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FxWirePro: AUD/USD bearish forecasts in sync with OTC bids, both RBA and Fed likely to boost projections

Mar 02, 2017 07:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

We expect AUDUSD to decline through 2017 on skinnier rate differentials and a pull-back in commodity prices. The Dec-17 target is 0.68, 10% below forwards. The combination of a more high conviction Fed cycle in 2017 and...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/USD OTC tools bids in line with forecasts - ITM put versus OTM call to match IV skews and delta risk reversals

Mar 02, 2017 07:27 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Technically, AUD remained neutral in a 0.7640-0.7700 tight range, the stronger USD offset by yesterdays upside GDP surprise. For more readings on our recent our technical write up, please visit the below...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Upside down in EUR/GBP OTC, shrink IVs buzz with option writers on upper hand – “Calling Exorbitant Calls in Collar Spreads to Hedge”

Mar 01, 2017 11:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Please be noted that the massive shrink in EURGBP implied volatility of ATM contracts across all tenors. While the risk reversals, for now, have taken adverse directions from last 1 years hedging sentiments that were...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/USD, NZD/USD and CAD vols stand out among best value gamma buys over the upcoming French elections

Mar 01, 2017 09:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Do you think the political risk into French election is priced more appropriately in bonds (but not in currencies) than going into the Brexit and the US polls? In the remote scenario of a Le Pen Presidency with...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Status check of EUR/USD vanillas by risk-reward factors amid distinctive scenarios for first round of French polls

Mar 01, 2017 09:23 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Euro area politics continue to be in focus with a Le Pen Presidency in the French elections the main concern, but so far the casualty has been the bond market in addition to the FX markets. Fluidity in French politics...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Moody's: India's economy picks up after demonetization; reform agenda on track; measures to leverage revealed incomes and wealth yet to be detailed

Mar 01, 2017 07:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service expects Indian economic growth to continue to pick up as liquidity conditions normalize, supporting expectations that the economic disruption caused by demonetization will be short term in...

FxWirePro: Scenario analysis for EUR/USD hedges amid French polls

Mar 01, 2017 07:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

It seems that regional politics would imply a weaker euro, the forecast for EURUSD is unchanged with a decline to 1.04 in Q1end on regional political risks (greater in H1 due to the French elections) and optimism on Trumps...

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Economy

European Stocks Flat as Oil Prices Rise, US CPI in Focus

European stocks were little changed on Monday, holding close to record highs as rising crude oil prices and continued uncertainty over Middle East shipping routes offset optimism following last weeks strong market rally....

S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise as Iran Risks and CPI Loom

U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week. SP 500 futures gained about 0.1%,...

Goldman Sachs Sees US Stock Buybacks Outpacing Equity Issuance as AI Funding Rises

Goldman Sachs expects corporate demand for U.S. equities to remain stronger than new share supply this year, despite a significant recovery in follow-on equity issuance driven partly by artificial intelligence investment....

South Korean Won Leads Asian FX Losses as Dollar Rises

The South Korean won led declines across Asian currencies on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while the Japanese yen retreated after giving up some of its intervention-driven gains. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.18%...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Reopening Remains Uncertain

Oil prices climbed on Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to support the market, despite Iran and Oman moving closer to an agreement on new shipping routes through the strategic...

Politics

South Korea, US Set Major Military Drills for August

South Korea and the United States will hold their annual Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) military drills from August 17 to 27, with this years exercises placing greater emphasis on countering drones, GPS interference and...

US ‘Digging In’ Across Indo-Pacific, Pentagon Official Says

The United States remains firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and has no plans to withdraw from Asia, a senior Pentagon official said Monday, while urging regional allies to take greater responsibility for their own...

Myanmar Rejects ASEAN Special Envoy, Challenges Regional Peace Plan

Myanmars military-backed government has rejected the continued role of ASEANs special envoy, deepening tensions with the regional bloc as Thailand pushes for Myanmar to fully re-engage with Southeast Asian nations....

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...