) than going into the Brexit and the US polls? In the remote scenario of a Le Pen Presidency with...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Status check of EUR/USD vanillas by risk-reward factors amid distinctive scenarios for first round of French polls

Mar 01, 2017 09:23 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Euro area politics continue to be in focus with a Le Pen Presidency in the French elections the main concern, but so far the casualty has been the bond market in addition to the FX markets. Fluidity in French politics...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Moody's: India's economy picks up after demonetization; reform agenda on track; measures to leverage revealed incomes and wealth yet to be detailed

Mar 01, 2017 07:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service expects Indian economic growth to continue to pick up as liquidity conditions normalize, supporting expectations that the economic disruption caused by demonetization will be short term in...

FxWirePro: Scenario analysis for EUR/USD hedges amid French polls

Mar 01, 2017 07:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

It seems that regional politics would imply a weaker euro, the forecast for EURUSD is unchanged with a decline to 1.04 in Q1end on regional political risks (greater in H1 due to the French elections) and optimism on Trumps...