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FxWirePro: Obtain optimal hedge in USD/RUB via “Diagonal Credit Call Spreads” to arrest both short-term bears and long-term upside risks

Feb 15, 2017 11:40 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We encourage longs in USDRUB for long term investing amid short-term slumps, the broader setback to the dollar combined with upward pressure on oil prices to new highs this week have conspired to pull USDRUB lower in short...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedge WTI prices though debit put spreads as crude bears lingering ahead of inventories and skepticism over OPEC’s adherence

Feb 15, 2017 10:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis

This weeks price action on oil benchmarks traversed almost the entire range within which prices have been held since early December, despite a near record build in US crude inventories appearing in the weekly EIA...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Intricacies of bullish and bearish scenarios of Yen and hedging perspectives

Feb 15, 2017 05:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Bearish Yen: USDJPY to 125 if 1) strong US growth leads aggressive Fed hikes and a spike in UST yields, resulting in broad USD strength, 2) Japanese governments fiscal policy becomes more expansionary and the BoJ finances...

Moody's: Chinese local government incentives hinder central government reform agenda

Feb 15, 2017 03:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that misaligned incentives between Chinas (Aa3 negative) central and regional and local governments (RLGs) are an obstacle to economic reform and rebalancing, a credit negative. In...

FxWirePro: Diagonal debit credit spreads to hedge USD/MXN as Mexican peso going with EMFX trend

Feb 14, 2017 12:26 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Commentary

The sentiment towards EM currencies remains quite positive. Even the long-suffering Mexican peso is able to benefit from this development. Some commentators have already declared that the peso has seen the worst. Ofcourse,...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Stay short AUD/JPY through a one-touch calendar spread

Feb 14, 2017 12:16 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

We designed a bearish AUDJPY view through a calendar spread of one-touches (short a 3m one-touch put, long a 6m) to arrest the good-bad dichotomy in Trumps policy platform (an initial focus on pro-growth fiscal policy...

FxWirePro: Tactical upholding longs in USD/TWD via NDF derivatives

Feb 14, 2017 11:29 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We uphold longs in USDTWD 1m NDF at 30.777 with a target at 31.8 and a stop at 30.2. The 1m tenor is chosen because it has the highest annualized carry (positive carry of 32bp over a 1m horizon). The time horizon of the...

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Economy

European Stocks Flat as Oil Prices Rise, US CPI in Focus

European stocks were little changed on Monday, holding close to record highs as rising crude oil prices and continued uncertainty over Middle East shipping routes offset optimism following last weeks strong market rally....

S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise as Iran Risks and CPI Loom

U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week. SP 500 futures gained about 0.1%,...

Goldman Sachs Sees US Stock Buybacks Outpacing Equity Issuance as AI Funding Rises

Goldman Sachs expects corporate demand for U.S. equities to remain stronger than new share supply this year, despite a significant recovery in follow-on equity issuance driven partly by artificial intelligence investment....

South Korean Won Leads Asian FX Losses as Dollar Rises

The South Korean won led declines across Asian currencies on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while the Japanese yen retreated after giving up some of its intervention-driven gains. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.18%...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Reopening Remains Uncertain

Oil prices climbed on Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to support the market, despite Iran and Oman moving closer to an agreement on new shipping routes through the strategic...

Politics

South Korea, US Set Major Military Drills for August

South Korea and the United States will hold their annual Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) military drills from August 17 to 27, with this years exercises placing greater emphasis on countering drones, GPS interference and...

US ‘Digging In’ Across Indo-Pacific, Pentagon Official Says

The United States remains firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and has no plans to withdraw from Asia, a senior Pentagon official said Monday, while urging regional allies to take greater responsibility for their own...

Myanmar Rejects ASEAN Special Envoy, Challenges Regional Peace Plan

Myanmars military-backed government has rejected the continued role of ASEANs special envoy, deepening tensions with the regional bloc as Thailand pushes for Myanmar to fully re-engage with Southeast Asian nations....

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...